Sekhar Profile picture
Feb 20 6 tweets 2 min read
How to avoid FOMO?

Buying stocks at any price either keeps us in losses for a long time or gives us limited profits if they eventually recover. This is true with quality companies as well. Imagine, you bought

Divis @ 5450
IRCTC @ 1250
Laurus @ 700
Jubilant Foods @ 4500

1/n
When you ask successful investors, they will tell you that they made most money in 3-5 stocks and rest of the stocks were complimentary. What it means is, we just need to get lucky with identifying 3-5 right stocks and buy them at right price.

2/n
We often tend to chase stocks because we believe in that fraction of a moment that there is no better business to invest in. Instead, what if we make a list of 15-20 cos (with tailwinds for next 3+ yrs) & arrive at best buying price, and patiently wait for them to come down

3/n
Now, you are thinking what's the guarantee the price will come down to our liking. There is no guarantee but who would have thought Divis (best API player in the town) would come down to 3900 after it touched 5500. I can give you 20 more examples!

4/n
The point is we just need to get lucky with 3-5 cos. Luck favors the patient! Here are 10 cos that I want to buy @ the price of my comfort (some may never fall)

Max Health:300
Laurus:450
APL Apollo:700
SRF:2100
RHIM:450
KPIT:450
SonaBLW:500
IEX:180
Fluorochem:2200
LTTS:4000

5/n
You may not like my list or you may have other preferences. As long as we do research, have discipline and be patient, we can find the opportunities. Here is a @soicfinance video that can give you few ideas (with good tailwinds).


n/n

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More from @LearningEleven

Feb 21
Alufluoride has given it's highest ever quarterly sales in Q3FY22

Maybe this is the break-out qtr or maybe this is just a flash in the pan.

It's a 250cr market (micro) cap co with low debt and high ceiling.

Lets learn about it before we conclude one way or the other!

0/n Image
This is the most time I have spent on any company!

Since industry is a bit unique, tried elaborating the aluminium manufacturing process as well so you can appreciate what Alufluoride does

@Atulsingh_asan Bhai-Wud luv your feedback

Pls retweet if U learnt something

1/n
How this thread organized?

1)Alufluoride-Intro
2)Some facts about Aluminium industry & demand
3)Applications of Aluminium Fluoride (AlF3)
4)Role of AlF3 in Aluminium production
5)Market 4 AlF3
6)More abt Alufluoride & Peers
7)Valuations
8)Thesis & Anti-thesis
9)Conclusion

2/n
Read 41 tweets
Jan 16
0/n
I have studied Manali Petrochem, sharing here is the summary.

@Atulsingh_asan Bhai, I know you have been tracking MPL for a while, pls do share if I misquoted or missed any key points.

@sahil_vi, @ishmohit1 - Would appreciate your feedback on the approach

@VVVStockAnalyst
1/n
Let's learn about Manali Petro

Many Petrochemical companies are available at attractive valuations. Kothari Petro has given 60% in last one month. Can it happen for others? Listed below are various Petrochem companies but I am covering Manali Petro Chem in detail today.
2/n
Why am I talking about Manali Petro?
1. Bcoz what used to be a revenue of 170-200 crores per quarter 2 years ago has jumped to 436 crores for Q2FY22
2. Because what used to be ~10% OPM two years ago jumped to ~36% for Q2FY22
3. FII shareholding went up to 2.68%, highest ever
Read 21 tweets
Jan 14
I enjoy studying Small Cap Companies & one of the best ways to study them is to observe the work of Small Cap Fund Mgrs. I analyzed top 12 funds & the top 5 holdings in those funds (Data-as of Dec'21). Nippon, in spite of large AUM, is doing very well!

Here is the summary:
(1/n) Image
(2/n)
The usual suspects, SBI Small Cap & Axis Small Cap are missing from this list because their last one year returns are lower. My observation is SBI & Axis funds are a bit conservative and they actually perform well in sideways market. Lets see the sector allocation: Image
(3/n)
It's not surprising Technology is leading and Metals & Chemicals are in top 5. I am actually surprised Textiles' allocation was a bit conservative. Lets see the list of companies that are repeated in more than one fund. Image
Read 4 tweets

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