One thing that is very clear from the first year of the Biden administration is how vindicated Trump foreign policy people should feel and what a slow moving disaster Biden foreign policy is. Follow me on a short thread. 1/n
Even when there was some reasonable validity to the Trump and Russia story, on policy Trump kept a very steady policy of increasing policy pressure on Russia and ended even more hawkish than the last 4 years of the Obama administration. Biden has done nothing but try to 2/n
play nice or walk back Trump pressure policies and well here we are. Trump administration foreign policy on Europe and specifically Germany was you need to a) wear your big boy leiderhosen taking a greater role in your own security b) stand up to authoritarians. Trump admin 3/n
got blasted for this. Biden administration has definitely rolled back those talking points and policy pressures. What is the result? Even with a new government, Germany is as ready as ever to appease and play footsie with Russia, China, and others content to let the US foot 4/n
The security bill. What has happened? Well right in the middle of a European crisis, Europe is basically a non-player. Irrelevant. Rather than at least trying to fast track an LNG plant in Hamburg for delivery from the US or other solutions, they are literally a non-player. 5/n
I have often joked that diplomacy is like the first day of prison: make sure to mess someone up on the first day just to let others know not to mess with you. Biden administration has purposefully opted to go with weak negotiating hands and not use leverage and the results 6/n
Are clear what happens. Even if you disagree with HOW or WHAT Trump approached or saw in these problems, you could still play the hand he left you with MUCH MUCH better to realized much better outcomes. These are simply not serious people in very serious jobs.

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More from @BaldingsWorld

9 Jan
They're is this really strange tendency in US public policy, politics, and specifically media to take issues that people can actually kind of agree about and push absurdist solutions and ideas. Take the trans athlete in women's sports issue. I don't have a dog in this fight 1/n
And quite frankly I've yet to meet anyone who really cares. However, media like NBC has taken to pushing absolutely absurdist disinformation (had to drop that in) that there is no scientific evidence men have an advantage over women in athletic competition. Rather than taking 2/n
An issue where reasonable moderate solutions exist and could be much more easily agreed to, they put forth absurdist claims at the extreme to inflame viewers. Probably more importantly they ignore women's rights in this case. If I was a female swimmer in the widely discussed 3/n
Read 6 tweets
1 Jan
Rambling thread warning. My one public New Years Resolution is to not be mean to Journos and Galaxy Brains. Make no mistake journalism all around from the right to the left is deeply flawed and they refuse to acknowledge the problems or address them in anyway. Make no mistake 1/n
Universities and professors for all their virtue signalling and preening moral superiority are deeply corrupt with regards to places like China. All of these places and people remain stunningly unaware or unwilling to take tangible concrete steps address these threats 2/n
And definitely not anything that impacts their business. All that said and very true, I resolve to change my tone in this forum about these institutions and individuals though they all remain deeply problematic and hypocritical 3/n
Read 12 tweets
22 Dec 21
Due to the fact I am not working in academia and that academics are spouting such absolute self serving gibberish about the Lieber China case let's review the key points and lay ruin to the bull dung being slung. First, Lieber was not charged with "espionage" and the case 1/n
Was about lying on income taxes, concealing foreign assets, and lying about foreign contacts on official documents. So when you read an academic say things like "The US government hasn't proven he was a spy" they might as well be saying "The government hasn't proven he 2/n
was a purple dinosaur" because the case had nothing to do with proving espionage any more than it had to do with purple dinosaurs. Second, there is no espionage here because to the best of my knowledge Lieber never had or conducted research requiring security clearance. 3/n
Read 17 tweets
20 Dec 21
People wonder why I am so critical of universities, professors, and similar Galaxy Brains when it comes to China and there are a couple of reasons. Let me explain. First, these people are the height of hypocrisy. The same people and institutions who will criticize 1/n
Everyone and everything absolutely will not do the same on China. Saudi Arabia? Israel? The Military? The GOP? All awful. The PLA and the CCP? Shrug what are you going to do, let's work with those guys. Second, they demand of others what they refuse to demand of themselves. 2/n
Look at how much they criticize companies, countries, politicians, and political parties for working with China. Then look at the universities that turn over management of their campus in China to a CCP selected leader and member. Then look at the CCP princeling sitting 3/n
Read 11 tweets
11 Dec 21
A fundamental of a color blind society is whether two individuals or groups of different racial or ethnic background are treated in similar ways before the law and in society. As some are so lightly throwing around charges if racism around any thing looking critically at 1/n
China's involvement in key US institutions let's take the MIT example and use an existing comparison to see if charges if racism stand up. For many years, Russian individuals and institutions have been involved with MIT and Boston technology firms. In the second Obama 2/n
Adminstration (not blaming at all only for dating purposes) MIT and Boston had numerous notable involvement with Russians from a notable kleptocrat stepping down from the MIT board of trustees to the FBI very publicly taking about Russian attempts to purchase sensitive 3/n
Read 9 tweets
9 Dec 21
The Foreign Affairs piece on Xi's New World Order: Can China Remake the International System? is finally moving in the right direction but Galaxy Brains have a long long way to fully grasp the problem and understand how to respond to it. Follow me a second 1/n
The piece lays out very realistically how China is changing the world for the worse if you believe in democratic liberalism. There are three problems with the piece. First, China already has REMADE the international system. That is fait accompli. The piece does not go far 2/n
Enough recognizing how cooked the frog is. The UN, WHO, WTO, on and on are under effective Chinese control and this was the result of work that started decades ago, not a year or two ago. Second, this same exact piece could have been written two years ago and except updating 3/n
Read 12 tweets

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