2/ Both sides use confounded non adjusted OWID excess, but mostly no data at all.
One claim is bad batches:
By chance, all lockdown countries had this issue, but not Norway and Sweden with their open approach leaving kids free.
3/ The vaxx side has no issues with fundamental contradictions, like the unrealistic (percent range) fatality rate needed to make such an excess.
We show them a theoretical example: No engagement, but change of topic. Ignore math and exponential mortality basics and continue.
4/ The "Covid" side has no issue in having Covid killing 95% vaxxed 85+ elderly people in NL, DNK under lockdown, but not in open 95% vaxxed Sweden / Norway.
Remove bad data point.
They bring US as example. So I engage on US and age confounding.
No answers.
5/ Both sides are in flow chart on the right and excluding the directly contradicting data. Both deny Sweden. Even "Sweden is using placebo" is coming up, while denying the reports in EMA for Sweden (and their ban of Moderna, Adeno...after having issues).
6/ The vaxx side ignores evidence on VE from many countries and have no issue by instead assuming CFRs of absurd magnitudes.
10/ If you wonder why medical specialist are having this huge villas in Italy: It doesn't get more absurd, that the relation of Italians with health. Even the most benign things will be shot at with a list of highly expensive specialists visits. And Italians pay for this, cash.
11/ The "Covid" side: current mortality in the 94% vaxxed 85+ in NL is Covid, but not seeing the 95%-99% VE against death claims issue.
Similar 2021 Q4 (4% unvaxxed) peak mortality rates as 2020 (100% unvaxxed). And in Sweden, the VE is giving under mortality. Sure.
12/ Both sides please stop this behaviour. It's keeping us in the damaging lockdowns and vaxx hysteria.
Stop lockdowns, school closures, scaring people, children with wrong risks (both vaxx and covid extremes), masking, QR, mandates and coercion. All of it.
Join team reality.
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
2/ Now here the comparison USA - Sweden. Shown are age specific mortality rates for the group 15-64 years.
The 2021 excess in US is drastic. Sweden: under mortality. Also last year Sweden did fine on 15-64. Covid did not do this. Hysteria did. Stop it now!
3/ So let's also show the same age group 15-64 for the great pandemic year 2020 and show how Sweden "failed" (to kill the young) while USA was following the pope of science, Dr. Fauci.
Problem: the chosen window of averaging is a strong factor when aggregating. Aggregations are generally bad as mentioned many times. They destroy information.
1/ After checking, that mortality.org is actually showing the age standardized mortality rates under "death rate, total", we can work with their all age value.
Germany: disaster. The lockdowns finally worked. The other way around. Record excess. And continuously over the weeks. This is what politicians and hysteria did. Not the virus.
Austria lockdown master: disaster. The lockdowns finally worked. The other way around. Record excess. And continuously over the weeks. This is what politicians and hysteria did. Not the virus.
1/ I actually don't like working with VAERS. One would need a data-prep tool, which CDC has, but me not (out of scope to develop). Still, I took a look.
The issues with lot IDs and VEARS deaths/AE are:
-Age confounded (average administered dates).
-Different batch sizes.
2/ We immediately see the high age of most deaths and related batches. We do have confounding to resolve. Deaths, both C19 and vaxx, is an elderly business and includes a lot of comorbidities in both cases. The young don't die in relevant numbers from Covid not vaxx.
3/ One thing that looks strange are the low death batches / weeks in many cases for the very old groups. It should follow an exponential life table to my view. There should be no points in the red circled area (high age, low deaths).
@MntyP1@knigotnik@systemanalysen They can't explain it. But it's quite easy. The excess is dominated by 85+. Those are fragile people, and having had 2 years lockdowns and panic is not healthy. In Sweden this group is doing fine, as living a social life as mammals are supposed to live. See here.
@MntyP1@knigotnik@systemanalysen Both SWE and NL have vaxx levels of 95% in this group. It's irrelevant for the excess. No vaxx can make a damage at this level like NL. It's the lockdown, fear and isolation. Prisoners don't live long. If we continue, we can probably reduce life expectancy by 10 years.
@MntyP1@knigotnik@systemanalysen This excess is also in the 75-84 cohort in NL. Also 93% vaxxed in both countries. Nothing in SWE. It's the lockdown. Isolation and fear is unhealthy for social mammal life. Destroys resilience. I bet it's all cardiovascular and respiratory. @rubenivangaalen@KoudijsHenk