Western official: Over 110 BTGs now on border with "number still in transit". Two-thirds within 50km of Ukraine border. A significant number have moved closer since Thurs. Of those within 50km range, around half are now "tactically deployed"—moving out into tactical formation.
Western official: Russian armed forces going from "postured from military operations to being poised for military operations". All the indications we see are for a large-scale invasion using multiple axes, with a series of objectives.
Western officials: "there are elements within the military and Russian security services who have a very serious doubts about the plan to invade, and its effectiveness and tactical and strategic wisdom, to put it mildly."
Western official, in response to my question on whether "tactical formations" are in western Russia only or also in southern Belarus on Kyiv axis: "we're seeing these sorts of tactical deployments in in all areas where we would expect, around the various axes for invasion."
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