Thread by @orwell2022

1/ What CBS should ask themselves is:

Q1: How is it possible to have such a C19 mortality (same as in 2020 without vaxx) in the 65+ group which is 92% vaccinated with a vaccine which protects against C19 death with 98% VE.

https://twitter.com/rubenivangaalen/status/1493838078225563649

2/ VE of 98%:

Q2: If the VE is true, all those C19 should be in the unvaccinated 65+. While this group is ~5% of the cohort, it would require a 20x fatality rate. This would have been seen in low vaxx countries. But it is not.

3/ Portugal:

Q3: This country is 99% vaccinated with the vaxx which protects against death with 98% VE. Why do they have a higher mortality than Sweden, Norway?

4/ Data transparency:

Q4: Could CBS publish how many of the deaths were in vaccinated and vaccinated group by 5 year age band. The ratio should give a VE of 98%. A factor of ~50.

This also suggests, that without vaccination, we would have have had 11k*50 ~ 1M C19 deaths?

5/ 85+ group:

Excess is ~5k. 85+ population is ~400k.

Population unvaccinated is ~20k.

With the VE of 98%, 10%-20% of the unvaccinated group died from Covid in week 40-52? Correct?

We should see an Armageddon in countries with <<95% vaccinated in the 85+ group. Do we?

6/ Correction tweet 4: 11k*50 ~ 500k C19 deaths. Imagine how bad it would have been. More than 10% of the 65+ cohort would be death in 10 weeks.

Why aren't the Amish and people in the NL bible belt all dead yet?

7/ Let me show you how bad it would have been if the 65+ cohorth had been fully unvaccinated in Q4 2021.

100k (VE 90%) - 500k (VE 98%) lives were saved.

Thank you Pfizer, GGD, CBS, @MinPres and @rivm.

The almost extinction event in NL was prevented just in time.