Maybe there’s an argument to be made that Joe Rogan spreading disinformation has no effect on people (which would make him an exception in the disinfo ecosystem) but nearly anything is a better source than a twitter poll.
If you wanted to survey Rogan listeners you would need to sample them across the board. The cross section of Rogan listeners who also follow you on twitter is not broadly indicative of Rogan listeners.
Then you need some sort of incentive to screen out respondents who are invested in the outcome of the poll. You want neutral participants, not people who agree with the thread you’re attaching your poll to and know where you stand.
Because you don’t want respondents to be influenced by *your* position either.
Here is how to conduct a methodology sound survey (and note that the results indicate that Rogan *has* increased vaccine hesitancy for his listeners) washingtonpost.com/politics/2021/…
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This is a good example of how framing affects response in survey design. (The first option implies that Biden has not considered all possible nominees before committing to nominate a Black woman.)
You might get a different response if your two options were: "I think Pres. Biden should keep his promise to nominate the first Black woman to the Supreme Court" and "I think it's okay for Biden to break his promise to nominate the first Black woman to the Supreme Court."
Bad polling is sometimes about bad fielding and sampling methodologies, but most of the really bad stuff I see is bad because the *questions* are bad. They introduce biases, lead the respondent etc
If you wanted to design an experiment that would determine causation, you could probably design a randomized controlled field experiment. They're far more expensive than polling though.
And looking at the survey's methodology, it seems like they went to great length to account for potential confounding variables. Inasmuch as survey data can tell you anything about Rogan listeners / vax resistance, this is the best you're going to get.
Was describing the six year old earlier to @Sulliview and @MollyJongFast , the later of whom has met him, as a diligent rule follower when the rules makes sense but gleeful violator when they don’t. Also a very calculated risk taker who hates needless physical risk.
(This is also me, lol.) So six year old watches Jackass-type stuff and says, “why are these idiots doing this? They could die”
But is also like, “I don’t understand why you and dad have all of the power” and then makes a not totally unreasonable argument for why we don’t deserve it. I mostly keep a straight face.
This is so interesting. I generally enjoy (I think?) being a woman—except for the pay gap, and the shittier healthcare—but a thing that is frustrating is that you’re so socialized to repress frustration because you get punished for any overt display of anger…
And then something happens that’s the last straw, but it’s minor, and you burst into tears. And it doesn’t reflect how you actually feel about it—probably not that mad—but it just comes out because you’re taught not to let it out the way men do.
Probably 98 out of the last hundred times I’ve cried, i wasn’t sad; I was pissed off. And then I was pissed off at myself for crying, which is exactly the opposite of what I wanted to convey.
Six year old just ruthlessly owning us. Apparently as late Gen Xers, we talk about 90s movies too much.
Other talents he has: selling you something you already own for one (1) dollar.
He has a genuinely funny bit—like, adult funny not kid funny—where if something makes a loud annoying noise, he opens his mouth very wide and pretends it’s coming out of there but he’s confused by it, points at his mouth, furrows his brow. Kills me every time
It is a moral alternative. But worth noting, it's only an alternative because people like you actively block sex education in American schools, and widely available, free contraception. If you don't want abortion, make safe sex the norm.
Also, Ben: let's talk about your "Do Not Comply" avatar. So let me get this straight: the government can't tell you what to do because it's your body. Cannot stick a tiny needle in your arm for one second to protect the rest of the populace. BUT...
If you're pregnant, they can mandate that you stick endless needles in your arm (which happens when you're pregnant), use your body however they want for NINE MONTHS, and if it harms, which it usually does to some extent, you have no remedy.