How dumb the spread of disinformation can be; some Twitter rando photoshops a picture from yesterday's nursery shelling, quickly admits it was a photoshop, and now people are sharing it like it's legit. Half expect it to appear in a Russian MoD press conference by this evening.
For those interested, the source of the background image is a video showing the outside of the nursery that was attacked.
Even after I made that tweet people are still sending me it as if it's some amazing trump card. Just demonstrates how easily disinformation gets out there and how hard it is to stop it once it does when there's an audience willing to lap it up
Anatomy of a Russian Seperatist False Flag - On February 18th the Telegram channel of the press service of the People's Militia of the Donetsk People's Republic published the following video, claiming to show a sabotage operation targeting chlorine tanks t.me/nm_dnr/6192
They claimed that Polish speaking saboteurs "planned to blow up a tank with chlorine on the territory of a sewage treatment plant near the city of Gorlovka” and the video was recovered from the saboteurs' bodies. t.me/nm_dnr/6191
However, the online community started to quickly identify a number of issues with the evidence presented. @oldLentach examined the metadata from the video, and discovered a media creation data of Feb 8th, and a Feb 4th project folder date.
Does any serious person take Russia's attempts to justify their invasion of Ukraine seriously? It's like they're phoning it in. One really obvious attempt to create a pretext for invading after another.
Their report to the UN was nearly entirely sourced from RT Russia articles. It's a like a fig leaf made of glass.
It had a real "doing all your coursework on the last day of term" vibe to it.
It would be nice if @Maxar and other satellite imagery companies sharing their imagery from Ukraine publicly could also make that imagery and imagery showing larger areas available on Google Earth. It's the kind of thing that's incredibly helpful for researchers.
When we were investigating cross border artillery strikes from Russia into Ukraine in 2014 that sort of imagery was extremely useful, but there was months between it being taken and then appearing on Google Earth.
Had that imagery appeared on Google Earth within a few days of the events occurring it could have been possible to prove Russia was firing artillery into Ukraine as it was happening when the internationally community could have responded, not 9 months afterwards,
Reported location of today's nursery shelling in government controlled Eastern Ukraine. If this is the correct building the impact location would be here.
If there is a Russian invasion of Ukraine we can expect it to be very well recorded through open sources, but there's serious questions about how effectively that information is analysed and shared with the public.
The challenge with open source investigation is usually not a lack of evidence, but a lack of capacity to analyse it, and difficulties in turn disseminating that analysis, all of which has to be done in a timely fashion to maximise its usefulness and impact.
We need quality analysis turned around quickly, not reports on what happened a month ago trickling out. The question I have is has anyone built that sort of capacity over the last several years of conflict in Ukraine?
I've been reviewing the videos of the US raid in Syria that killed the new head of ISIS and there's some details that are emerging about the aftermath that might lend some credence to the US claims about a bomb being detonated.
I've only identified one video that shows corpses at the scene, and that was filmed at night. If you've seen the video with a grey splodge in the middle you'll know the one I mean (and if you have a splodgeless version please send it over).
Three corpses are visible. They're positioned on the ground opposite the side of the house that exploded, around the area marked on the map below.