📣 A few years ago I reposted a thread written by @LoriHensler about her and her daughter Savannah's medical situation (she used a different handle at the time): 1/ acasignups.net/22/01/29/meet-…
Yesterday, Lori announced that their situation had become more dire, as her husband had lost his job...and with it, their employer healthcare coverage: 2/
Lori & her family are eligible for a subsidized #ACA exchange policy which, thanks to the #ARP, are more affordable than ever.
Unfortunately, there's a problem: The family has *very* specific provider/etc needs which none of the ACA plans available in their area include. 3/
Folks are trying to come up with a better solution, but in the meantime they're looking at staying on COBRA coverage at full price...which of course is pricey, especially when they just suffered a major income loss.
As much of an ACA advocate as I am, I also recognize that it has major holes to be filled. The #ARP filled two big ones (temporarily). Another big ons is *NETWORK ADEQUACY*...that is, making sure the policies include a *wide range* of doctors, hospitals & prescription drugs. 5/
As it happens, The Biden Administration plans on beefing up ACA network adequacy rules starting in 2023; apparently they were weakened under the Trump Administration (shocker!): acasignups.net/21/12/28/you-d…
This doesn't necessarily mean that Lori & her family's network needs will be resolved by the change, mind you, and even if they are, that won't do them much good for the rest of 2022, so any assistance you could provide them would be appreciated, I'm sure. /END
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📣 Head's Up: This week I'll be re-running my partisan COVID death rate estimates again, but with *age* factored in.
Should be interesting to see how this compares w/my previous "just shift the results red 20% to account for GOP voters being older" spitball.
Note: The data will be as official/concrete as possible (based on data from the CDC, Census Bureau, FEC, etc), but the one factor I'm debating is which age-based 2020 exit poll source to use.
Pew has a good *national* study but I need it for each state. Suggestions welcome.
For instance, in Alabama, here's NY Times, CBS, ABC & CNN.
📣 WEEKLY UPDATE: Vaxx levels by county & partisan lean...now also featuring BOOSTER SHOTS! acasignups.net/22/01/23/weekl…
📣 AMERICA 2022 IN ONE IMAGE (updated thru 1/22/22):
📣 Again, for stats geeks only: Both the R^2 *and* the slope have both broken 0.5 & -0.5 respectively...and there's a pretty obvious reason why they both started increasing again right after Thanksgiving:
Having said that, just for the hell of it, I decided to run the death rates based on vaccination rate INCLUDING deaths PRIOR to vaccination availability as well (since the pandemic started), and guess what?
It's STILL 73% higher in the least-vaxxed decile than the most-vaxxed.
TO REPEAT: EVEN WHEN YOU INCLUDE the horrific first wave of the pandemic in March-April 2020, when people in NYC & NJ were dying by the hundreds with ZERO vaccines, masking, distancing etc, the cumulative death rate is STILL SIGNIFICANTLY HIGHER in the least-vaxxed counties now.
Whoa. Just reached an interesting Omicron data stat.
Stay tuned…posting tomorrow morning.
OK, full blog tomorrow but here's the basics: While I've mostly gained attention for my *partisan* breakouts of COVID data, I also track case/death rates on a *nonpartisan* basis based on county-level *vaccination rates*.
📣 If you live in Massachusetts, you have until SUNDAY to #GetCovered.
If you live in CA, DC, KY, NJ or RI, you have until 1/31.
If you live in NY, you have until 2/15.
If you live in MD, you have until 2/28.
If you live in CO, you have until 3/16.
📣 ALSO, in ANY STATE, if you have a Qualifying Life Event like getting married, moving, having a child, losing your employer coverage, turning 26, getting out of prison, etc, you're eligible for a Special Enrollment Period!
"Caving" implies they have any leverage over Manchin/Sinema. THEY. DON'T. And they didn't even with BIF, really...Manchin did want it, but he didn't want it THAT much--he sat on it for six months, he would've easily sat on it for another year rather than let himself be pressured.
"Offer Manchin a buttload of money for West Virginia!" He doesn't give a shit about West Virginians.
"Threaten to take away his committee positions!" He'd switch parties or resign outright, putting Mitch McConnell in charge again.
"Threaten to sic the DOJ/IRS on him or his daughter!" That's the same authoritarianism we were horrified by under Trump. If they happen to determine there's legit cause to investigate him or a family member, fine...but pressuring them to do so for a vote is bullshit.