Trent Telenko Profile picture
Feb 25 15 tweets 5 min read
James Dunnican's Strategypage.com site had a very interesting analysis column that explains what Russian VDV descents on Ukrainian air bases ran into and the patterns of combat to date with Putin's five invasion axis's.

Thread

1/ Image
Excerpts from the column:

"Russian airborne forces managed to take an airport ten kilometers outside Kyiv. Efforts to use that airport to bring in additional troops were disrupted by the Ukrainian use...

strategypage.com/qnd/russia/art…

2/
...of Stinger portable anti-aircraft missiles as well as rifle and machine-gun fire at low flying aircraft. The airport was quickly attacked by a Ukrainian army rapid reaction force organized and trained for retaking key locations seized by Russian airborne forces.

3/
While the area around the airport was soon surrounded by regular reservists and armed volunteers, the Rapid Reaction unit retook the airport before the Russians could use larger transport aircraft to bring in more troops. Russia appears to have underestimated the...
4/
...preparations Ukraine have made since 2014 to deal with this kind of invasion.

In addition to 150 local defense units (of at least battalion size) arrangements were made to quickly arm, train and deploy volunteers, which includes all physically able males aged 16 to 60.
5/
The regular army obtained more portable anti-aircraft weapons and trained special units to deal with any Russians that seized key objectives.

All those armed Ukrainians were more of an obstacle that the Russians expected. The invaders are using about a dozen main roads...
6/
...from the border to objectives inside Ukraine. Within hours all those roads were under fire from the armed locals.

Even convoys with numerous armed escorts were fired on and the Russians did not have enough troops to clear the roads of armed hostiles. Some convoys were...
7/
...halted by roadblocks and at least one Russian reconnaissance platoon was captured. While the Russians control most Ukrainian airspace and coastal waters, land areas remain under Ukrainian control.

8/
So, there were a number of specially trained Ukrainian National Guard quick reaction battalions with Stingers ready for VDV helicopter and parachute landings.

Each had an area of operation to cover & their job was to surround and screen any such landing.

9/
These quick reaction battalions had existing communications arrangements with the UAF air defense network and Ukrainian Army artillery units.

10/ Image
Once in position, they surrounded the airheads with a gauntlet of Stinger teams and automatic weapons position along the helicopter flight path UAF radar networks indicated.

11/ Image
And they called in SS-21 Scarab/Tochka-U SRBM onto air heads to break up VDV organization and keep them on the defensive.

12/
Image
While heavier Ukrainian Army mechanized forces closed in to support & eliminate the air head.
13/
So, why have the Russians gotten to Kyiv if there are roving bands of Ukrainians ambushing Russian army supply columns as Dunnigan's analysis described?

These forces went through the Chernobyl exclusion zone where Ukrainian territorials avoid.
14/ ImageImage
Given the amount of radioactive dust crews of Russian armored columns have and are continuing to breath into their lungs doing this.

Thousands of Russian soldiers will be dying of radioactive war wounds for decades to come due to Putin's mania to take Kyiv.

15/End Image

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Trent Telenko

Trent Telenko Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @TrentTelenko

Feb 28
People do not understand the implications of 55 "NATO surplus" Mig-29's arriving in Ukraine immediately mean.

The UAF cannot assimilate & use those Mig-29's that quickly without pilots and ground crew to go with them.

Unless this is NATO's version of Chennault's Flying Tigers.
Pres. Zelensky already has a program for immediately inducting any foreign soldier who wishes to fight for Ukraine.

You might have serving Polish, Slovakian and Bulgarian MiG drivers in the mix along with their ground crew.

2/
These MIG-29's have link 16 to listen to NATO E-3D.

Any Russian or Belarus aircraft over 50 meters altitude w/in 300 km of NATO borders is now a target.
3/
Read 8 tweets
Feb 25
The subject of this thread is the Russian VDV airhead at the Hostomel Airport just North of Kyiv and a rumor associated with same.

1/

Rumor with lots of 🧂🧂:

There is a rumor that the Ukrainians used a (or several?) Tochka-U SRBM to break VDV resistance at the airport near Kiev.

2/
There are horrid implications for Western Military power projection in this.

If true, the 82nd Airborne Division & 18th Corps are obsolete concept tactical unit far overdue to get its walking papers.

You can't paradrop anti-ballistic missile systems with a ready brigade.
3/
Read 10 tweets
Feb 18
@thinkdefence
@vcdgf555
@ELINTNews
@sentdefender
@Osinttechnical

The Russian military has turned the volume on their OTH-B radar to "11" -- AKA wartime frequency & power -- in an attempt to track stealth aircraft & drones.
1/ Image
This is a useful article in understanding Russian & Chinese OTH-B Radar deployments & capabilities.

idstch.com/geopolitics/ov…
This video from the previous article link is also useful regards Chinese OTH_B radar capabilities.

Read 4 tweets
Feb 15
The subject of this thread is "Commercial Open Source Military Radar Detection in Semi Real Time" courtesy of Bellingcat.

1/
bellingcat.com/resources/2022…
This is text from the beginning of the previous link:

The Radar Interference Tracker (RIT) is a new tool created by Ollie Ballinger that allows anyone to search for and potentially locate active military radar systems anywhere on earth.

Image- Sentinel-1 interference pattern
2/ Image
It turns out that the Sentinal-1 commercial synthetic aperture radar (SAR) signal frequency is interfered with by C-band radars like those used by Patriot, S-300P FLAP LID & successors, 5N62 SQUARE PAIR, in fact a good number of Russian acquisition and engagement radars.
3/ ImageImageImage
Read 18 tweets
Feb 6
@spawnofKahn @donachaidh @John_Hudson @washingtonpost Before it was suppressed by Putin, the Russian "Gruz-200" group reported 12,100 confirmed Russian Army KIA/MIA in the Donbas in 2014-2015.

Ukraine MoD reported another 762 to 3438 irregulars KIA/MIA.

This was in artillery-heavy “medium intensity” war where WIA>KIA by 10 to 1 Image
@spawnofKahn @donachaidh @John_Hudson @washingtonpost What stopped Putin wasn't total losses. It was the losses in the Regime Security units.

The total manpower for the Russian VDV plus naval infantry, Tanman Guards, the MVD/FSB SWAT units, FSB/GRU Spetznaz, and Southern VO Motorized forces is roughly 50,000 over all.
2/
@spawnofKahn @donachaidh @John_Hudson @washingtonpost The Regime Security units were used as about 25% "stiffeners" for the a-- & trash on that Phillip Karber slide.

Doing the sums:

(12,862 KIA/MIA + 25,724 WIA) * 25% = 9,647 casualties, AKA 1/5th of the standing Russian REGIME SECURITY FORCES in Feb 2014.
3/
Read 8 tweets
Feb 4
@danieljleahy & @ww2tv had a crackerjack stream on Australian Stuart tanks at Sanananda New Guinea this morning. Someone in the chat asked how they go there.

This thread will address that question.
1/
So, lets talk about the Australian Operation Lilliput that ran freighter convoys from Milne Bay to Oro bay in 1942.

The route that was used in Dec 1942 was pioneered by the US Army Small Ship Service (USASS).
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Operation…
John Sheridan Fahnestock and Adam Bruce Fahnestock, friends with Pres. Roosevelt, originated the idea of a unit of small sailing ships to deliver supplies to Bataan, called “Mission X.”

It was a measure of the desperation of the time that MacArthur bit
2/
transportation.army.mil/history/docume…
Read 10 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

:(