Thread by @espiers

This is a good example of how framing affects response in survey design. (The first option implies that Biden has not considered all possible nominees before committing to nominate a Black woman.)

https://twitter.com/ABC/status/1487792676317577217

You might get a different response if your two options were: "I think Pres. Biden should keep his promise to nominate the first Black woman to the Supreme Court" and "I think it's okay for Biden to break his promise to nominate the first Black woman to the Supreme Court."

Bad polling is sometimes about bad fielding and sampling methodologies, but most of the really bad stuff I see is bad because the *questions* are bad. They introduce biases, lead the respondent etc

Here are some questions I think polling could answer that would actually be interesting: 1) a lot of the pushback I see re: Biden's commitment hinges on the idea that doing this is unprecedented, and it's not.

Reagan also promised to nominate a woman to the Supreme Court. I'd be interested to see if sentiment shifts if people are presented with that fact first.

2) Would also be interested to see how people felt about the last minute timing of the ACB nomination and how that correlates to whether they think Biden should be able to rule out nominees who aren't Black women.

3) Would also want to make sure the survey asked some questions about respondents' views on race generally to see where opinion aligns predictably on the SCOTUS question