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Alastair Thompson Profile picture
@althecat
Feb 10, 2022 • 9 tweets • 5 min read • Read on X
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#NZ #ExtremeWeather Update thread:

The latest JTWC update has Cyclone Dovi strengthening to 96 knots of sustained winds, putting it on the threshold of Category 3 Hurricane Strength.
While #CycloneDOVI is very unlikely to maintain anything close to this all the way to NZ, this is not good news for the Nth Island in rain/flooding terms.

[Image: 24 hour satellite animation of #Dovi featuring New Caledonian radar data showing an intense well formed eyewall.]
Outflow of moisture - an atmospheric river - generated by #CycloneDovi is already delivering intense rains in NZ in a band which is steadily moving northwards.

A strengthening #Dovi will increase the amount of moisture in this river.
Forecasting cyclone intensity is something of an art and the JTWC tends to be conservative in its projections. So the forecast of intensification to close to Cat 3 Hurricane intensity is a little alarming.
We can find out more looking at intensity modelling, which as you can see here is somewhat experimental >> cyclocane.com/dovi-spaghetti…
The other method of determining the strengthening or weakening path of cyclones is expert observation of the satellite presentation of the storm which is also what the JTWC peeps do. This account is worth following for a 2nd opinion.
From a model perspective there is now a very high level of simulation model agreement on the path and velocity of this cyclone which is expected to speed up significantly over the next 24 hours and cross NZ fairly quickly.
Latest model simulations are fairly consistent, the center of Cyclone #Dovi is expected to approach the West Coast on Sunday evening and the humid air associated with the cyclone should clear NZ altogether by Monday afternoon.
Finally, at present the GFS and ECMWF models are very much in alignment on where they think the rain is likely to accumulate, and how much is expected.

Taranaki currently looks like it is in the eye of the storm.

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More from @althecat

Alastair Thompson Profile picture
Feb 4
This forensic @cnn video presented by @kaitlancollins - detailing the events leading up to the 10 Shot attack on Minnesota Medic Alex Pretti is devastating and ought to be enough to seal the deal and END ICE now.

Collins copresses Trump over concerns from Epstein survivors youtube.com/shorts/IHXnZDw… via @YouTube

Her reporting on the Minnesota killing of Doctor
For the wider picture this from Nicole Wallace is also superb.

Finally CNNs Kaitlan Collins coverage of Epstein is also superb - especially her interview with one of the survivors advocates.

It appears that the insane and deeply evil manipulations emanating from the white house & Justice Department related to the now (but not really) released Epstein files are a complete cover up. Not only are survivors names unredacted effectively putting a target on their backs (my words not from the report….

… but the witness testimonies from survivors are in some cases maybe most of them - completely redacted.
Whilst driving today I listened to a lot of extraordinarily good reporting about mostly #ICE+MURDER & Intimidation the open congressional hearing is particularly good including astonishing accounts from other victims of ICE that are simply terrifying.
Read 7 tweets
Alastair Thompson Profile picture
Dec 26, 2025
The U.S. constitution appears to be holding up at this point. But the drip drip of the Epstein files means President Donald Trump is looking increasingly impeachable and this will almost certainly trigger the begining of a premature end of @realDonaldTrump’s presidency. /1
Subpoenas of internal justice department officials will likely be the next step. And as there is bipartisan agreement on this there is no “get out of jail free” card on the table for those implicated in this horror show. /2
As the net closes in on the growing number of investigation suspects in this widening gyre it is becoming increasingly likely that the impact of this political events in the U.S.Capitol on politics across the entire U.S. will be seismic in scale.
Read 5 tweets
Alastair Thompson Profile picture
Oct 29, 2025
This @nytimes New York Times report is startling in its implications. Trump appears to have won the dominance contest OVER @IsraeliPM Netanyahu, who has been it seems diminished within Israel politically as a consequence of @realDonaldTrump’s interventions.

I, for one hope very much that he succeeds in his objectives.
Very importantly Trump is holding the line on extremist Israeli efforts to annex the West Bank. Should Trump hold course the possibility of a real long term 2 state solution - with Israeli and Palestinian cooperation may yet come into view.
nytimes.com/2025/10/27/wor…
Read 4 tweets
Alastair Thompson Profile picture
Oct 28, 2025
This from Max Blumenthal

:
Netanyahu’s Desperate PANIC & Massive Cover-Up Exposed via @YouTube
FWIW Max I think the next step is to look more closely at the Magdeburg and New Orléans terror attacks…. The Magdeburg one is especially suspicious abd the new Orléans one accompanied by Elon musk’s cyber car explosion are both linked to Elon.

He tweeted “only AFD can save germany” both before and after the Magdeburg attack
And the New Orleans attack modus operandi was almost identical to the attack in New Orleans
Read 4 tweets
Alastair Thompson Profile picture
Oct 3, 2025
This made me cry …. Tears streaming down my face. This is so very sad.

#Gazaunderattack
#GazaUnderFire
If @realDonaldTrump chooses to join Netanyahu’s genocidal campaign if he is not obeyed …. he WILL find himself indicted in the international criminal court in The Hague.

And he will then have to make a decision on whether he is willing to remain in the U.S.
@realDonaldTrump Should he proceed as he has intimated that he should now be pursued by protestors everywhere he goes.
Read 7 tweets
Alastair Thompson Profile picture
Sep 26, 2025
🔴 Al Jazeera English FLASHBACK| Live via @YouTubeyoutube.com/live/gCNeDWCI0…
Immediately after this speech NETANYAHU ORDERED AIR STRIKES ON LEBANON
From the inside the global forum of all of the UN Building.
Read 6 tweets

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