Few plots for BA.3, another one of the Omicron siblings, but apparently the least fit one.
It's never really got above 1% of all Omicrons except for Poland which was presumably just by chance
It was >10% of Omicrons at some point, but has been going down steadily since. 1/
It's never really got above 1% of all Omicrons except for Poland which was presumably just by chance
It was >10% of Omicrons at some point, but has been going down steadily since. 1/
In South Africa, it was at around 1-3% end of November (first detection 18th of November) but seems to have almost disappeared since. It's a bit hard to tell since there are about 40 sequences per day, so you'd only find one every few days, it gets noisy. 2/
So the good news is, BA.3 is unlikely to become dominant. BA.2 is the Omicron sibling to watch. It started out later than BA.1 but has been picking up pretty much everywhere I've looked. Don't think I've found a single country where BA.2 has gone down over time significantly. 3/
You can produce these plots yourself here (best on desktop or desktop mode on phone) 4/
mybinder.org/v2/gh/corneliu…
mybinder.org/v2/gh/corneliu…
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