Chris Perruna Profile picture
Feb 21 3 tweets 1 min read
🧵Monetary Indicators "Don't fight the Fed"

Monetary conditions exert an enormous influence on stock prices.

The monetary climate - primarily the trend in interest rates & Federal Reserve policy - is the dominant factor in determining the stock market's major direction.

#Zweig
2/ Falling interest rates reduce the competition on stock from other investments.

Costs to corporations fall as interest rates drop, thus reducing expenses when they borrow money.

As expenses fall, profits rise.

When interest rates drop, investors tend to bid prices higher.
3/ The OPPOSITE effect occurs when interest rates rise.

Monetary indicators generally have their greatest impact on the bullish side & only moderate impact on the bearish side.

An investment strategy should never be determined on the basis of one indicator but PAY ATTENTION!

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More from @cperruna

Feb 15
🧵25 Stocks Under the 200d ma

- COVID Growth Stars
- IPO: 2015-'21
- 11% to 52% below respective 200d ma
- Broken charts, need to recover

$ASAN $DOCN $U $NET $APPS $OKTA $CELH $RBLX $CRWD $COIN $SOFI $ETSY $ESTC $SHOP $RDFN $PLTR $UPST $TDOC $DOCU $ROKU $SQ $ZM $DKNG $FVRR $SE
$ASAN - $68.66
-11.4% below the 200d ma
-52.9% off high
38.23 P/S
$DOCN - $59.02
-13.1% below the 200d ma
-55.76% off high
16.25 P/S
Read 26 tweets
Feb 4
Bear Flag in down-trending markets

Just one example but a powerful graphic showing that a stock can have a quick & large move up, following a big pullback.

But notice the longer term trend & 200d ma.

It dropped another 82% after the 100% bounce.

Watch for these in this market Image
It's a common pattern in a bear marker.

I don't know if we're headed towards a bear market but I do know this:

Watch for this bear flag pattern across many names.

If they fail, watch out! Image
Image
Read 7 tweets
Jan 19
1/ Nasdaq with 817 new lows today, the most since March 18, 2020 at 1,698.

And the most since March 9, 2020, when it hit 1,406 (on the front end of that extreme run).

2,097 was peak on March 12th

That extreme run went from March 9th to March 18th

$COMPQ
2/ Look at the Nasdaq daily % change between March 9th and March 27th.

Insane up and down days - this is the exteme flush I often refer to. We haven't had this yet, with regards to the indexes. Growth has had it.

Largest down day: -12.32%
Largest up day: +9.35%
3/ The 2018 $COMPQ lows, for comparison
Read 5 tweets
Jan 3
🧵Stocks to Watch 2022

$ABNB $AFRM $APPS $ASAN $COIN $CURI $DDOG $DOCN $GENI $GLBE $INMD $MQ $NET $OPRX $RBLX $SI $SOFI $U $UPST $ZI

Detailed Blog Link:
chrisperruna.com/2022/01/02/sto…

Detailed analysis for each individual stock is within this thread, via a screenshot from the blog.
2/ Please understand that I have several portfolios that I manage for my family:

1. Growth Portfolio (active)
2. IRA Portfolio (passive)
3. Index Funds (passive)
4. Crypto Portfolio (active & passive)

I diversify my net worth across active & passive investment portfolios.
3/ This year’s list contains 20 growth names to watch in 2022.

That is ALL this list is, a personal watch list that can and will change over the course of the year, so please do not take it as a recommendation to buy, hold or sell any security.

It is NOT my growth portfolio!
Read 30 tweets
Dec 5, 2021
🧵 The Signs Were There!

"Some things cannot be taught; they must be experienced"

The growth stock over-valuation signs were obvious.

Experience gives one an intangible feel for the market.

It really helped me save money this time.

10 Tweets from September October & November
1/ Sept 27

A divergence in market indexes vs underlying breadth (i.e: new highs & new lows) is essentially saying:

"Do what I'm doing, not what the averages say I'm doing"

Individual stocks often give the tip before the indexes follow the move.

2/ Sept 30

Nasdaq - 8 Distribution Days in September!

Technically, the market is in a correction!

The market has caught up to the weak breadth that we have been tracking since July.

One always reverts to the other!

200d ma support is a key level.

Read 11 tweets
Nov 30, 2021
🧵 Beware Stage 4 | The Declining Phase

A period when the factors that maintained a stock's price during the topping phase give way to the fatigue & pressures of sellers.

Lots of examples:
$FVRR
$TDOC
$PTON
$PDD
$GRWG
$PINS
$ROKU
$DKNG
$ZM
$RDFN
$PYPL
$FSLY
$COUP
$CHGG
$STNE
2/ $FVRR
3/ $TDOC
Read 17 tweets

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