Robert Young Pelton Profile picture
Feb 25 13 tweets 5 min read
Revisionist history. Putin is not trying to recreate the Soviet Union. Roosevelt did that at Yalta by agreeing to where troops would fight the Germans. There was no logical reason for most of the East European countries to come under later Russian rule. iwm.org.uk/history/how-ch…
Many conflate the 1895 Russian Empire with the 1991 Soviet Empire. Two different animals. Oh look Alaska no stans, and not much Europe. Putin is not "rebuilding" either.
Like Saudia Arabia, UAE and other petrodictatorshps, Putin is simply pushing Russian spoiler influence into dead zones in Africa, Europe and Asia. Controling or squat on resources that China needs to send to the developing world. Putin & co are simply stealing stuff.
As for Ukraine Putin is just stealing people (44 million added to a languishing 144M) and manufacturing capability (Antonov, Motor Sich etc) that Russia needs desperately. He hopes the Ukrainian people will not be angry and get back to work for new owners.
If the media would stop being target fixated they would discover a web of Russian fuckery aided by the UAE with KSA money all over the world. Here are Russian mercenaries squatting on Libya's largest oil field. Yes close to Europe. libyaalahrar.net/russias-wagner…
Little things like this deal get buried under the bang bang. China love Putin lubricant. spglobal.com/platts/en/mark…
Putin's History lessons are for the benefit of the Russian people. His and the Gulf petrodictators and China's goal is to topple the US global stranglehold on money. Control that has offensive (to Putin at least) human rights and legal restrictions via sanctions.
Putin is not paranoid. America has been fucking with him every since 2000. In 2019 Clinton called his re-lection illegitimate. Putin hates Hillary Clinton. Who else do we know hates Clinton? Hmm wouldn't that make them allies? Yep. clinton.presidentiallibraries.us/items/show/100…
In American you can draw a straight line from Russia fuckerists right into the Trump White House. Berhends and Rohrabacher always needed money. Why go to Russia, promote anti sanctions film and bring back Russian operatives to meet with Trump people? thedailybeast.com/paul-behrends-…
How do we explain people like George Nader. Setting up meetings with Prince with Russians and then straight into the fucking White House to plan Trump's middle east quid pro quo. Could we make it more obvious?
Do we believe that Trump's and his team's officious relationship with Russia, North Korea, Israel, UAE and KSA was based on benefit to the American people or cold hard cash? I dunno half of America thinks Trump is a bought and sold, brokeass traitor. reuters.com/article/us-usa…
There is also another wrinkle that binds crazy people together. We see it in QAnon, Putin's advisors, end of days weirdos and other cultish movements. proekt.media/en/article-en/…
There is no reason why Putin won't keep going, he won't be able to do this again. The world has gone from disbelief to concern that there are no barriers to dictator ambitions unless you build them. eurasiantimes.com/russia-sends-b…

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More from @RYP__

Feb 27
That moment when survival and freedom depends on individual efforts. The war in Ukraine being taken up by citizens might be single most unifying event for Americans. washingtonpost.com/world/2022/02/…
The American militia movement began as an armed force against outside forces and then was led astray. Good paper on the US Militia movement: scholarworks.calstate.edu/downloads/x346…
One missing historical link in the current Ukraine conflict are the modern version of our WW2 era "Jedburgh's". Men and women dropped in behind enemy lines to support, coordinate and train resistance forces. Ukraine is at that point of need.
Read 5 tweets
Feb 26
Remember part of what Trump was trying to withhold from Ukraine? 37 Javelin launchers and 210 missiles. They work magnificently against invading armored columns.
It is worth remembering that America took the Russian threat to Ukraine very seriously. defensenews.com/congress/2019/…
Trump was told that Putin supported his election, wanted out of NATO, wanted our troops out of Europe and initially wanted to lift sanctions on Russia. It is surprising that Putin didn't attack Ukraine during Trump's time in office. nytimes.com/2019/01/14/us/…
Read 4 tweets
Feb 26
Handy Ukraine conflict map from The Centre For Information Resilience. Trustworthy OSINT sources are forming an opinion that Russian forces are moving to encircle urban areas but under pressure from various setbacks. maphub.net/Cen4infoRes/ru…
@bellingcat is trying to keep up with the flood of random imagery by creating a spreadsheet but they are four days behind. @oryxspioenkop is hustling to compile a list of destroyed equipment. @liashko_viktor is using FB for official Ukraine casualties oryxspioenkop.com/2022/02/attack…
@bellingcat @oryxspioenkop @liashko_viktor These maps geolocate social media and show source. liveuamap.com/en/2022/26-feb…
Read 7 tweets
Feb 26
Sen. Josh Hawley from Missouri suggested preventing Ukraine from joining the NATO. The GOP is torn between defending democracy overseas and aligning with a racist nationalist dictator who has threatened America with nukes. Tough choice huh? hawley.senate.gov/hawley-biden-a…
The truth? " a plurality of Republicans (45 percent) said they had a very unfavorable view of the Russian leader" fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-g…
Read 6 tweets
Feb 26
Noodling some scenarios here. What if Putin goes full Hitler and runs out of gas? How are 60,000 Russian troops going to eat? How are they going to deal with 215,000 Ukraine military and who knows how many armed volunteers. The Russian invasion is about to get interesting. Image
Ukraine demographics (left) vs Russia demographics (right). The population of Russia (half a million last year) is vanishing due to one of the lowest birth rates in the world. So is Ukraine (-300K a year) Both have male deficits. pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2015… ImageImage
Long term scenario:...Russia and Ukraine will both...vanish. Unless they have immigration and inflow. Putin just capped himself. rferl.org/a/ukraine--pop…
Read 6 tweets
Feb 26
"Our world is not going to be the same again because this war has no historical parallel. It is a raw, 18th-century-style land grab by a superpower"

nytimes.com/2022/02/25/opi…
Not true but sounds dramatic. The history of Russia and many other nations, tribes and relgions were built on land grabs. Most unwanted and most in times of "civilization".
Lots of boring historical maps and history of how Russia began and expanded, even more maps of Europe's colonial expansion, Mongols, Ottomans, Cossacks and more. But what's the point? Historical entitlement to land is moot.
Read 8 tweets

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