AusPolMate - Time for a break Profile picture
Jan 24, 2022 8 tweets 4 min read Read on X
1/ $3.5b tender for Job-Active contracts soon 2B awarded
Repeating the failed payment model from the 2nd fleet
The 2nd fleet paid on quantity & 40% arrived dead or soon 2 die.
Contracts move to quality, 'how many arrived in good health'
Add health oversight & only 1% died
#Auspol
2/ Here is the tender, the closing date in February 1. With the duraction being 3 years.
The majority of Jobactive contracts end on 30/06/22
This is the type of contract that makes an incoming government become stuck with the 'old way' of doing things and makes reform impossible.
3/ In 2015 the Jobactive outsourcing bean with $7.4B in contracts issued.The majority ($7.1b) Bexpire in June 30.
No budget has been published, however I am assuming it will be a bit over the current ~$1b per year, $3.5billion in total.
4/ Schmoozing etc.
Susan Ley among many others are more than happy to be friends with Sarina Russo who has received over $1b in govt work.
New Power is on board of the 4th ranked company for $ of contract
Max is foreign owned, so the we lose a lot of the economic benefit
5/
Michael West has a great article about these connections (i'll post at end).
An interesting change is the requirement for the vendor to say how many staff will be employed and there salary. It looks like the govt will pay big $$ but how much trickles down?
/ 6
The incentive/payment model appears to be exactly the same as it is now.
If someone has been unemployed for 5 years the reward for getting them employed etc. is not much higher than a recenly unemployed person. As Michael West points out, it's cheaper to ignore these people
7/
The full suite of payments will result in the person being forced to do what is more profitable 4 the provider, with zero consideration given to what would be better for the person.
The Harvest Trail (pick fruit) is a joke, an unemployed person will still need to pay rent etc
8/
Some references/links
Here is a good article from Michael West
michaelwest.com.au/jobactive-inve…

The tender page
tenders.gov.au/Atm/Show/82714…

Journal Article & news article about the early convicts being transported to Australia.
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/14…
themandarin.com.au/73989-contract…

/END

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More from @AusPolMate

May 16
1/ Coalition 70 seat minority government
My thoughts on how Dutton has pitched & wedged his budget to take a 70 seat minority govt.
Salient points;
1. Screw renewables, he has no intention of getting greens voters.
2. Re-use existing power plant locations will upset no one.
2/
3. Migrants & Foreign investors don't vote, so no downside.
This is the same as Greens strategy of protesting against things in places they'll never win.
An example is Greens Anti-Adani risks nothing as they'll never take Capricornia or mining towns.
#Auspol
3/
4. Emissions on RV's are perfect for Nationals electorates and reinforce the Greens/Labor coalition narrative News Corp/Liberal/National will keep driving home.
#Auspol
Read 6 tweets
Feb 29
1/ BREAKING LATEST EMISSIONS⬇️459Mt (YR 2 Dec)
Compared to Paris agreement:
➡️Started in 2005 @ 621Mt
➡️Target 354Mt vs Now 459Mt
➡️Target 43%⬇️2005 vs Now = 25.4%
#Auspol #Renewables
The Australian Labor party are the only party in Australia that has a fully modelled plan for how Australia will reach the Paris Agreement target. The Greens have no modelling and the Liberals don't believe in climate change.
Image
2/
Emission from electricity⬇️4.9%; (7.7 Mt CO2-e)
-Driver is more Renewables
Agriculture⬆️2.5%; (2.0 Mt CO2-e)
-Driver is bumper crops
Transport⬆️4.5%; (4.2 Mt CO2-e)
-Driver is post COVID recovery
Share of Emissions👇 Image
3/
Change in electricity generation in the NEM, trend, by fuel.
COAL & GAS are going⬇️down
Benefits from land use changes are tapering out
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Read 5 tweets
Feb 15
1/ UNRWA's & Tunnels- From UNRWA website.
2017 - Tunnel under two UNRWA schools.
2014 - UNRWA discover rockets in school (2nd time)
2021 - What is a "possible tunnel"?
2012 - So many tunnels they describe it as a "Tunnel Area" in Rafah.


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2/ 2021 - "underground structures" & "tunnels."
2017 - Tunnel under an UNRWA school
2023 - Rafah Camp blockade - "1,500 tunnels", "tunnel economy."
2011 - September goods smuggled through tunnels - 90,000 tonnes of aggregate, 15,000 tonnes of steel bars


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3/ 2022 - 'such structures & installations underneath a school' & "Man made Cavity" under an UNRWA school.
2013 - UNRWA condemns tunnels and rockets fired into Israel.
2018 - Two staff who took senior positions in Hamas were sacked
2017 - 3 men died when tunnel collapsed


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Read 10 tweets
Aug 14, 2023
1/ My 10c on Rent Freeze Law -It's easy being Green.
The bill has no cost calculation or estimate.
It's inaccurate to describe the payment as being determined by the Minister. Obviously, the Minister can't determine that $1 is enough, so this section is logically impossible. Image
2/ Property Mgrs/Real-Estate companies will keep the fee while the landlords refund the tenants.
Landlords would need to refund money & redo their tax returns & may need to borrow money to finance the refunds. Image
3/ This will be a disincentive to improving the quality of the rental stock.
Landlords would not want the financial risk of capital improvements that are unable to be recouped.
Body Corporate improvements would become nearly impossible to resolve. Image
Read 9 tweets
Jul 28, 2023
1/ Greens Hypocrisy Busted:
📷Right: Greens using a 1 in 2,000 year flood model to protest against 855 new homes in Max's wealthy electorate. 855 homes lower values?
📷Left: Greens omits the flood model (I've added it back) from their plan for a new school & some public housing. Max Chandler-Mather lying by omission. The Greens are the ultimate NIMBY party. The Greens use a 1 in 2000 year flood model to discredit the proposed development and then propose an alternative use of the site while not mentioning or showing any flood impacts.
2/This is how the Greens present their plan.

Using just a tiny pocket of land to build some public housing & creating hectares of parkland would increase home values. The Greens @Greens and Max Chandler-Mather posting an alternative plan for the Bulimba Barracks site without using the flood map he used to discredit the existing development proposal.
3/
Here are Max's Facebook posts protesting against development on the old army land.
He doesn't mention the flood model is for a 1 in 2,000-year flood on the old undrained army land. Lies by omission by Max Chandler-Mather and the Greens. Using the 1 in 2000 year flood model but making the reader believe it shows an actual flood.
Read 8 tweets
Jul 8, 2023
1/ 🧵Vile Robodebt lies that live on.
If you’ve been told Labor started/pioneered/”laid the foundations” or in any way was involved with Robodebt you have been told a vile lie.
If you are posting this information, then you are lying.
This thread busts these absurd lies.
2/
NO, Data Matching was NOT started by Shorten/Plibersek & Data Matching is NOT Robodebt .
Data Matching has been undertaken for over 50 years.

The 1975/76 DSS Annual Report👇includes details of data matching for fraud detection.
3/
There is some evidence that parliament was using data matching in 1968. During a debate on conscription, this astute politician warned that the use of machines may apply harsh & substantial laws to an individual and destroy their rights.
Read 18 tweets

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