1. Update: what happened to this paper highlighting problems with the ONS data on vaccine efficacy and safety.......
researchgate.net/publication/35…
2. The paper showed that idiosyncrasies in the ONS data could only be explained by systemic reporting errors which, when adjusted for, showed there was no evidence that the vaccines reduce all-cause mortality.
3. Idiosyncracies included (among others) the observation that, in each age group, there was a spike in non-Covid mortality in the unvaccinated at exactly the same time as the vaccine roll-out peaked for that age group.
4. This suggested the possibility that people who happened to die very shortly after vaccination were being misclassified as unvaccinated.
5. The original version of the paper got >300,000 reads on Researchgate. While some disputed our findings, their objections were all based on the claim that idiosyncrasies in the ONS data could be explained by the fact that the most unhealthy people were not getting vaccinated
6. i.e that there was a "healthy vaccinee" effect. So, we did further analysis and produced the revised version of the paper showing why this healthy vaccinee effect was not supportable.
7. Moreover, if there really was a "healthy vaccinee" effect, it would still mean that all of the ONS conclusions about vaccine efficacy and safety were systemically flawed and biased because they failed to adjust for this effect.
8. The only other type of criticism of the paper was it wasn't peer reviewed – despite its many authors (including senior clinicians who had to remain unnamed to protect their careers) & hundreds of comments and informal reviews from researchers who read the paper on ResearchGate
9. But the main journals (and even pre-print servers medrXiv & arXiv) have been systematically rejecting papers without review if they challenge the 'official' Covid narrative....
10. However, we did submit the latest version to the BMJ two weeks ago. Today they rejected it without review or any explanation why it would not be reviewed.
11. Blog post based on this thread: probabilityandlaw.blogspot.com/2022/02/update…
12. There is currently a problem with links in ResearchGate. The link in 1 goes to older version. This should be the latest (Jan 2020) version of the paper but it also sometimes links to the old version. researchgate.net/publication/35…

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More from @profnfenton

Jan 22
#NoVaccineMandate demo starting outside the BBC
#NoVaccineMandate demo London
Read 5 tweets
Dec 24, 2021
1. This is not normal. All of these tweets in the last few days from blue ticks with almost identical message: tested positive for covid with mild symptoms, thankful for vacc and booster.
2.
3.
Read 5 tweets
Dec 23, 2021
1. The latest ONS report on deaths by vaccination status has serious anomalies (as in their previous report we analysed). Most obvious one is their analysis claims age standardized NON-COVID mortality rate is TWICE as high in the unvaxxed as the vaxxed. This is not credible…
2. If true it would mean either a) healthier people got vaccinated, so all their estimates of vaccine effectiveness are massively confounded by prior health status; or b) the COVID vaccines are full of magic fairy dust that cures non-Covid illness and doubles your life expectancy
3. The report indeed claims that healthy people were more likely to get vaxxed (Page 5). But this contradicts both the NHS Guidelines on vaccine prioritization and the statement on Page 1 of the report
Read 9 tweets
Dec 15, 2021
1. Youtube have removed my interview with .@MaajidNawaz on the basis that it contains 'medical misinformation'. All I did in the interview was explain the results of a multi-authored paper that analysed Office for Nat Statistics publicly available data
2. The video is still on rumble: rumble.com/vq9wth-norman-…
3. Two weeks ago I had another much-viewed video removed by youtube on the same grounds. They reinstated it after I appealed so I've appealed this one.
Read 4 tweets
Dec 11, 2021
According to Victoria Derbyshire and her followers if her brother hadn’t had 3 jabs he’d be hospitalised or worse. I’d love to see the evidence for this.
The typical replies
And her follow up
Read 5 tweets
Dec 9, 2021
1. Here is the full lecture by David Healy which we hosted earlier this week. Extremely important (and concerning) information about the way vaccine safety is evaluated and presented.
2. Here is a transcript and the slides: davidhealy.org/where-does-the…
3. Here are David's thoughts on the event rxisk.org/the-handmaids-…
Read 4 tweets

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