and now a word from the chair of the Commons Public Administration and Constitutional Affairs Committee ->
https://twitter.com/joepike/status/1484106724768428035
Now picking up steam -
https://twitter.com/BBCNWT/status/1484149149700341770... this could really scupper Boris depending upon how many and what type of stories come out. Just needs a few ... I had to vote for [pick unpopular bill] otherwise they were going to cut [pick popular local activity]
X : Why is this worse that parties?
Me : I'll use the culture map to explain ...
Me : I'll use the culture map to explain ...
... within the culture map there's a powerful cycle which connects our ideas of safety to a sense of belonging to a collective. It works if the collective is seen as successful in spreading its value and we share behaviours based upon those values in the collective.
... the "parties" are highlighting a disconnect between behaviour and the values that are shared in the collective (Conservative). Even with this, it is survivable as long as the collective is seen as successful (i.e. brexit, covid etc) whether that success is true or not ...
... if however you start undermine the success that is seen (losing in polls, cost of living increase, covid not going as well as promised etc) and then start to undermine the sense of belonging (people leaving etc) ...
... then that once positively reinforcing cycle can suddenly become a rout and negatively reinforcing. The trigger will be that idea of safety. Undermine that sense of safety in the Conservative party and it's all over, This seems close to happening - ...
... if the whips have been threatening MPs in the form described above and these stories start coming out then the sense of safety in that party will be over.
Starmer has played a blinder with ...
Starmer has played a blinder with ...
... his offer for "anyone else who wants to build a new Britain built on decency, security, prosperity and respect is welcome in my Labour party" because it touches all the right triggers.
This was very well crafted. I'll assume it wasn't accidental.
This was very well crafted. I'll assume it wasn't accidental.
X : How will Boris respond?
Me : He has to double down on a narrative of success i.e. he has to push that message of success on brexit, success on covid, success on economy, success on whatever whether this is true or not. This latest attack is going to make life tricky for him.
Me : He has to double down on a narrative of success i.e. he has to push that message of success on brexit, success on covid, success on economy, success on whatever whether this is true or not. This latest attack is going to make life tricky for him.
X : Do you think more MPs could defect?
Me : That's possible and if does happen then it'll only take 3 or 4 more to turn it into a flood. This could end up being quite bizarre.
Me : That's possible and if does happen then it'll only take 3 or 4 more to turn it into a flood. This could end up being quite bizarre.
X : Could Wragg join Labour?
Me : Not unless many others do or the accusation would be of a plot.
Me : Not unless many others do or the accusation would be of a plot.
X : What if no-one else comes forward?
Me : Hmmm ... then Wragg is toast.
X : He could join Labour then?
Me : He would be toxic, the whole co-ordinated plot narrative could be used. Labour would have to refuse.
Me : Hmmm ... then Wragg is toast.
X : He could join Labour then?
Me : He would be toxic, the whole co-ordinated plot narrative could be used. Labour would have to refuse.
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