Upon closer inspection of the $AMC Share Lending Volume, there is a MASSIVE changing of hands going on here, but the actual trading volume is extremely low.
Further, the number of new shares on loan and returned shares from the day the Utilization maxed to 100% is ~ the same.
Additionally, several recent anomalies in the Short Exempts activity indicates there was also a notable loss of control on $AMC stock by market makers.
Note the short exempt spike Jan 21-25, and the subsequent volume spike 6 days later (Feb 1). That's interesting.
This is speculation on my part, but what I believe is happening is a settlement of shares in order to deliver on a massive number of FTDs.
Do you all remember DTCC-2021-005 and NSCC-2021-002? Those two rules had a profound effect on our market because it was meant to end FTDs
Specifically, naked shorts were going to be stopped because there would need to be actual shares in the inventory to back up any naked puts/calls which were being used in the form of FLEX Option contracts as "synthetic" shares
There were ALSO changes to the Supplemental Liquidity Deposit (SLD) requirements for NSCC members which was effective June 23rd.
This required DAILY intraday SLD calculations to prove that members were meeting liquidity margin requirements during ...
If there was an assumed liquidity crisis in the works, the NSCC would be pressuring members to post liquidity as collateral for upcoming predicted volatility due to options expirations.
Further, ALL options must be backed with REAL SHARES
The fact that $AMC, $GME, $PROG, $BBIG, $SENS, $BKKT, $GOTU, $GTLB and MANY other heavily shorted stocks are ALL moving upward together against the overall market downtrend signals that SOMETHING is coming, and I can't pretend I'm not excited as a 6 year old on xmas.
There's also a notable shift into $BTC lately which has been signalling that a crypto surge is coming soon.
All of these can result in major liquidity problems for brokers and market makers, in which case, NSCC supplemental liquidity requirements AND DTCC-2021-005 rules
It's also no coincidence that $AMC options expiration is showing some interesting trends as well. 6% of $AMC's free float is on the call chain for $30 strike and above...
That's 33.18M shares that need to be hedged for iif they were to go ITM...
I'll say that again... 33.18M Shares are on the line if $AMC went to $30 before March 23...
That's PRETTY FUCKING CLOSE to how many "BORROWED" shares just changed hands 2 days ago!
My suspicion? This is a hedge against volatility that they can't stop!
Myself and the other analysts at #HellsTradingFloor will be CLOSELY monitoring the situation, so please consider tuning into our streams for further updates, or perhaps consider joining us at discord.gg/hellstradingfl…
Please note that none of the above information is financial advice, and I'm not a financial advisor. Most of what I have said is just conspiracy theory... but what the hell isn't a conspiracy anymore?
Been a while since I did a DD thread. Let's talk about $AMC this time.
My thesis: Moon Soon. 🦍🤝💪🚀🌕
This is a long one. Fuckle the Buck up.
So the biggest observation I've made in my Short Exempt Squeeze Signal Theory, to date, has been that massive incoming short exempts (SEs) while the price is rising out of market maker's (MMs) control.
For those in need of a refresher, Short Exempts (SEs) are shorts which are exempt from REGSHO's Uptick Rule while a stock is on the REGSHO Short Sale Restriction (SSR) list.
SEs are also exempt from the locate rule.
SEs are ONLY allowed during "Bona-fide Market Making Activity"
It's been a while since I did one of these. This time, $BBIG is the subject of our conversation.
$BBIG saw moves of 20% with a long-standing pattern of repeating squeezes and massive falling wedges. If the trend continues, we may yet see it again.
This is just the beginning NFA
A lot of people made fun of us for this chart, but @AJ_LogicalChaos pointed out something that we frequently talk about in #HellsTradingFloor, and that's Algorithms tipping their hand by demonstrating repeating patterns.
Between these Fib timelines and the repeat wedges...
... I am convinced that $BBIG is being dragged around by a trading algorithm that is looking to profit on both the upswings and downswings on $BBIG.
Given the volume and OBV spike, I'm taking this as a sign that a move to the upside is imminent around 2/04 or earlier.
Something that came to my attention today was the rapid trading of massive blocks on $PROG.
I want to credit u/AwarenessProud1079 for this research, as he has established an interesting link between the original CEO of #PROG and his new affiliations
The OP of this post references "Andrew R. Midler" in his post, and states he wasn't able to establish a link between himself and any entities... but I was.
And my findings were... interesting to say the least.
What makes this interesting isn't just that Andrew Midler appears specifically in Progenity's filings referenced in the redditor's post, but it's the companies Savitr also has an investment in.
As others have pointed out, the cross actually happened yesterday. Today was confirmation and continuation of the trend.
Note that we gapped up in PM and filled that gap this morning before we re-bounded back up to test $2.70, a level of continuous stubborn resistance.
This doesn't mean that every day will be green going forward. What it means is that the stock is likely to enter into a long, ongoing bull-market with prices rising on a long-term trend.
Algos that trade on technicals look for these patterns to find an entry point.
Market maker and hedge fund Hail Mary sell offs continue to attempt to drive down the prices of every meme stock to attack the conviction of everyone in this trade.
This is the ultimate dip before the ultimate rip.
DD to follow
OBV (On-Balance Volume) is an indicator that shows the trend of buying versus selling based on the sum of share trading volume regardless of share price.
It is a general rule of thumb that the OBV rising means buying and OBV falling means selling.
OBV is best used when compared with other indicators to determine share price trend such as MACD, RSI, Bollinger bands, etc.
These are "oscillators" that show when a stock's price is likely to reverse its current direction and predict volatility.