Between the high inflation (& resulting Fed action expectations), Russia-Ukraine escalation and the general negative sentiment towards growth Cos in the last few months - this is probably one of the worst weeks to be reporting results.
E-Commerce Cos have their own issues to deal with (tough Comps against COVID qtrs, Supply chain & Labor/wage issues..). Let's see what they delivered and guide.
If I buy specific positions to hold for the long-term (as long as Business is strengthening & opportunity cost is not high), I expect certain months & quarters like these.
That's par of the course of long-term investing.
Seeing the GFC & March 2020 up close and how silly prices can get to the downside and far away from intrinsic value when there's true fear in the Markets (I've no clue if we are anywhere close yet or if we'll go that far)...
..slowly buying solid/durable growth Cos at (close to) historically low valuations will usually result in pretty decent outcomes.
Yes the Fed tailwinds (like in March'09 & March'20) will help in expediting the favorable results...
..but if the Business is truly growing its intrinsic value, the market prices will catch up sooner or later with the true value. That is the general bet I make when buying good Cos slowly during bad times (not rec).
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When things are going great in Markets and everyone's happy, I usually like to read more of Ben Graham, Seth Klarman and Howard Marks, to focus more on intrinsic value, downside risk and market psychology & cycles etc.
$ROKU Didn't get a chance to get into much details yet (maybe this weekend).
Below highlighted were just some concerns from the income statement based on the 1st look. Any Roku experts here that can answer any of these Qs.
Keeping aside the qtr to qtr beats & misses and stock price reactions, with so much CTV tailwind I'm more interested in
-Evolving Competition in Smart TV and how their partnerships are going.
-General trend of Active Accounts, engagement & ARPU trends (post COVID)
-Platform Revs, growth and Margins. Ad Partnerships.
-Traction on (& value) from the investments on ROKU channel.
-How they navigate the evolving CTV advertising landscape and competition from Amazon/Google.
Any $RBLX experts here (other than @honam who might not be able to comment)?
Just quickly went over the results. Most metrics look OK, except for recent Bookings trend.
DAUs & Engagement (as of Jan-22) still increasing but Booking decreasing YoY?
Tough COVID comps or something more at play here (or I'm just misreading it)?
I guess explanations will come on the call tmrw.
(Are parents finally winning the battle of not paying for Robux for the 10th time in a month ? I doubt it😀)
Thank you for all the comments. Yes higher DAU growth & lower bookings from Developing Markets could be causing some of this (will have to wait & see from full commentary/call).
For those inspiring to be Business focused long-term investors, below would be my recommendations of Businesses to intensely study.
30 old and 30 new Companies and my reasons to include them. ⬇️
Read up on their origin stories
-Their Mission, purpose and Values
-Main products/services & evolution
-Business models
-Customer focused & long-term oriented Management Teams that created/re-created their Success
-Company culture, Capital Allocation,
-Creating/extending Moats
-Leveraging Technology and adapting to times
-Finally long-term Financial statements to put everything into perspective....