shivsak.eth Profile picture
Jan 31 β€’ 6 tweets β€’ 3 min read
Do you believe $UST will lose peg before March 1st? Here is a strategies for either outcome..

[1/x] πŸ‘‡
2/

Option 1: You believe $UST will de-peg

Bet Yes on @PolymarketHQ prediction market.

You can make ~700% if $UST peg falls below $0.90 on @coingecko for 5 continuous hours anytime before March 1st. ImageImage
3/

Option 2: You believe $UST will not de-peg

Bet No on @PolymarketHQ prediction market.

You can make ~10% if $UST doesn't depeg by March 1. Image
4/

Liquidity sucks tho (only $23k) - so can't make a sizeable bet either way..

Personally, I'm not doing this because:

β€’ I believe the $UST peg will likely hold (even if @anchor_protocol reduces APY).

β€’ Doesn't seem worth it to risk & lock $ for 1 month hoping for 10% ROI.
5/

If you believe $UST peg has a decent chance of falling below $0.90 for 5+ hours before March 1, then the risk-reward is pretty good. (700% upside vs 100% downside)

But the low liquidity really sucks because you can't make a sizeable bet.
6/

So why am I sharing this post if I don't think it's worth it?

I want people to understand that there are all kinds of different ways to make bets in #DeFi.

DYOR, decide what you believe will happen, and then find the right #DeFi instrument to bet on high conviction beliefs.

β€’ β€’ β€’

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More from @shivsakhuja

Feb 1
#DeFi Q&A #12

Q. Any tips / advice for security when using #DeFi. Have been using a cold wallet (ledger) - what other considerations to avoid getting hacked?

A. A few security / safety tips for DeFi πŸ‘‡
2/

β€’ Cold wallets like Ledger are great especially for your HODL stash

β€’ Keep seed phrase absolutely and completely secure. This is most important.

β€’ Research projects carefully before entering.

Here are some ways to research:
3/

β€’ Check if the project has been audited by a reputable auditor

β€’ Check rugdoc.io for more information.

β€’ Spread out funds across multiple coins / protocols / wallets to hedge against total wipeout:

Read 5 tweets
Feb 1
#DeFi Q&A #10

Q. How likely is it that these yield farming strategies will be banned when regulation comes?

A. My thoughts on this below πŸ‘‡

[1/x]
2/

β€’ #crypto - and #DeFi in particular - is bound to see more regulation. There is too much uncertainty around regulation currently, causing problems for investors and regulators.

β€’ Regulation varies by jurisdiction - so it's hard to say exactly what will be allowed / not.
3/

β€’ Regulation is also slow to catch up. Things move very fast in #DeFi. New projects and models are coming up all the time, which are hard to classify by TradFi frameworks.
Read 6 tweets
Jan 31
#DeFi Q&A #9

Q. What is the difference between $aUST and $UST?

A. $UST is the decentralized algorithmic stablecoin by @terra_money. It maintains its peg through a 2-token mechanism with $UST and $LUNA.

I've explained this before here..


[1/x]
2/

When you deposit $UST to @anchor_protocol, you receive $aUST tokens in return.

$aUST is an interest-bearing token, meaning that the value of the token appreciates to reflect the interest being accrued by $UST.
3/

For example, if you start 1 aUST = 1 UST, and @anchor_protocol is paying 20% APR

Then after 1 year, 1 aUST = 1 UST.
Read 5 tweets
Jan 31
Here's a degen #DeFi play (high risk):

1. Buy $5k $FTM and $5k $TSHARE

2. Deposit both to the FTM-TSHARE LP on @tombfinance

3. Deposit the LP tokens to @beefyfinance. You will receive beefy's moo LP tokens.

πŸ§΅πŸ‘‡ [1/x]
2/

4. Deposit the moo LP tokens to fantom.market.xyz. You are earning 836% APY on this (224% APR)

5. Flip the switch to mark the beefy LP tokens as collateral on @market_xyz
3/

6. Borrow $3k $MAI at 12% APR. You will get liquidated if your LTV > 50% (if the value of your LP tokens falls by 40%).

7. Put the borrowed $3k into the @Defrost_Finance curve stablecoin pool earning 120% APR (230% APY)
Read 12 tweets
Jan 30
Even if you’re farming on chains with low gas fees, transaction costs can eat into your returns significantly.

Transaction costs are more than just gas fees.

Here's an explanation, and some ideas on how to mitigate #DeFi transaction costs when apeing… 🦍 πŸ‘‡

[1/x]
Transaction costs includes:
β€’ Slippage (price impact from swapping)
β€’ Gas fees
β€’ Bridging costs
β€’ Deposit & Withdrawal fees
β€’ Liquidation fees

You should consider all of these when deciding to make a move 😬
2/

1. Slippage πŸƒ

This is the price impact from swapping a token for another.

Slippage is higher when there's low liquidity.

Because #DeFi is so young, slippage is very common, especially when:

β€’ Swapping on newer chains
β€’ Swapping lesser known coins
Read 21 tweets
Jan 29
DeFi Q&A #5

Q. Could you explain yields for pegged assets like FTM-TOMB, LUNA-bLuna, etc, ideally with a worthwhile APR.

A. When you provide liquidity to a pegged pair, there is theoretically no impermanent loss risk (typically, one of the main risks with LP strategies)

[1/x]
3/

Since IL depends on the relative price movements between 2 assets, it should be negligible for a pegged pair.

Typically this means yields for pegged pairs, like $ETH - $WETH, $LUNA - $bLUNA are not super high, since it's a low risk liquidity pool.
Read 5 tweets

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