Alex Brogan Profile picture
Feb 20 17 tweets 4 min read
15 powerful concepts I wish I knew earlier

A thread...
Rhyme as a reason effect

We are more likely to believe statements that contain a rhyme, compared to statements that don't

"Woes unite foes"
"Woes unite enemies"
"Misfortune unites enemies"

Which seems more believable? Be wary of this in advertising or persuasion
Selective perception

The tendency not to notice and more quickly forget stimuli that cause emotional discomfort and contradict our prior beliefs

Can cause issues when you allow small problems to become bigger problems through a lack of appropriate attention
Social comparison bias

The tendency to have feelings of dislike and competitiveness with someone seen as physically or mentally better than oneself

Remember: We are only competing against our past selves—be better than you were yesterday
Subadditivity effect

The tendency to judge the probability of the whole to be less than the probabilities of the parts

When assigning probabilities to questions or problems, decomposition into small parts to ensure probabilities and risks are understood at a more granular level
Subjective Validation

Believing or accepting an idea or statement if it presents to you in a personal and positive way

Example: you enjoy eating bacon and come across an article that talks about bacon as healthy, you'll believe it more because this "validates" eating more bacon
Time-saving bias

Misestimating the time that could be saved (or lost) when increasing (or decreasing) speed

Not limited to driving, can also apply in areas like healthcare, where we misestimate the effect of adding or subtracting physicians on waiting times
Road well-travelled effect

Where travellers (or commuters) estimate the time taken to traverse routes differently depending on their familiarity with the route

Frequently travelled routes are assessed as taking a shorter time than unfamiliar routes
Unit Bias

The tendency to think of a unit (rather than a fraction or %) of something as the appropriate or optimal amount

If you’ve ever felt you should finish the chapter of the book you were reading before placing it on the nightstand, then you’ve felt the nudge of unit bias Unit Bias
Zero-sum heuristic

Judging a situation to be zero-sum (i.e., person A's gain is person B's loss) when it is actually non-zero-sum (both parties can gain together)

"There’s a false notion that poor countries are poor because rich countries are rich."
- Michael Miller
Egocentric bias

The tendency to rely too heavily on your own point of view when examining events or trying to see things from other people’s perspective

Example: You overestimate the amount of work that you contributed to a group project
Extrinsic incentive bias

The tendency to attribute other people's motives to extrinsic incentives, such as job security or high wages, rather than intrinsic ones, such as learning new things or building a new skill
Illusion of transparency

The tendency for people to overestimate the degree to which their personal mental state is known by others

Also applies to overestimating how well we understand others personal mental states
Illusion of external agency

The false belief that good and positive things happen because of external influences rather than personal effort.

For example, you get good grades in school and attribute that to external variables ("The teacher likes me" or "I got lucky")
Illusory superiority

The tendency to overestimate your positive qualities and abilities and to underestimate negative qualities, relative to others

Applies to intelligence, performance on tasks, and the possession of desirable characteristics or personality traits Illusory superiority
Projection bias

A self-forecasting error, where we overestimate how much our future selves will share the same beliefs, values and behaviours as our current selves, causing us to make short-sighted decisions
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More from @_alexbrogan

Feb 21
15 concepts I wish I was told when I was younger

A thread...
Trait ascription bias

The tendency for people to view themselves as relatively variable in terms of personality, behavior and mood while viewing others as much more predictable in their personal traits across different situations
Worse-than-average effect

The tendency to underestimate one's achievements and capabilities in relation to others

Related to imposter syndrome and is the opposite of the usually pervasive better-than-average effect (Dunning-Kruger effect)
Read 17 tweets
Feb 19
10 concepts to make you a tiny bit smarter than you were yesterday:
Irrational escalation

The phenomenon where people increase their investment in a decision despite new evidence suggesting that the decision was probably wrong

May include money ("throwing good money after bad"), time, or — in the case of military strategy — human lives
Less-is-better effect

People sometimes prefer the worse of two options, but only when the options are presented separately

When people consider both their choices together, their preferences reverse, so that the less-is-better effect disappears
Read 12 tweets
Feb 19
10 concepts for better thinking:

Thread 👇
Decoy Effect

Describes how, when we are choosing between two alternatives, the addition of a third, less attractive option (decoy) can influence our perception of the original two choices Decoy Effect
Distinction Bias

Describes how, in decision-making, we tend to overvalue the differences between two options when we examine them together

Conversely, we consider these differences to be less important when we evaluate the options separately
Read 14 tweets
Feb 18
5 concepts you should know in 5 Tweets:

DISC Model
Instrumental Conditioning
Blind spot
Choice-supportive bias
Denomination Effect

Thread 👇
DISC Model

A model of human behaviour commonly used in business settings describing four distinct temperaments that can be found in individuals

D: Dominance
I: Influence
S: Steadiness
C: Compliance DISC Model
Instrumental Conditioning

Occurs when you choose to continue, or discontinue, a behaviour based on the positive or negative reinforcement you've received for that behaviour previously

Also known as "trial-and-error" learning
Read 9 tweets
Feb 18
5 concepts I wish I knew earlier

A thread...
Empathy Gap

Underestimating the way behaviour is largely affected by one’s mental state when you're not currently in that mental state

If you feel calm, you'll find it difficult to predict how you'll act if someone angers you
Meat Paradox

Many of us experience the 'meat paradox', whereby we simultaneously care for animals such as cows, yet also consume them as meat

Applies to many other moral issues where we stay in the 'dark', to protect the illusion that we are morally consistent and sensible
Read 9 tweets
Feb 17
5 concepts you should know in 5 Tweets:

Ringelmann Effect
Group Attribution Error
90-9-1 Rule
Braess's Paradox
Pollyanna Principle

Thread 👇
Ringelmann Effect

As a group size increases, individuals tend to become increasingly less productive

Consider a tug of war. As more people are involved, their average performance tends to decrease because each participant feels that their own effort is not critical
Group Attribution Error

Falsely assuming that the views and decision outcomes of a collective group reflect the view of each member in that group, even when information is available that indicates that all members do not support the decision

Closely related to steretyping
Read 9 tweets

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