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Oscar Jonsson Profile picture
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14 Jan, 4 tweets, 2 min read
Watch out! - RU Defence Ministry is announcing sudden readiness checks for the Eastern Military District to "to unfamiliar training grounds at a considerable distance from their permanent deployment points". avia.pro/news/vnezapnay…
👇🏻
Watch out part II!
"Several Ukrainian government, agency, and embassy websites were down on the morning of Jan. 14 in a suspected cyberattack.

The Cabinet of Ministers’ server was not responding to visits while the Foreign Ministry for at least an hour was defaced" kyivpost.com/ukraine-politi…

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More from @OAJonsson

Oscar Jonsson Profile picture
14 Jan
Det händer väldigt mycket nu som pekar på en rysk invasion av Ukraina, och hur det spelar ut sig skulle ha enorma konsekvenser för svensk säkerhetspolitik.

Här kommer en tråd där jag försöker sammanfatta och bedöma läget. Häng med!
Jag kommenterar för närvarande en del i media i olika delar, så jag kommer också knyta in det i tråden för de som vill ha fördjupning.

Kort om mig för nya följare: jag har disputerat på rysk krigföring och forskat på det i ~10 år samt skrivet en bok --> amazon.se/Russian-Unders…
Varför är vi här?

Egentligen kan man dra ut historielinjalen olika långt, men om vi börjar med Sovjetunionens upplösning så var förhoppning att Ryssland skulle gå från att vara en stormakt, ev. supermakt, och börja fungera som en "normal stat".
Read 73 tweets
Oscar Jonsson Profile picture
15 Dec 21
Incredibly screwed. The log4j exploit is a 10/10 on the common vulnerability scoring system. I.e. time to care. gizmodo.com/log4j-just-how…
"Apache’s log4j, is a free and open-source logging library that droves of companies use. It's free and widely trusted, companies large and small have been employing it for all kinds of stuff. The irony, of course, is that this bug-checking tool now has a bug"
"afflicted include big names like Apple, Twitter, Amazon, LinkedIn, CloudFlare. Cloud computing firm VMWare, for instance, reports that 44 of its products are impacted. Networking giant Cisco says that 35 of its tools are vulnerable"
Read 11 tweets
Oscar Jonsson Profile picture
1 Dec 21
One of Russia's best bets lies in its information operations to undermine Western unity, but how effective are they really?

I dug into info ops, and here's some main points from my latest paper for @EurLiberalForum & @fores_sverige

Paper --> fores.se/publikation/th…
What do I mean by Russia's best bet? As put by Chief of General Staff Gerasimov:

“information resources have become one of the most effective weapons. Their wide use allows in a few days to shake the situation in the country from within”
Or by Colonel General Zarudnitsky, head of the Military Academy:

“undoubtedly, the psychological weapon is the weapon of tomorrow”
Read 14 tweets
Oscar Jonsson Profile picture
5 Jul 21
The Russian security council just published their new National Security Strategy.

Here coms some reactions, questions-disguised-as-comments, guesstimates and other good stuff --> Image
1. RU is fearing the West for protecting their hegemony through aggravating Russian internal stability, destroying their economy, and traditional values.

All of this is known materia, but important to emphasize that RU internal problems are constructed as foreign efforts.
2. In this, however, the Kremlin are apparently feeling that they're doing well. They assert that "social cohesion is increasing" but that the increasingly need to protect moral values and social activity.

Sounds like a recipe for surveillance in my ears.
Read 32 tweets
Oscar Jonsson Profile picture
8 Nov 19
1. So, I’ve finished the full interview with Macron and it didnt make things better.

Firstly, publicly doubting Art.5, as one of the key NATO powers, have little upside and a big deterrence disadvantage.

Per @MarkGaleotti, Russia seems to believe in Art5 economist.com/europe/2019/11…
2. A common problem Macron is manifesting is overestimating the importance of a well-performing economy in Russia.

It is neither the overarching goal, nor a requirement for Russia being a security-political threat or for the Russian leadership enriching themselves.
3. Here, the reporter nails it; Macron concludes that Russia must become a partner to the West from his one logic and not Russia’s.
Read 11 tweets

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