🥂Cheers to all of us for surviving the wait for the full suite of Fed nominees 🥂

I’ve written a lot about Fed diversity over the last few years. It’s time for a #FedThread 🎉 on the geographic diversity requirement for Governors.

1/13
The geographic diversity requirement for Governors is quite explicit. And it’s been there since the OG 1913 law.

“...not more than one [Governor] shall be selected from any one Federal Reserve district…”

2/13 Image
The first few pages of this law article give a great history of how this line got in the 1913 act.

Without the requirement, some congressmen feared it would “represent the interests of East Coast bankers to the detriment of the entire country.” ylpr.yale.edu/sites/default/…

3/13
The Fed’s website has a handy list of all the Governors (past and present) and which district they are “from”.federalreserve.gov/aboutthefed/bi…

Here are the districts already taken (in red), available (in white), and a map of the district boundaries.

4/13 ImageImage
Now, although the Fed’s website lists a district…they don’t tell you how they define “from”.

I’m doing this whole thread because for the majority of Governors it’s not where they lived/worked right before becoming a Governor 🧐 weird, right??

5/13
So to investigate this, I went all the way back to every Governor who has been confirmed since Arthur Burns in 1970 (a total of 52) and I documented how they were connected to this place they were supposedly “from”. Here’s what I found:

6/13 Image
And because the reasons are actually pretty fun to browse here is the full list 🤓

7/13 ImageImageImageImage
List continued…

8/13 ImageImage
This chart here is very interesting because it shows the dramatic decrease in the use of the classic “current job” definition in the last few decades.

9/13 Image
The defining of “from” is done by both the White House and the Senate. The WH does it via the formal nomination forms that they send to Congress. The form introduces each nominee as “of [State]”. The Senate does it mostly via the confirmation hearings.

10/13
Nominee Peter Diamond, the Nobel prize winning labor economist, was rejected basically because Senate Rs didn’t like him, but one of their loudest excuses was that the form said “of Massachusetts” and another Governor had already claimed to be “from” the Boston district.

11/13
Given Biden was literally there for Diamond fiasco & knowing the Senate is so divided - you’d think the WH would try avoid this issue at all costs…but nope, in the form sent to Congress the WH lists Raskin from Maryland & Jefferson from North Carolina - both Richmond Fed!

12/13 ImageImage
I have no idea why the WH didn’t preempt the questions and just pick one of the other definitions. Heaven knows they have options! I went ahead and listed them out here 😅

Raskin could easily claim Boston ✅

Jefferson could easily claim New York or Philadelphia ✅

13/end Image

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More from @KalebNygaard

15 Dec 20
In honor of @TheEconomist cover this week...

A sampling of 50 years of inflation on the cover of major magazines (18 in total)

[1/6]
Inflation on the cover [2/6]
Inflation on the cover [3/6]
Read 7 tweets
15 Nov 20
“The Fed could have done more and probably should have done more” - Chair Powell

Time for a #FedThread on Diversity @federalreserve

- Yellen on why diversity matters
- Bostic’s suggestions
- The first Black Director
- My new database
- Charts 🎉
- More resources

[1/34]
So so much could be said about why diversity matters.

But for starters let’s turn to 4 points Janet Yellen, first woman Fed Chair (maybe first woman Treas. Sec.) made at a @BrookingsInst conference:

1) “Basic fairness” - first for a reason, and honestly should be enough

[2/34]
2) “Lack of diversity harms the field because it wastes talent”

3) “Diversity insures that research done within economics appropriately reflects society’s priorities”

[3/34]
Read 34 tweets
14 Jul 20
The @federalreserve Chair has been called the 2nd most powerful position in the world. How much do you know about the people that have sat in the chair?

Fed History thread🎉based on a massive new database we built for new Centralverse interactive centralverse.org/FedWatcher/Cha…
[1/19]
To start, let me introduce you to the ten Chairs of the Federal Reserve. [2/19]
This is where life for each of the Fed Chairs began. [3/19]
Read 19 tweets
20 Feb 20
While designing our "How does the FOMC work?" interactive, we created a database of all 179 members past and present.

[1/12] Here's a #chartthread summarizing what we found.

Full disclaimers at the end. centralverse.org/FedWatcher/FOM…
[2/12] Undergrad Degrees:

Econ by far the most common...but only half of all FOMC members studied Econ in undergrad, and about the same breakdown holds for just the Govs/RBPres. Shout out to Allan Sproul for studying Pomology 🍊🍎🍐
[3/12] Undergrad Schools:

Sure, the "Big Schools" are there, but the range of undergrad schools is shockingly large. Still waiting on an Idaho Rep!!
Read 12 tweets
3 Feb 20
@PeterContiBrown @Claudia_Sahm @DavidBeckworth @dandolfa @sam_a_bell Still looking, but here’s an interesting paper on group think that is focused on the research divisions of central banks (as opposed to the policy makers). kolegia.sgh.waw.pl/pl/KAE/Documen…
@PeterContiBrown @Claudia_Sahm @DavidBeckworth @dandolfa @sam_a_bell Also🔥🔥🔥from the Romers so I’m sure I’m the only one here who is reading it for the first time haha. “Results may indicate that the FOMC’s attempts to add information to the staff forecast are not just unsuccesful, but may lead to inappropriate actions” eml.berkeley.edu/~dromer/papers…
@PeterContiBrown @Claudia_Sahm @DavidBeckworth @dandolfa @sam_a_bell [1/?] Will be going through the Oral Histories and throwing anything interesting I come across here regarding “History of Research” or the likes. First up, Chairman Martin gives permission to present annual forecasts around 1967. federalreserve.gov/aboutthefed/fi… Image
Read 91 tweets

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