A page on Telegram run by Belarusian Railway Workers claims that Russian Military Forces have begun to transfer military equipment into Belarus via four crossings: Osinovka, Zakopytya, Shesterovka, and Ezerishche.
No 'reverse movement' dates scheduled, as of now.
They estimate the transfer of military echelons will continue for the next 2-3 days.
A brief rundown of what we know tonight as @POTUS prepares for highly anticipated call with Putin:
*Intelligence suggests 175,000+ RU troops involved in a massive, three pronged invasion deep into Ukrainian territory.
*Under direct Kremlin authorization, troops could commence offensive activities the second orders are given. Recent reports of freshly established fuel and supply lines only underscores this point.
*Majority of armored units reside in FOBs within 200km of Ukrainian border.
There is, and I cannot stress this enough, an immediate and pressing threat of Russian offensive activities against Ukraine.
Window of time from official authorization and the start of conflict would be incredibly small: far faster than even the 2014 Crimean annexation.
“The Estonian Foreign Intelligence Service has released an annual report on the growing likelihood of Russian troops attacking Ukraine and the Baltic states through Belarus.”
“According to Estonian intelligence, as a result of the 2020 political crisis, Belarus has become a military district of Russia, and now this "Belarusian military district" poses an immediate threat to its closest neighbors with NATO.”
As we near the end of this decade, I’d like to roll back the clock and revisit some of the scarier incidents we saw unfold over these past 10 years; specifically those that put global peace & stability at major risk.
The following list is in no particular order of importance...
1 —> [23:11:10]
Event: Bombardment of Yeonpyeong
Significance: Most violent violation of the armistice in post-war history. Both parties involved had moved dangerously high up the escalation ladder in a very short window of time.
Personal Note: Fire and Furbies.
2 —> [24:11:15]
Event: 2015 Russian Sukhoi Su-24 shootdown
Significance: First NATO targeting of a Russian craft since the Korean War. Period in relations that immediately followed was tensest in recent memory.
Personal Note: Russia never talked to Turkey again, right?