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“How to Pick good & safe companies in Sugar Sector”
Thread 🧵👇
Where We are?
Firstly, Sugar is a cyclical business. Ethanol theme is just a tailwind, the industry has not shifted from cyclical to structural.
Let us understand one thing
"Out of all the investor less than 0.5% of investor actually know where we are at the Sugar Cycle"
What Do We mean?
As sugar is cyclical business, we have to bet our position as per cycle. No one knows at what point we are standing right now: At the top, In the middle or its just the Beginning of the Cycle.
Hence to all the investors let's not get carried away with stories.
This thread is important for every investor who invest in Equity Market
Topics Covered: 1. What is Buyback? 2. Why buyback is important for every investor? 3. How to invest & participate in Buyback? 4. What not to do to avoid Buyback failure?
🧵👇
What is Buyback?
When a company repurchases its outstanding share from the market it is a case of Buyback.
Buyback reduces the number of shares from the market, and automatically increases the value of remaining shares. However, the cash of the company gets deployed.
Why is Buyback important?
1. Always be interested when your portfolio company is coming up with buyback
Buyback is a mechanism used by a company to reward its shareholders apart from dividend.
In order to participate in retail category one can apply for less than 90 number of shares.
As per AR 2020, number of shares in hand of retailers is around 22 Lacs (Assuming nos. in conservative manner).
Scenario Analysis:
However not all the people participate in buyback.
With 3 different scenario of 50%, 70% & 90% retail shareholders applying in buyback, the tender acceptance ratio would turn out to be 13%, 9% and 7% respectively.
Interesting Facts about Tyre Industry and, where JK Tyre is Positioned.
"Indian tyre Industry poised to grow at early double digit for the coming few year"
Source: From Business Indian Magazine
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India has prominent place in Tyre industry.
Out of top 25 global tyre business, India has 4 prominent players
- Apollo tyre: Ranks 14
- MRF rRanks 15
- JK Tyre Ranks 24
- Ceat Tyre Ranks 25
In India, 41 tyre companies operate in India with 66 tyre plants spread across country.
Production:
• Avg growth rate over a decade is close to 9%. First half had high growth of 15%, which fell to 4% in the 2nd half.
• From 2014-20, tyre production shot up from 146.1Mil units to 176.7Mil units.
• Peak production happened in 2019. Total output touched 192mil unit