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Jan 26 • 10 tweets • 9 min read
1/ Dear @rubenivangaalen: find here a more revised version on mortality.

Some questions first:

1) Is excess or the ASMR baseline more important?
2) Averages or trends (which mortality.org is conveniently offering?), what is better?

orwell2024.substack.com/p/netherlands-…
2/ Dear @rubenivangaalen: why is NL having a high ASMR baseline compared with Sweden?

Why is NL infant mortality trend and baseline looking so bad?

Is it normal for such a country like NL?

orwell2024.substack.com/p/europe-infan…
3/ Dear @rubenivangaalen: You claim that vaccination is the reason for the low mortality in the north.

But this is the case in other years as well.

How is it possible, that CBS can't see a basic spurious correlation issue?


4/ I would appreciate a discussion from CBS on those findings:

5/ Could CBS explain what happened here on the males in NL? We fail to understand it.

Isn't this something worthwhile to investigate urgently @rubenivangaalen?

I would assume that this is cardiac related. Can we please see the data to verify?
6/ What is the CBS statement on this @rubenivangaalen.



How is vaccination responsible for something that happens before it was available?
7/ Dear CBS: please find here a more causal correlation of excess, namely the ASMR baseline.

This correlation is present in all years. It's also obvious.

8/ Let's conclude with the Netherlands:

Can CBS explain this with Covid and vaccine and without the wrong "rural" Sweden claims.

9/ Dear @rubenivangaalen.

Find here some background (I will make a new article with the settled 2021 data).

You can DM me: I'm happy to discuss and debate with you further, also in person if you like.

orwell2024.substack.com/p/netherlands-…
orwell2024.substack.com/p/age-adjusted…
10/ Appendix: could CBS explain and look into the Covid death over counting which we can see as a decline (statistical artefact of over counting Covid) in other death causes now.





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More from @orwell2022

Orwell2024 Profile picture
Jan 26
1/ The first part, explaining @profnfenton findings is good, the 2nd part about excess in Germany is wrong to my view.

1) Sweden, Norway and New Zeeland have no excess despite high vaccination.

New Zeeland:


facebook.com/bystronpetr/vi…
2/ Germany: Going deeper on the which group is dominating the excess, we see mainly 65+. The needed vaxx CFR to make this are beyond any reasonable plausible assumption. Again, many countries directly contradict this (SWE, NO, NZ...)

3/ The needed vaxx CFR to explain excess in 65+ is beyond any reasonable assumption.

1) Theory example: even 1:1k or 1:10k deaths would be burried in noise for the 65+:

2) Real data (~1:90k)
Read 5 tweets
Orwell2024 Profile picture
Jan 13
1/ The non reality sides are converging on the harmlessness of lockdowns. 😂

They both have a one parameter explanation where lockdowns do no harm:

A) Covid explains it all
B) Vaxx damage explains it all

"I do not need a number to prove the obvious"
2/ Next one

"We've been through worse than 2 years locked up. We were hungry, we had almost no clothes"

Sure: NL life expectancy
1940: 60-70 y
1920: 82 y

Let's go back to 81 y, 78 y...with lockdowns? Fine? No big deal.
3/ What made them angry?

This here:




They both get irritated when asked to explain this below.

Bingo🏆😎👏
Read 5 tweets
Orwell2024 Profile picture
Jan 13
1/ The reactions to this are stunning.

1) The lockdown side sais "Covid" and deny open Sweden, Norway, FL, Amish...

2) The vaxx is doing all cause excess side sais: the "vaxx"and they deny the high vaxx shining Sweden and Norway.

Equal trauma on both sides.
2/ Both sides use confounded non adjusted OWID excess, but mostly no data at all.

One claim is bad batches:

By chance, all lockdown countries had this issue, but not Norway and Sweden with their open approach leaving kids free.
3/ The vaxx side has no issues with fundamental contradictions, like the unrealistic (percent range) fatality rate needed to make such an excess.

We show them a theoretical example: No engagement, but change of topic. Ignore math and exponential mortality basics and continue.
Read 12 tweets
Orwell2024 Profile picture
Jan 13
1/ US: Surge In Deaths Among People Aged 18-49.

Note: we don't see this is West Europe (Sweden has under mortality in this age group), but in the East yes.

Why is it bad to follow Sweden? Can we agree that it would be nice to have their outcome?

theepochtimes.com/mkt_app/northe…
2/ Now here the comparison USA - Sweden. Shown are age specific mortality rates for the group 15-64 years.

The 2021 excess in US is drastic. Sweden: under mortality. Also last year Sweden did fine on 15-64. Covid did not do this. Hysteria did. Stop it now!
3/ So let's also show the same age group 15-64 for the great pandemic year 2020 and show how Sweden "failed" (to kill the young) while USA was following the pope of science, Dr. Fauci.

Can you see it? Nothing in Sweden.
Read 4 tweets
Orwell2024 Profile picture
Jan 12
1/ Average age of death follow up.

Problem: the chosen window of averaging is a strong factor when aggregating. Aggregations are generally bad as mentioned many times. They destroy information.

So let's go back to raw data.
2/ Let's show it like this.

We spot immediately the 2020 85 years peak in Spain.

Amazing. 85 years.

There are worse problems in the world, that having an average death age of 85.

Percieving this as a catastrophy is totally pathetic.
3/ So let's explain even better with a question.

Is it:

A) better to have unavoidable swings (excess) like Italy, Spain, and Sweden at world record life expectancy levels?

OR

B) better to be Denmark at years lower life expectancy but without swings (because excess is scary)?
Read 5 tweets
Orwell2024 Profile picture
Jan 11
1/ After checking, that mortality.org is actually showing the age standardized mortality rates under "death rate, total", we can work with their all age value.


Here now Netherlands:Sweden 2021. No words. It's a disaster. Below Sweden. Perfect.
2/ Germany : Sweden.

Germany: disaster. The lockdowns finally worked. The other way around. Record excess. And continuously over the weeks. This is what politicians and hysteria did. Not the virus.
3/ Austria : Sweden. @freiheit_ruft

Austria lockdown master: disaster. The lockdowns finally worked. The other way around. Record excess. And continuously over the weeks. This is what politicians and hysteria did. Not the virus.
Read 9 tweets

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