Quite obviously, we need more dApps that build on Borrow side.
I am not quite sure why do we have such an imbalance - my guess is:
"It is much easier to just deposit to Earn than to build loan protection mechanism to leverage Borrow responsibly."
/6
3️⃣ Popular (and automated?) strategies that build on Borrow
I am not aware of too many strategies that capitalize on borrowed funds. @Shigeo808 is forging the path for the others having described his 2021 and 2022 strategy pretty well, with tweets, spaces and Discord. 👍
/7
We need more though... and automated, ideally.
Some safeguards (@NexusProtocol-style or mentioned in 1️⃣) that protect people would help too.
It is much better to choose when your position will automatically be closed (with LTV<60%) than have your collateral liquidated.
/8
4⃣ Higher LTV limit
Gov poll #4:
Increase bLuna `Max_ltv` from 50% to 60% to enable users to borrow 20% more while maintaining the same liquidation risk. This change would increase the overall capital efficiency on Anchor and would ensure Anchor’s sustainability long-term.
/9
That was in July 2021, someone crunched numbers on:
* what is the max 1min price drop of $LUNA
* what is the max premium on liquidation
Based on that, 60% LTV limit was voted as safe even in case of 26% 1min drop and 15% premium.
A few things have changed since then.
/10
Liquidity of $LUNA has grown (comparing **max** daily volume in July to **min** daily volume in Dec)
Binance: max ~$128m ➡ min ~$200m
KuCoin: max ~$43m ➡ min ~$142m
TerraSwap: max ~$8.6m ➡ min ~$11.2m
/11
@TeamKujira provided us (retail investors) with access to liquidation queues, driving the premiums down quite a bit.
It is very rare that the buckets above 8% get filled... and the max bucket premium used (to date, on Orca) was 12%.
/12
Not trying to say we *must* increase LTV, but IMO the conditions have changed enough to take another look at possibly increasing the limit to 65% / 70% / 75% / 80% / whatever.
/13
One thing is sure though - even if Do / TFL kindly splash extra $UST on the yield reserve, that is only going to buy us some time.
With $300m added, we might gain extra 6 months.
We need to do something or we will end up having the same conversation in July...
/14-end
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Position value is arbitrarily chosen as $1000, but does not affect overall observations.
/2
First, let's look at the situation in short time horizon of 1 day.
On the chart, the difference between LP and LP+APR positions is negligible on a first sight (picture 2). We need to zoom in to see where the magic happens.
Auto-compounding at @ApolloDAO and @SpecProtocol is simple:
➡ You deposit a yield-bearing token (e.g. LP)
➡ Yield is collected and protocol fee deducted
➡ With remaining yield more tokens are bought, paired and staked back into LP
/2
That's how APR (no compounding) is turned into APY (regular compounding, e.g. daily). Could be quite a difference, especially with higher APRs and with hourly compounding of @ApolloDAO / @SpecProtocol.
After my guest appearance at @Shigeo808's Twitter space, one of you has asked me:
"How do I use LP IL to my advantage on downswing?"
Well, here is how.
/1
You have 100 $LUNA and will follow @Shigeo808’s strategy. You:
1) Provide 100 $bLUNA as collateral to Anchor (1 LUNA=$70 currently), =$7000 of collateral
2) You take a loan at 25% LTV and get $7000 x 25% = 1750 UST. You swap them to 25 LUNA immediately
/2
3) You increase your LTV to 45% and get another 20% x $7000 = 1400 $UST. 4) You pair 20 $LUNA and 1400 $UST (each is worth $1400) into $LUNA - $UST LP and keep 5 $LUNA in your wallet.
Your total borrowed amount is $1750 + $1400 = $3150 right now.
/3