The one thing I have not seen discussed with the impending major Russian invasion of Ukraine is the affects on world food security.
This USDA prediction of Oct 2021 will not come true.
1/
fas.usda.gov/data/ukraine-g…
This USDA prediction of Oct 2021 will not come true.
1/
fas.usda.gov/data/ukraine-g…
Specifically the USDA predicted this:
"Ukraine is estimated to increase production and, subsequently, exports of all major grains (barley, wheat and corn) for MY2021/22."
2/
"Ukraine is estimated to increase production and, subsequently, exports of all major grains (barley, wheat and corn) for MY2021/22."
2/
A mid-February 2022 invasion of Ukraine will result in the April 2022 grain planting just not happening.
What happens to Europe's, heck the World's, food security if there is no Ukrainian grain in 2022 at all and millions of refugees?
3/
What happens to Europe's, heck the World's, food security if there is no Ukrainian grain in 2022 at all and millions of refugees?
3/
So, Putin's pending major invasion of Ukraine simple has not been considered at all by European Union nation states or the Biden Administration at all in terms of their own food security.
Food is a world commodity. Ultra high prices in Europe means food inflation in the USA.
4/
Food is a world commodity. Ultra high prices in Europe means food inflation in the USA.
4/
The lack of Ukrainian grain harvest in the summer of 2022 will impact just in time for the USA's 2022 Federal legislative election cycle.
This has to make deterring an invasion of Ukraine the Biden Adm's top political priority if it wants to keep Congressional majorities
5/
This has to make deterring an invasion of Ukraine the Biden Adm's top political priority if it wants to keep Congressional majorities
5/
The inability of Western elites to consider utterly obvious food security factors at all is a sign of how badly disconnected they all are from reality.
/End
/End
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