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Jan 25 • 12 tweets • 2 min read
Counties which went from Obama to Trump and back to Biden in the 2012, 2016 and 2020 elections:

County (2020 Voting Age Population)
Pinellas County, FL (810,121)
Montgomery County, OH (420,586)
Hillsborough County, NH (338,264)
Northampton County, PA (251,676)
Obama-Trump-Biden Counties (continued)

Gloucester County, NJ (237,281)
Erie County, PA (214,341)
Chesapeake City, VA (189,288)
Saratoga County, NY (188,616)
Broome County, NY (161,645)
Saginaw County, MI (148,604)
Kent County, DE (139,805)
Kent County, RI (139,171)
Obama-Trump-Biden Counties (continued)

Pueblo County, CO (130,863)
Rensselaer County, NY (130,081)
Kennebec County, ME (100,401)
Nash County, NC (74,574)
Clallam County, WA (64,588)
Blue Earth County, MN (55,070)
Sauk County, WI (51,197)
Clay County, MN (48,834)
Obama-Trump-Biden Counties (continued)

Winona County, MN (40,382)
Sullivan County, NH (35,026)
Warren County, MS (34,312)
Essex County, NY (30,642)
Nicollet County, MN (26,581)
Door County, WI (25,305)
Chaffee County, CO (16,471)
Blaine County, MT (4,965)
Obama-Trump-Biden Counties (continued)
Ziebach County, SD (1,570)
Counties that voted for Romney in 2012 and then flipped to Clinton in 2016 and stayed blue with Biden in 2020:

Orange County, CA (2,519,658)
Salt Lake County, UT (874,895)
Gwinnett County, GA (709,484)
Fort Bend County, TX (596,993)
Cobb County, GA (591,848)
Romney-Clinton-Biden Counties (continued)

Anne Arundel County, MD (456,018)
Douglas County, NE (435,999)
Chester County, PA (412,886)
Lancaster County, NE (248,605)
Henry County, GA (179,973)
Gallatin County, MT (95,459)
Nevada County, CA (84,331)
Montgomery County, VA (83,609)
Romney-Clinton-Biden Counties (continued)

Watauga County, NC (46,590)
Whitman County, WA (40,521)
Summit County, UT (32,006)
Only one county in the country voted for Romney in 2012, voted for Clinton in 2016 and then voted for Trump in 2020.

It's Kenedy County, Texas. Voting Age Population: 267.
There are 191 counties which voted for Obama in 2012 and then voted for Trump in both 2016 and 2020. While there are a couple of large counties in this category, like Suffolk County, NY and Macomb County, MI, most of them are smaller counties.
Voting Age Populations of:

Obama-Trump-Biden Counties (29 counties):
Median Population: 100,401
Total Population: 4,110,260

Romney-Clinton-Biden Counties (16 counties)
Median Population: 330,746
Total Population: 7,408,875
Romney-Clinton-Trump Counties (1 county)
Population: 267

Obama-Trump-Trump Counties (191 counties)
Median Population: 21,387
Total Population: 9,717,752

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More from @TheValuesVoter

TheValuesVoter Profile picture
Jan 26
The thing to remember about Fox News is that they probably don’t care as much as we think they do about advertisers. Most of their revenue seems to come from subscriber fees from cable and satellite companies.
So the logical thing for anyone who doesn’t like media companies openly rooting for America’s adversaries would be to pressure the cable and satellite companies.
But my (somewhat uneducated) guess is that one of the reasons they might be accelerating their streaming services is to innocuate themselves from that possibility.

In the end, the only thing the Murdoch family seems to care about, even a little bit, is money.
Read 4 tweets
TheValuesVoter Profile picture
Jan 24
The Fox News poll is one of the most complete polls in terms of breaking out the responses by various demographic groups. In the poll released yesterday:

Men and Women had the exact same net approval of Biden (47/52).

foxnews.com/politics/fox-n…
White Men and White Women were almost the same. Biden had a net 17 point disapproval with White Men and a net 13 point disapproval with White Women.

But here’s where it gets interesting.
Comparing the categories of race, gender and education together, there is a 51 point gap between how White Women with and without degrees rated Biden. White Women with degrees rated him +18. White Women without degrees rated him -33.

51 points.
Read 4 tweets
TheValuesVoter Profile picture
Jan 24
The Cincinnati Bengals had a 2-14 record in 2019. Two years ago.

The San Francisco 49ers had a 4-12 record in 2018.

The Los Angeles Rams had a 4-12 record in 2016.

The Kansas City Chiefs went 2-14 in 2012.

And now they’re all playing in their Conference Championships.
The NFL is designed so that terrible teams don’t stay terrible forever and so that great teams eventually fall from the top.

Which makes it seem unusual when teams never seem to dramatically improve. Even over the course of decades.
All of these teams and a lot of other franchises have seen a lot of change over the course of the last decade. Hired visionary coaches and General Managers. Drafted or brought in franchise quarterbacks. Have numerous players who are All-Pros or in the Pro Bowl.
Read 4 tweets
TheValuesVoter Profile picture
Jan 8
When you compare the Presidential elections of 2012 and 2020, there have been a lot of changes at the county level in both directions.

184 counties shifted 10 points or more to the left.

1,627 counties shifted 10 points or more to the right.

HOWEVER …
The median voting age population of those 184 counties that shifted 10 points or more to the left is 180,583.

And the median voting age population of those 1,627 counties that shifted 10 points or more to the right is 13,820.
Believe it or not, there are more people who are old enough to vote in the 184 counties that got 10 points or more bluer in the last three elections then there are in the 1,627 counties that got 10 points or more redder.

65 million adults in blue shifting counties vs 51 million.
Read 12 tweets
TheValuesVoter Profile picture
Jan 7
In Washington State, 70.1% of the population is fully vaccinated now.
mayoclinic.org/coronavirus-co…

However, in the last month or so, the unvaccinated in Washington State were FOURTEEN TIMES more likely to go to the hospital compared to the fully vaccinated.
doh.wa.gov/Portals/1/Docu…
That number, FOURTEEN TIMES as likely, refers to unvaccinated people aged 35-64 compared to vaccinated people of the same age group.

It’s not that much different for other age groups.
Unvaccinated people ages 65 and up in Washington State were THIRTEEN TIMES more likely to go to the hospital compared to vaccinated people in the same age group.

And unvaccinated people aged 12-34 were still TEN TIMES more likely to be vaccinated compared to the vaccinated.
Read 5 tweets
TheValuesVoter Profile picture
Jan 6
The #January6thInsurrection made me angrier than I’ve been in a very long time. I was furious and it took me a long time just to calm down. My wife advised me to stop watching the news because of how much it was affecting me. ImageImageImageImage
I was angry that elected officials were trying to throw out our votes.

Including a number of Congressman and Senators who did it on just their fourth day in office. Even though they were elected on the same ballots and counted by the same machines and people.
And I saw the images of the violent mob who ransacked the Capitol. And who walked away, many to be arrested and a number of them to serve very mild sentences.

And I knew their fate would have been much, much different had they looked like me.
Read 8 tweets

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