Oh my. Macron offers Russia talks about new security deal with EU. The pieces on the chessboard are moving so quickly.
reuters.com/world/europe/mβ¦
reuters.com/world/europe/mβ¦
Some random thoughts about this.
πͺπΊ This is the sort of 'strategic autonomy' Macron (and many in Brussels) want: deciding European issues to the exclusion of the US. It's exactly what they *should* be doing if that's what they want.
π·πΊ If not handled carefully, it might...2/n
πͺπΊ This is the sort of 'strategic autonomy' Macron (and many in Brussels) want: deciding European issues to the exclusion of the US. It's exactly what they *should* be doing if that's what they want.
π·πΊ If not handled carefully, it might...2/n
...allow Russia to triangulate and weaken everybody's negotiating position.
πͺπΊ It must have infuriated the EU that the US was deciding on the affairs of the EU's near abroad but excluding Brussels, Paris and Berlin.
πͺπΊ This is likely to help France cleave closer to Germany...3/n
πͺπΊ It must have infuriated the EU that the US was deciding on the affairs of the EU's near abroad but excluding Brussels, Paris and Berlin.
πͺπΊ This is likely to help France cleave closer to Germany...3/n
...which is a key strategic aim. However, it is also likely to push the Poles farther away.
πΊπΈ If Washington hasn't been consulted, you'd have to imagine they'd be furious with Macron. Here they are playing hardball, and Le Petit Napoleon saunters up and undercuts them...4/n
πΊπΈ If Washington hasn't been consulted, you'd have to imagine they'd be furious with Macron. Here they are playing hardball, and Le Petit Napoleon saunters up and undercuts them...4/n
πΊπΈ The US has always viewed the EU favourably as a means to guarantee stability and liberalism in an area of key strategic interest to the US. How long would that last in an age of EU 'strategic independence'? Probably at least while the China threat...5/n
...remains. But then?
π¬π§ Might all this help Britain?
That's all top of the head stuff. Random thoughts. We don't know the details of Macron's offer, whether he has run it past Washington, and certainly not whether talks would be fruitful.
Ideas and contributions welcome.
π¬π§ Might all this help Britain?
That's all top of the head stuff. Random thoughts. We don't know the details of Macron's offer, whether he has run it past Washington, and certainly not whether talks would be fruitful.
Ideas and contributions welcome.
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