Jack Niewold Profile picture
Jan 25 15 tweets 4 min read
I will show you the way, anon.

Money is fleeing risk-on crypto assets, waiting for greener pastures.

But you and me know that crypto isn't going anywhere.

Here's where the smart money is going next and why it's going there.

A thread:👇
It's not 2017 anymore. Backbone DeFi protocols are now critical crypto infrastructure.

If you believe Ethereum is sticking around, you probably believe that the protocols that serve it will stay around as well.

Here are 4 crypto assets that I'll buy in any market conditions:
1. $CRV

We've heard about the Curve Wars but few understand how deep of a moat it has over other projects.

DeFi is about liquidity and Curve controls more than anyone else.

The protocol that controls the most liquidity in the most effective way wins.

Ergo, $CRV is winning.
It also has the most elegant tokenomics in DeFi, combined with non-deflationary value accrual method via bribes.

Finally, gigabrain protocols continue to fight for control over the asset.

Buying $CRV is like holding $GME in 2020.

Hold what everyone else will soon want.
2. $DYDX

Investors used to make fun of $DYDX for being a worthless governance token, but it's about to go turbo on value accrual.

With their V4 protocol, they're decentralizing and will turn on fees to be distributed to holders.

Last year? Those fees were over $100 million.
With a market cap of $450 million, this is a P/E ratio of about 5.

And you're bearish, anon?

$DYDX launched its v3 fully integrated with zk-rollups on an app level, meaning it's got one of the best UXs of any defi product out there.

VC tokens don't unlock until Feb 2023.
3. $YFI

Yearn is one of the OG DeFi protocols. It simplifies yield strategies into vaults, so you can deposit your assets and make the best yields without dedicating brain power to the pursuit.

The strategies that do best in sideways/bear markets? Yield strategies.
With revamped tokenomics (and buybacks) with slowly climbing TVL due to market conditions, $YFI is going to go insane considering its bear-resistant revenue of $100 million yearly.

Every dollar of TVL in its vaults = more revenue for the protocol = more buybacks of the token
4. $KP3R

The forex market does $6.8 trillion dollars of volume every day. If a crypto protocol could bring just 1% of that volume on-chain, it would control $68 billion in volume PER day.

@AndreCronjeTech brainchild, $KP3R, with its protocol Fixed Forex tackles this market.
Fixed Forex doesn't just provide currency swaps, though, it also helps liquidity providers denominate and earn yields in their native currency.

This simplifies and derisks DeFi for non-$USD denominated participants.
Value accrues to token holders via fees and a unique rewards structure.

But wait--there is a whole secondary protocol to Keeper (keep3r.network) that helps DeFi protocols automate and delegate dev tasks.

Finally, $KP3R will be transitioning to a ve(3,3) model.

🚀🚀🚀
Does this mean that these protocols will continue in Up Only mode forever?

No.

But are they on absolute fire liquidation sale right now?

Absolutely.
Doing some shopping? Buy cash flows. Buy moats. Buy network effects. Buy value accrual models.

If you're bidding right now, you've got to do it with a mind for the long term.

Anon, this is the way.
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More from @JackNiewold

Jan 26
The result of the drama around @danielesesta and his protocols?

A proposal has been put in place to merge $SPELL and $TIME into one protocol.

Whether you hold $TIME or hold $SPELL, here's what you need to know and whether or not it's viable.

(thread👇)
To get you up to speed:

$TIME is the largest $OHM-fork by Mkt Cap. It has been used as a playground for Daniele (Dani) Sestagalli's VC ambitions and more 'creative' ideas.

It previously offered 5-figure APYs to stakers. But now trading below its treasury value, it's in turmoil.
Abracadabra Money ($SPELL) is a lending platform that lets users take out positions against crypto collateral and yield-generating positions.

This allows users to take out loans that pay themselves off.

These loans charge interest & get liquidated, fees go to $SPELL holders.
Read 18 tweets
Jan 25
The final info on ve(3,3) came out last night.

The brainchild of @AndreCronjeTech and @danielesesta (now officially named Solidly) is fully public and just needs someone to press 'deploy.'

Here's a breakdown of the new alpha and why I'm more bullish on it than ever:

Thread 👇
To get you up to speed, Solidly (token: $ROCK) is a new AMM with improved incentive mechanics (based on OHM and CRV) that:

• make protocols less beholden to liquidity providers
• improve fee revenues for $ROCK holders
• is issued as a locked NFT to the top 25 $FTM protocols
Based on the docs, Solidly will be a direct competitor to Curve: a protocol designed for more efficient swaps for both stables and normal crypto assets.

A more complex liquidity model means that it's structured for fee revenue instead of attracting mercenary liquidity to pools. Image
Read 15 tweets
Jan 21
THE STATE OF CRYPTO PRAGMATIST:

If you didn't already know, I make a living by running a research publication on crypto called Crypto Pragmatist (@cryptoprag).

We've been growing insanely fast and have some very exciting announcements to make.

A thread of the good news: 👇
I have a TradFi background and was working full time, obsessing over crypto at night, until my girlfriend and family convinced me to start the publication.

I jumped all in (sink or swim, baby) and haven't looked back.
We've had literally insane growth, so thank you (yes, you).

I started this thing in August, less than 6 months ago.

Now we have over 11,000 unpaid subscribers and over 500 paid ones: Image
Read 11 tweets
Jan 20
The ve(3,3) alpha is finally here:

@AndreCronjeTech and @danielesesta went on @_FrogRadio today to drop info on their new protocol, Solid Swap (confirmed name: $ROCK).

A thread of the biggest takeaways from the Twitter Space hosted by @CryptoMessiah and @randomtask555 👇
Andre Cronje and Daniele Sestagalli are dropping a new experiment referred to as ve(3,3).

I wrote a thread on it last week that should get you up to speed:

The first thing to understand with this new protocol is the idea of vested escrow (ve).

This was invented by $CRV, backed by a simple idea:

The more you commit to a protocol (with $CRV, by locking up your tokens), the more voting power you get in the future of that protocol.
Read 19 tweets
Jan 17
This tweet from my friend @knowerofmarkets definitely got me thinking this morning.

Is it true that there's no place for long-term investors in crypto?

(mini-thread)👇
Take the Curve Wars.

Crypto Twitter, for the time being, has moved on to other things.

That doesn't mean that the fundamental conditions behind the Curve Wars have disappeared.

CT (and its childlike attention span) has moved on, but the fundamental value in $CRV still holds.
Meanwhile, ST investors are rotating out of it, riding the wave from MAYBE $3 (if they got in early) to $5ish.

While the LT holders don't sell after buying at $1.50.

People like @noahseidman have been talking about $CRV for ages. That guy NEVER sells.

Read 9 tweets
Jan 12
People are piling into the $FTM ecosystem as they realize it's got a few key catalysts in its favor:

• Strong price momentum
@andrecronjetech's ve(3,3) token launch
• An undervaluation of project TVL
• A $1b incentive program

So what are the projects I'm looking at?
Well, value will probably accrue back to $FTM, making it a clear option, but for higher-leverage/higher-risk plays, most are looking at ecosystem coins.

Additionally, the top 20 ecosystem coins by TVL all stand to benefit from the new ve(3,3) token launch.
First, a top-down look at $FTM protocols by TVL.

Measuring protocols by TVL/MKT CAP isn't a perfect way to find undervaluation, but it can give us a place to start when gem-hunting.

Here's a table of the following coins and their $ETH analogs:

(Not a perfect comparison)
Read 17 tweets

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