Republican politicians exist to steal your money, keep some, give the rest to the wealthy. Then they use racism, sexism, and anti-government rhetoric to get idiots to reelect them. Trump is now getting in the way of Republicans’ usual thievery, so of course they want to dump him.
In spite of some of more simplistic punditry insisting “they’ll never ditch Trump no matter what,” there was ALWAYS a threshold at which republican leadership would selfishly decide to ditch Trump. The only question was when or if that threshold would be met.
If Trump’s approval rating had dropped into the 20s while he was in office, republican leadership would have ousted him (this isn’t just my take; John McCain once said the same thing).
Once Trump lost, GOP leadership was always going to dump him once criminal charges were near.
Once Trump lost, GOP leadership was always going to dump him once criminal charges were near.
Even though the media is still largely pretending Trump isn’t going to be prosecuted, everyone close attention – including GOP leadership – expects he’ll be indicted in NY and Georgia before the midterms. And the 1/6 hearingd will be ugly and may trigger DOJ prosecution of Trump.
The minute Trump lost, his ugly breakup with the GOP leadership was inevitable. The only question was when. Now it’s starting to happen. McConnell, Pence, Thune, Koch etc on one side. Trump and his RNC puppets on the other. The two sides have completely incompatible agendas.
The GOP establishment wants the RNC to focus on winning the midterms and keeping the corrupt money flowing. Trump wants the RNC to pander to his too-small base, keep his imaginary hope for 2024 alive, and promote weak republican midterm candidates who are personally loyal to him.
Given that Trump still controls the RNC through his puppet McDaniel, but McConnell is much savvier than Trump and appears to have the support of the right wing money bags, it's difficult to predict who will end up with control of the RNC. But the fight for control is happening.
Regardless of which side wins the battle for control of the Republican Party, the battle itself will do severe damage to the GOP's chances in the midterms. If you're focused on a brutal internal struggle, you can't effectively fight external enemies.
The best case scenario for the GOP establishment would be if Trump is indicted very soon, and they can use that to unplug him from the RNC. Actually the best scenario for the GOP establishment would be if Trump keels over, then they wouldn't have to worry about him at all.
So at this point Republican leaders are trying to retake control of the RNC, which is being held hostage by an unraveling madman, and their best hope is that he goes to prison or croaks. Talk about the GOP being in a desperate situation, just nine months before the midterms.
This doesn't mean the Democrats magically win the midterms just because Trump and the GOP are at war with each other. Liberal activists will still have to put in the work on voter registration, get out the vote, etc, in order to win – even if the other side is imploding.
Keep in mind that once Trump lost, he was always going to end up indicted, and the GOP was always going to selfishly try to cast him off once indictment was near. Some things in politics are very predictable, even if we don't know how this GOP civil war will play out from here.
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