1/ Japan has fared better throughout COVID than most western countries (146 deaths/million vs. 2,590 deaths/million in the US) despite:
- Very low public trust in gov’t
- Less trust in science
- No mandates
2/ This trope around Confucius societies “winning the COVID-19 war” with “authoritarian mentalities” doesn’t neatly apply to Japan where only 4% of people surveyed in 2020 say they trust the government “a lot”, compared to 9% in the US and 12% in the UK.
3/ Japan has led the way with vaccines among the G-7 without a government mandate and way higher vaccine hesitancy pre-COVID than the U.S.
4/ Many who oppose vaccine mandates and strong government response to the pandemic point to the Japanese approach as a way forward in the US, UK, and other countries, but this misses a key cultural and historical context.
5/ While the 3C's slogan was important, the concept of “jishuku” (self-restraint) was a big reason the message worked in Japan without mandates or coercion, a theme revisited at various times in Japanese history — including the 3/11 Fukushima disaster.
6/ This collectivist concept of “jishuku” doesn’t really exist in the U.S., which ranks #1 in the world in individuality versus other countries ("we're #1!").
7/ This “extreme” individualism serves countries like the US well in many ways — entrepreneurism, competitiveness — but the pandemic required us to play a team sport to beat the virus in a society where everyone wants to play tennis or golf.
8/ Can you believe that the US is still somehow ranked #1 in pandemic preparedness? I am guessing the rankings don’t take into account how hardwired our individualism is in society.
11/ In retrospect, the altruistic messages about working together and helping each other might have been feel-good but the wrong approach. Maybe a more “selfish” message around vaccinations and masks would work better.
12/ Perhaps something more graphic and hard-hitting needs to be the uncomfortable message that needs to be broadcast to “save yourself", which hopefully persuades people to make their own decisions versus the kicking and screaming against vax mandates.
1/ Super excited about the new primary care model we’ve been working on @CarbonHealth and have launched in Mass. with @BCBSMA.
Our model brings together things I’ve been dreaming about since exploring primary care at Apple.
We call it Connective Care, and it’s here now. 🧵
2/ @Apple says the “future of health is on your wrist”, but I always felt the missing link in the experience was being able to close the loop with your doctor with the health data from the Apple Watch.
3/ The Activity Rings are amazing at driving daily engagement and motivating users to be more active, and I’ll bet even still after all these years there are millions of people who stand up in the middle of a day full of Zoom calls after a nudge on the wrist from their Watch.
1/ I love this new @Apple privacy ad taking on data brokers and advertising. Why this fight over your data?
In the digital era, privacy comes down to a battle over freedom of thought — the privacy of your mind. 🧵
2/ What do I mean by the “privacy of your mind”?
It has been described as:
- Protection for “thoughts, sentiments and emotions”
- Freedom from gov’t intrusions and control of one’s thoughts
- Not being punished for “mere thoughts”
3/ Before the advent of the internet, your innermost thoughts could be kept secret and private. Not only were people not broadcasting widely on social media, but most of what you did or wrote also disappeared or washed away with the sands of time.
1/ As we observe this new #BA2 fueled wave pick up real steam, I have my doubts about the signal value of wastewater as an early indicator for rising transmission rates compared to testing.
Some data points below from Silicon Valley. 🧵
2/ In Santa Clara county in California, COVID cases are now well past the height of the Delta surge and will likely approach the peak of the first Omicron wave.
3/ Based on wastewater sampling in the area, you might have “called” the rise in late April/early May but there are some puzzling head fakes of plateaus and declines in the last week.
The data is far too noisy to understand what is happening real-time or to make predictions.
Just because the official case rates look low right now doesn’t mean that transmission isn’t rampant already. Would expect #COVID to ripple across the country in the coming weeks.🧵
2/ Lots of confident takes like this one that this surge won’t be big or that the confirmed case counts look really low right now.
3/ The problem with trying to compare case counts between prior waves and the current one is that testing behavior has fundamentally changed. IHME estimates that for every 100 infections right now, only 7% are recorded in official tallies.
2/ From Sept 2021-March 2022, 40% of people who used an antigen test used it to see if a recent exposure had infected them with COVID.
3/ In the early days of an exposure before symptom onset, antigen tests lag PCR in sensitivity by several days. In the early scramble after being notified of a close contact, the first-order priority is learning whether you have COVID, not whether you are infectious.