1/We should see the last ~10 years “of a piece,” with many parallel operations designed to destabilize the west and build to this moment for Russia.
The rise of networked information warfare in Ukraine, the US, Europe and Australia. Perception hacking, reflexive control.
2/The 2014 invasion of Ukraine, to gain a foothold and spoil any NATO ambitions it may have had. Participation in US civil unrest. The injection of information payloads into countries worldwide. Interference in US politics and elections. The Trump years and January 6th.
3/The alliance with Berlin and placement of Germany into a position of strategic dependence on Russian gas. New alliances inside every European country. The Trump moves against NATO and the EU. The promotion of Assange, Snowden, Manning. Operations by Wagner Group/Prigozhin.
4/Encroachment on undersea cables. Alliances with the Greek and Russian Orthodox Church. Driving Project Lakhta messaging through QAnon channels. The “evil Satanic west” and “central bankers/Jews” vs. the “great White Russian saviors” from unholy/homosexual degraded liberalism.
5/The attacks on western financial systems; the rise of cryptocurrencies and other ineffectual and unsubstantial baubles. Propagandists like Rogan and Carlson. The praise of Putin by old-school Republicans like Pat Buchanan. The World Congress of Families, Allan Carlson.
6/Fake, astroturfed “movements” like the Women’s March. Fraudulent operations like Jussie Smollett’s. Paid actors like Owens, Presler, Straka et al. Controlled opposition writers and filmmakers. Media actors that miraculously “switch sides” like Pool and Fairbanks.
7/Loudmouth attack dogs like Greenwald. Populists like Bannon and the Justice Democrats, that mounted a “hostile takeover” of the Democratic Party in 2017. This is just a sampling of the many things that have been in deployed to help build to this moment. And Americans bought it.
8/Now we are building to that great musical climax, when all of these characters and operations come out on stage for the final musical dance number. New ones join in. And the pyrotechnics blind and dazzle the audience. People can’t quite believe what they saw, or didn’t see.
9/All one big theatrical show. “Much better than Cats,” they cheer. The pathos, the gun violence, the audience participation! A triumph, raves Janet Maslin. Jeffrey Toobin and Frank Rich agree. A political and theatrical story for the ages. The Sunday Shows are a-twitter.
10/The producers hope you appreciate the care that went into the set design. The lobby pre-show experience. The roving security guards. All of this was lovingly prepared for you, our audience. The directions were very precise, right in the book for the play: they must never know.
11/Is it wrong to spoil the ending right before the final act, the reveal? Some will say so. We are sorry. We do not mean to spoil the denouement, the moment of catharsis. It may be ruined. If that is a sin then we are sinners. We beg forgiveness, in the name of Dana Rohrabacher.
12/In the name of Devin Nunes and Jim Jordan, we pray. We pray that this country may return to its regularly scheduled program of flawed servants working towards shared goals and the commonweal, unenticing as it may be. For a show like that, will it sell? Do modern audiences
13/want that sort of thing in their entertainment? Perhaps. It would be avant-garde by today’s standards: just think, no actors. Just everyone being… real. Standing up for their values. Finding common ground. Desirable perhaps, but believable? We will see. But for now…
14/The final number is at hand… shhh… the audience settles into its seats. The programs rustle and the murmur of the crowd turns to silence. The theater slowly darkens, and the curtain rises…
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
1/This is correct, and aligns with the Duginist bent of his actions and words. "Despite his professed nostalgia for the Soviet era, Vladimir Putin’s real inspiration is not the nominally internationalist USSR but the ultra-nationalist Czarist empire." atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/ukrainea…
2/For a glimpse into this, look into this Dugin-Romanov fest from last fall which @NPR inexplicably decided to cover with a fawning puff piece. This right here is the network of real concern, ideologically. npr.org/2021/10/02/104…
3/Here's a Twitter account built on this Tsarist white-supremacist ideology itching for war in Ukraine. You might consider reporting it. I did. It's still up. twitter.com/ChrisCason14?s…
Note: "Russia is sharply reducing its reserves, which are stored in dollars, said Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov. According to him, Washington, by its actions, itself undermines confidence in the American currency and makes it risky for international settlements."
This has been going on for a year. They are, through attacking the idea of money, the dollar, and making investments "unreal," trying to crush it. Crypto is a replay attack of the "MMM" Ponzi scheme they experienced in the 90's. So far they have not been very successful.
1/We should be preparing for ways the internet may be attacked. We rely heavily on stable global access to social media and news sites for sense-making and intelligence. That may be disrupted. Here are a few things we might expect in the coming weeks and months.
2/Ukraine may be cut off from the internet or restricted to Russia ASNs. While workarounds for that may be found, they may be fragile and temporary. Expect up to a full comms blackout from Ukraine for the standard internet. This may depend on Rus ability to control chokepoints.
3/Obviously everyone is expecting massive cyber attacks. That could attack critical infrastructure like power and transportation, but also could target US social media like Twitter or Facebook. We have seen that both are deeply vulnerable to attack.
We’re gonna want to keep a sharp eye on this. There has been chatter about Russians poking around with undersea cables for years, and now they would have material reasons to take some kind of action. Not today, Putin. 👀
1/It is possible that Putin has made a fatal mistake. If he does not invade, he will lose face at home and then have to face his own people, internal unrest, and various usurpers.
The only way Putin can level the playing field to “succeed” in this confrontation is hybrid war.
2/This requires tactical surprise, and full activation of his global fifth column, to wage information war and spur localized hot confrontations in the West.
But Western counterintelligence knows who that network is. And they can legally monitor their foreign comms.
3/UK has already shown they are able and willing to get ahead of Putin by spoiling info ops and fifth column operations, in yesterday’s case inside Ukraine. There is a very large, low hanging catalog of players that could be pre-emptively exposed by Western counter-intel.
1/Cryptocurrencies are a social phenomenon driven by a few distinct factions of people, and drawing in recruits into what @FoldableHuman correctly calls a “self-organized high control group.” Here is how this works.
2/In the nucleus are the true believers, the people who read “The Sovereign Individual” (1997) and take it as gospel. This is Thiel, Musk, Sacks, Buterin etc and the people who directly orbit them; this network effectively birthed both Bitcoin and Ethereum.
3/Circling them are people who got rich on Web 1.0 and 2.0, and now want to do it again, but this time with fake internet money and “decentralization” schemes. This is the Saylor, Dixon, and the web3 VC opportunist crowd who follow trends. The Ayn Rand stuff is a bonus.