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Tar ⚡ Profile picture
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Feb 3 • 5 tweets • 1 min read
A week ago $NFLX was the worst company, today its $FB

$FB now trading for less than 20x its FCF
Increased position in $FB from 7% of PF to 9% of PF
For those asking for thesis, this isn't a metaverse bet, its just pure margin of safety

FB will generate $40B in free cash flow this year, $10B will be spent towards R&D

Instagram isn't going out of fashion anytime soon

Downside is limited at this stage, Upside isn't
Risks

1. Anti Trust Regulation
2. Significant de growth in ad revenue due to Apple Privacy changes
3. Slower than expected growth in sales of Oculus/Horizon adoption
I can be very much be wrong, please do not copy, do your own due diligence.

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More from @itsTarH

Tar ⚡ Profile picture
Jan 27
#LaurusLabs Q3FY22 Earnings Analysis

In depth attempt to understand beyond the numbers 🧵⤵️
Before we proceed, a disclaimer, that I am invested and biased.

All information presented in this thread, should be consumed with a pinch of salt (maybe two)🧂

This is not a buy or sell recommendation

Please do your own due-diligence and you will live happily ever after!
Lets zoom out first and look at QoQ topline chart for #LaurusLabs
Read 37 tweets
Tar ⚡ Profile picture
Jan 26
Brace for turbulence.

cnbc.com/2022/01/26/fed…
"quarter-percentage point increase" less than what was being priced in, the first to rise will be US Growth/Tech Stocks, our markets tomorrow may be bullish as well

May remain choppy, but the moves should get less volatile both on up and downside
Read 5 tweets
Tar ⚡ Profile picture
Jan 25
#IndiabullsRealEstate Q3FY22 Results

⭐️The Good
1⃣ Debt further reduced to ₹976cr
2⃣ Divestment of Subsidiary of ₹580cr
3⃣ Sold receivables of ₹2,159cr & total completed inventory of ₹983cr

👎The Bad
1⃣ New Sales were only of ₹184cr & Gross Collections of ₹292cr

1/5
Now I do not know why there was a slowdown in New Sales, they haven't provided any information in the Earnings Presentation

If they are finding it hard to sell inventory then its an issue & a systematic risk

Having said that, these numbers do not mean much on their own

2/5
Company is being valued on the numbers of Embassy without investors getting any insight into what Embassy's performance was like this Qtr

This should get resolved Q1FY23 onwards post merger with Embassy is completed

Hard to value #IBREAL on its own result in such scenario

3/5
Read 6 tweets
Tar ⚡ Profile picture
Jan 6
Its not the weekend!
But grab a cup of chai anyway ☕ here is a ad-hoc thread on

1. Why US Fed Interest Rates matter?
2. What impact does it have on growth stocks?
3. What do rising rates in US mean for emerging markets like India? Image
Lets first explore what objectives US Fed has and what mechanisms does it use to achieve those objectives? Image
Fed is entrusted with two main objectives

1. Price Stability (Control Inflation)
2. Maximize Employment Image
Read 37 tweets
Tar ⚡ Profile picture
Dec 18, 2021
It's the weekend!

Grab a cup of coffee, in this thread I will explain

1. What are REITs and REOCs?
2. How do they work?
3. How to value and invest in them?

Lets dive right in!
This is Embassy Golf Links Business Park, my old office, the place I spent 12 hours a day, 5 days a week for 7 years. Image
It's one of the biggest and oldest Business Parks in Bangalore, spread across 2.7 million square feet and is centrally located. Image
Read 40 tweets
Tar ⚡ Profile picture
Nov 27, 2021
It's the weekend!

Grab a cup of coffee, in this thread I will explain

1. Why position size and allocations are key to investment returns?
2. How to determine correct position size?
3. How to manage and maintain existing positions?

Lets dive right in! Image
Allocations are everything when it comes to investing and its a place where majority of investors go wrong. Image
If fundamental bottoms up research is your rocket

then

your position size is the fuel that will carry your rocket (investment) to the mooooon 🚀🌕 Image
Read 50 tweets

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