🧵 Beware Stage 4 | The Declining Phase

A period when the factors that maintained a stock's price during the topping phase give way to the fatigue & pressures of sellers.

Lots of examples:
$FVRR
$TDOC
$PTON
$PDD
$GRWG
$PINS
$ROKU
$DKNG
$ZM
$RDFN
$PYPL
$FSLY
$COUP
$CHGG
$STNE
2/ $FVRR
3/ $TDOC
4/ $PTON
5/ $PDD
6/ $GRWG
7/ $PINS
8/ $ROKU
9/ $DKNG
10/ $ZM
11/ $RDFN
12/ $PYPL
13/ $FSLY
14/ $COUP
15/ $CHGG
16/ $STNE
17/ As the charts show above, it's dangerous to hold & buy stocks that are in stage 4 declines.

In addition, it's dangerous to hold & buy stocks that have cut below the 200d ma & cannot move back above, while in these stage 4 declines.

Wait for a new stage 1 or base to form!

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Chris Perruna

Chris Perruna Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @cperruna

20 Oct
1/ Occasionally I zoom out to the monthly charts to cancel the "shorter term" noise and view what some winners are doing:

Using the 9 month average in these charts (approx the 200d ma).

$SHOP $ETSY $IIPR $MDB $TTD $CRWD $NET $SE $SQ $ROKU
2/ $SHOP
3/ $ETSY
Read 11 tweets
18 Oct
Q: How do we identify winners?

Fundamentals & Technicals!

Sales & EPS growth QoQ & YoY, 25%+
Institutional sponsorship growing quarterly

Positive Chart action: above major moving averages & trending higher.

Nothing is guaranteed but the above tilts the odds in your favor.
Read 6 tweets
5 Oct
15 Quality Stocks at or near the 200d ma

$AAPL*
$ADBE
$AMAT
$APPS*
$CRWD*
$DOCU
$ESTC
$ETSY
$FB*
$MELI
$PYPL
$SHOP
$SQ*
$V*
$YETI

The stocks above have historically caught support or built bases at or near their respective 200d ma.

*stocks I own

Charts: @MarketSmith
1/ $AAPL
2/ $ADBE
Read 17 tweets
8 Sep
1/ $PATH - $62.46, down 7.5% after hours but the report looks good.

Slides in thread:
1. Overall glance
2. ARR
3. Revenue
4. Profitability
5. Guidance

#HoldingShares
2/ $PATH ARR
3/ $PATH Revenue
Read 5 tweets
30 Aug
1/ $ZM Thread - Slides from Investors Relations:

Closed at $347.50 but down 10% AH.

Guidance was flat - Wall Street likes to see it higher.

Q3 Rev: $1,015 - $1,020 million vs $1.0173B estimate

Full Year Rev: $4,005 - $4,015 million vs $4.012B estimate

#holdingshares
2/ $ZM Revenue Growth in Q2

$1 Billion is quarterly revenue but growth slowing - as expected, post COVID lockdowns.
3/ $ZM FY22 Expenses & Margins
Read 5 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

:(