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Feb 18 26 tweets 8 min read
Are the lorry queues in Dover due to #Brexit?

🚛🚛🚛🛳️🛳️🇬🇧🇪🇺

A thread 🧵...1/
...First some context on those queues.

The Port of Dover has a Transport Access Protocol (TAP) which it implements when it’s having trouble processing lorries through customs smoothly...2/

...The TAP sends lorries that are trying to get onto ferries bound for the Continent queuing down the A20 in Kent, so as not to have them clogging the roads of the town of Dover itself ...3/
...(Note: it’s separate from Operation Stack and Brock, which were no-deal Brexit traffic contingency plans for Kent)...4/ gov.uk/guidance/kent-…
...TAP has been a real pain for lorry drivers who have faced very much longer waits because of the queues.

And the local MP, Natalie Elphicke, told #Newsnight use of TAP adversely impacting local communities on the A20 with noise and pollution...5/

..kentonline.co.uk/dover/news/dov…
...So how often has the TAP been implemented lately?

The TAP has actually been in existence since 2015, so it pre-dates even the Brexit referendum...6/
gov.uk/government/pub…
...#Newsnight been sent the monthly breakdown of its use by National Highways.

So far this year it’s been activated 23 times by the Port (Jan and Feb 2022 so far highlighted)...7/
...having been implemented 69 times in total in the whole of 2021...8/
...So it does seem to be being used more often – especially when you compare its usage to Jan and Feb (when lorry volumes tend to be lighter) in previous years...9/
...But is this *because* of Brexit?

What has changed in January in terms of the Port’s ability to clear lorries?

Well there are new import checks on goods coming to the UK...10/ gov.uk/government/new…
...Yet this would logically affect INBOUND traffic to the UK, so causing delays on the French side.

But something changed on the OUTBOUND customs side too...11/
...Until 1 January goods could be exported and the paperwork completed afterwards (during a 60-day grace period).

Now, though, it has to be completed BEFORE the lorry joins the ferry...12/
gov.uk/government/pub…
...It’s this requirement that seems to have led to additional checks in Dover, where no checks existed before Brexit...13/
...However, the Government has argued that it is “untrue” to suggest that short delays to freight movements at Dover have been caused by new customs processes...14/
...A spokesperson told #Newsnight: “The primary causes were ship-refitting, which reduces capacity across the short straits, and higher than expected freight volumes.”...15/
...The Port of Dover ALSO attributes to the increased use of TAP to some ferries being away on re-fit in January and also points to “external highway works impacting the Port’s holding capacity.”...16/
...So according to the Port itself it’s not JUST the new Brexit customs controls prompting the increased use of TAP...17/
...Yet the port also told #Newsnight:

“These recent supplementary factors, when added to the already increased time to pass through the Port following the introduction of further customs controls on 1st January 2022, have led to the activation of Dover TAP”...18/
...So the Port IS saying that the new customs checks - brought in because of Brexit - have exacerbated the situation...19/
...And sources at the port told #Newsnight that customs checks per lorry are on average closer to 5-6 minutes since the New Year rather than 2-3 minutes as it was previously...20/
...So if you consider that 10,000 lorries per day pass through the port at peak periods you can see why even a short extra delay per lorry can create backlogs that require the TAP activiation...21/
...Will the port and the hauliers manage to reduce the clearance time back to previous levels as they get used to the new checks?

It’s possible, though some logistics companies #newnight spoke to were not confident...22/
...Moreover, the Port is extremely concerned about new biometric tests that the EU is planning to impose on all arrivals from third countries (which now includes the UK) from September....23/ bbc.co.uk/news/uk-englan…
....That could slow lorry processing times even more, creating the prospects of even *more* use of the TAP...24/
...See this week's #Newsnight report from Dover here, around 31 minutes in: bbc.co.uk/iplayer/episod…

ENDS
ADD- you can also watch my #Newsnight report on #Brexit costs and opportunities on YouTube here:

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More from @BenChu_

Jan 10
A key plank of Michael Gove's #buildingsafety plan is to get banks to lend to people looking to buy in affected properties.

He stressed that was his goal several times in Commons today...

#cladding #BuildingSafetyCrisis
...Of course, one of the agonies of people caught up in this crisis is that they often can't sell their flat because the banks won't lend a mortgage to a prospective buyer of a property of potentially zero value.

Which means many are effectively trapped in an unsellable home....
...So will the plan unlock bank financing & liberate people?

UK Finance @UKFtweets which represents lenders tells me tonight that Gove's plan is a "positive step"...
Read 15 tweets
Jan 10
Listed UK housebuilders are taking some punishment this morning on the back of Michael Gove's cladding plan - they're down 2.5-4.5% while FTSE 100 is flat

Early days of course, but a sign that the market, at least, judges they might be compelled to fork out sizeable sums
...Analysts at the stockbroker Jefferies say the official letter unearthed by #newnight 's @lewis_goodall shows the Treasury is determined that housebulders should pay for remedial action *not* taxpayers - hence the hit to their share prices today...
...don't read too much into market reactions as to the impact/effectiveness of government policy - but it's notable that traders aren't currently assuming Gove's plan will leave housebuilders' profit outlooks unscathed
Read 7 tweets
Nov 1, 2021
This is very interesting and potentially important - the Climate Change Committee takes issue with the argument of the Treasury in its Net Zero Review that decarbonisation investments should NOT be financed from public borrowing... theccc.org.uk/publication/in…
...As the CCC says, future generations benefit from decarbonisation so reasonable for them (rather than solely current taxpayers) to pay part of the cost through higher borrowing with interest bill spread across coming decades...
....Plus - Sunak's "Green Gilts" = funding decarbonisation through borrowing
Read 7 tweets
Oct 21, 2021
BREAKING #gascrisis

@BBCNewsnight has seen a letter from gas shipper CNG - which is exiting the wholesale market - to struggling domestic energy supplier firms saying that have only until 30 November to find a new shipper...
...The letter also confirms these domestic supplier firms will NOT be able to transfer any hedges they have with CNG against soaring wholesale gas prices to a new shipper...
...“I am sorry to advise you that hedges are deemed to be an asset of CNG’s wholesale shipping business and must therefore be ring fenced for the benefit of creditors generally. The cannot be novated nor the value of these hedges transferred.”...
Read 8 tweets
Oct 20, 2021
Two of the largest holes in the government's net zero plans in June according to the Climate Change Committee (the government's official decarbonisation watchdog) were on encouraging public diet change and curbing demand for flights....

theccc.org.uk/wp-content/upl…
...Now, in the week of its official Net Zero Strategy document, the Governments states:

"We have no plans whatsoever to dictate consumer behaviour in this way. For that reason, our Net Zero Strategy published yesterday contained no such plans".

bbc.co.uk/news/business-…
Read 4 tweets
Oct 20, 2021
"We have no plans whatsoever to dictate consumer behaviour"

So says the gov, on why it deleted a paper from its Net Zero Strategy doc dump yesterday which suggested ways to change public behaviour (flying less, eating less meat) to hit targets...

bbc.co.uk/news/business-…
...note that in June 2021 the Climate Change Committee (CCC), @theCCCuk, explicitly demanded from the Government:

"Quantified, credible pathways for sectoral decarbonisation, technology deployment and *behaviour changes*"...

theccc.org.uk/wp-content/upl…
...Hard to see how that government statement on *not* encouraging behaviour change fits with that CCC requirement.

CCC reprentatives were pretty warm about the Net Zero Strategy docs yesterday - but keep a close eye on how they treat this latest line from the government.
Read 5 tweets

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