@CIBSE_NatVent I have run the case on our estimator at docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…

- Note ventilation rate is relatively high, most schools don't meet it

- Leads to CO2 = 1720 ppm, while some of your colleagues in the UK say it is fine if it is < 5000 ppm

Vent rate for 5000 ppm is 1 l/s/p, NOT 5
@CIBSE_NatVent With 5 l/s/p, adding the RELATIVELY SMALL cleaner with CADR = 100 l/s (ACH = 2.4 on cell B31) the risk goes down 30%

With an EXPONENTIALLY growing disease, that's a lot, because it is 30% off EACH GENERATION. I.e. compound interest
@CIBSE_NatVent With the "barely acceptable according to some UK experts" case with 4999 ppm CO2 (~1 l/s/p), then adding that smaller air cleaner reduces the risk 45%.

I would definitely prefer to have my son in a class with the cleaner than without the cleaner
@CIBSE_NatVent Now, let's consider a more properly sized air cleaner. E.g. the ones I donated last year for my son's class gave ACH_cleaner = 4.5

then the risk decreases by 60% at 4999 ppm CO2, and by 44% on the default case with 1720 ppm CO2

DEFINITELY worth it IMHO
@CIBSE_NatVent So for your poll the answer is >> 100 LESS virions inhaled for realistic scenarios

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More from @jljcolorado

Jan 20
1/ THE PENDULUM OF HISTORY OF AIRBORNE TRANSMISSION

As we revise our paper on this (papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cf…), we've added draft diagram to summarize the history visually:

It'll be a few more days till we submit, so please reply with comments, clarifications, suggestions etc. Image
2/ If you haven't seen this, the short version:

- From Hippocrates and during most of human history, diseases were thought to transmit through the air (via a miasma)

3/ Miasma theory dominates till mid to late 1800s:

Cholera, Puerperal Fever, and Malaria (literally "Bad Air" in medieval Italian) were thought to transmit through the air. But demonstrated to transmit via water, hands, and mosquitos, respectively.

Read 19 tweets
Jan 17
1/ El exasesor de Obama predice qué pasará en España en primavera

"Rafael Bengoa, experto en gestión sanitaria y exconsejero de Sanidad del País Vasco, aconseja reforzar el sistema de salud de España: “Su situación es la peor de su historia”"

as.com/diarioas/2022/…
2/ Entrevista interesante

"Ómicron no es el fin, COVID-19 vino para quedarse y lo más sensato es aumentar la capacidad del sistema de salud y crear condiciones favorables en las aulas para evitar contagios entre niños. “La atención primaria es nuestro banquillo. Hay q fichar”"
3/ "La situación va a ser de agobio total en enero y principios de febrero por el decalaje. Esto ha creado una demanda sobre el sistema de salud, probablemente la peor de su historia durante este mes. Con menos mortalidad, pero con una demanda absolutamente brutal."
Read 11 tweets
Jan 16
1/ El artículo CORTO MEJOR y MÁS CLARO que he leído sobre la transmisión por el aire de COVID-19:

- Por qué la historia llevo a la OMS a negarla
- Cómo protegernos

Traducción automática del artículo de @crackedscience

www-mcgill-ca.translate.goog/oss/article/co…
2/ "El 28-Mar-2020, al comienzo de la pandemia, la OMS @WHO tuiteó : “HECHO: #COVID19 NO se transmite por el aire”.

"Para los médicos y científicos biomédicos (incluyéndome a mí), esto tenía sentido. Se sabía que pocas enfermedades se transmitían por el aire."
3/ "Pero para los científicos de aerosoles, esto era a la vez desconcertante y exasperante."

"En siguientes 2 años, OMS y otras organiz. q inicialmente habían negado q el nuevo coronavirus pudiera permanecer en el aire y moverse como el humo cambiaron silenciosamente su postura"
Read 12 tweets
Jan 16
1/ Must read from Dr. Raina MacIntyre:

Key quotes:

"As for denial of the risk in children, the majority of vaccine-preventable diseases that we vaccinate children against are mild in most children. Only a small percentage suffer serious complications"

thesaturdaypaper.com.au/opinion/topic/…
2/ From @Globalbiosec:

"The denial of the airborne transmission was started by experts on @WHO IPC committee & allowed all countries to take the easy way out. If handwashing is all you need, onus can be shifted to “personal responsibility”...
3/ "... if ventilation needs to be fixed, that shifts responsibility to governments and private organisations."

"Denial of Omicron being serious suits exhausted community who wish life could go back to 2019. Omicron may be 1/2 as deadly as Delta, but D was 2x as deadly as 2020"
Read 11 tweets
Jan 15
The BEST and CLEAREST short article I have read about AIRBORNE transmission of COVID: why history led to it's denial, and what to do about it

By @crackedscience

HT @KimABowie & @JANEMCARTHUR11
mcgill.ca/oss/article/co…
If you want more details on the history, the short version in that article summarizes this preprint of ours:

papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cf…

In review, will hopefully pass peer-review soon
And a summary of the history and the early pandemic in this excellent article by @MeganMolteni in @WIRED, that reads like a detective story:

wired.com/story/the-teen…
Read 4 tweets
Jan 14
1/ ¿Dónde y cómo es más probable contagiarse de covid-19?

Nuestro blog en @Conversation_E explicando el reciente artículo en @EnvSciTech, donde mostramos q el supercontagio se debe a aire compartido en interiores, "para todos los públicos"

theconversation.com/donde-y-como-e…
2/ Escrito por @trishgreenhalgh (Investigadora Médica en @UniofOxford y miembro de @theNAMedicine) con la q colaboramos para el artículo de @EnvSciTech, con contribuciones de @ShellyMBoulder, @ZheP_AtmChem, y un servidor.

Original English version here:

theconversation.com/heres-where-an…
3/ Si alguien quiere más detalles, leer el hilo q escribí explicando el artículo de @EnvSciTech:

Read 8 tweets

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