Comparison multiple parameters #Covid19NL 2021.
Age stratified #SARSCoV2 testing data, confirmed and total Corona mortality, time-weighted fully vaccinated population at estimated 1,6% Coronavirus prevalence.
Age stratified #SARSCoV2 testing data, confirmed and total Corona mortality, time-weighted fully vaccinated population at estimated 1,6% Coronavirus prevalence.
Multiple regression analysis #Covid19NL 2021.
R2 = 1 and, predictors significantly explain 95.4% of variance in observed population % mortality dependent on infection risk, vaccination coverage and age category.
Mortality% = -16.2 + 0.8 InfectionRisk% - 0.2 %Vaxx'd + 0.3 Age
R2 = 1 and, predictors significantly explain 95.4% of variance in observed population % mortality dependent on infection risk, vaccination coverage and age category.
Mortality% = -16.2 + 0.8 InfectionRisk% - 0.2 %Vaxx'd + 0.3 Age
Observational analysis #Covid19 Netherlands 2021.
Population % mortality (Y) was highly dependent of age.
➡️statskingdom.com/410multi_linea…
Population % mortality (Y) was highly dependent of age.
➡️statskingdom.com/410multi_linea…
Observational analysis #Covid19 Netherlands.
Calculated full year 2021 Corona mortality for the population over 85 years old is now validated by excess deaths over 2010-2019 lower quartile mortality weeks 1 through 52.
➡️mpidr.shinyapps.io/stmortality/
Calculated full year 2021 Corona mortality for the population over 85 years old is now validated by excess deaths over 2010-2019 lower quartile mortality weeks 1 through 52.
➡️mpidr.shinyapps.io/stmortality/
The Dutch herdimmunity strategy rijksoverheid.nl/documenten/toe…, originally planned for @ 60% Corona virus prevalence, could have rendered a total population excess mortality of 1 million citizens at a #SARSCoV2 Infection Fatality Rate (IFR) of 5,7% during 2021.
Data on file:
Data on file:
Whereas #SARSCoV2 mortality risk increases exponentially with Age, many analyses have been done after Log transformation of Fatality Rates.
re. @jburnmurdoch @FT:
ft.com/content/0f11b2…
re. @jburnmurdoch @FT:
ft.com/content/0f11b2…
Observational analysis 2021 Netherlands.
Multiple regression analysis #Covid19NL:
Age-stratified Fatality dependent on Infection-Risk and proportion of population fully vaccinated:
Log(Fatality%)=-4.8+0.05InfectionRisk%+0.008 %Vaxx'd+0.05Age
R2=1, explaining 99.0% of variance:
Multiple regression analysis #Covid19NL:
Age-stratified Fatality dependent on Infection-Risk and proportion of population fully vaccinated:
Log(Fatality%)=-4.8+0.05InfectionRisk%+0.008 %Vaxx'd+0.05Age
R2=1, explaining 99.0% of variance:
Observational analysis #Covid19 Netherlands 2021.
Log Population % mortality Y highly dependent on age:
➡️statskingdom.com/410multi_linea…
Log Population % mortality Y highly dependent on age:
➡️statskingdom.com/410multi_linea…
Observational analysis #Covid19 Netherlands 2021.
Model of predicted mortality in comparison to reality:
Model of predicted mortality in comparison to reality:
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