alexcutler.eth Profile picture
Feb 26 โ€ข 11 tweets โ€ข 5 min read
๐Ÿ”ฅ Alpha on #veSolidWars

The market seems woefully confused about the best way to get $SOLID exposure right now. I'm here to help.

Imagine you've got $10,000 and you want $SOLID exposure, whats the best value play?

It's probably not what you think...

๐Ÿ‘‡ ๐Ÿงต
Assumptions

I'm ignoring #FTM protocol specific plays right now because (IMO) there are too many variables there.

I want to focus on the options that are either direct exposure or are solely focused on controlling $SOLID.

That means looking at $SOLID, $SEX, $WeVE, $OXD.
I'm also ignoring the more speculative longer term value proposition around each, but will touch on those later.

I also got very little sleep last night, so it's possible I fucked something up. Please send notes if so!
So how much $SOLID can $10,000 get you with each?
$SEX: 2,126
$SOLID: 833
$WeVE: 692.69
$OXD: 304

What kind of yields can you get on each?
$SEX: 5000%
$SOLID: 3000%
$WeVE: 0%*
$OXD: 1400%

๐Ÿคฏ this is an insane discrepancy!

*No LP, but veDAO is farming + value will accrue back.
Thoughts on $SEX

It is possible the market is undervaluing @SolidexFantom until a bug fix is confirmed.

But, from what I've heard they've got one and @AndreCronjeTech has been involved.

There could also be ill-will from rekt LPs, but recompense could smooth that over quick.
Thoughts on $WeVE

If $SEX is woefully undervalued at the moment, that means $WeVE (@SolidexFantom's top partner) is too.

And if you've been watching closely, you'll see their plan to compound control has been going swimmingly.

In 2 days, they've increased their $SOLID by 50%.
Thoughts on $OXD

I like @0xDAO_fi, but am at a loss as to why people are buying / holding it at current prices.

$OXD represents a share of their initial $veSOLID allocation and access to their "partner benefits".

That means...
...to buy it at today's prices, you have to pay 7x the price per $SOLID that $SEX gets you.

If someone has run a model on how those benefits can close that gap in ROI I'd love to see it.

I fear folks are just confused about what they're buying OXD v1. It's not their $CVX, yet.
Thoughts on Yield

Beyond the stunning discrepancies in price / $SOLID, there is also the opportunity cost of missed yields.

Not only can $SEX get you 7x the value of $OXD, but you can farm/compound it for 5,000% APR.

That is 3.5x more than the 1,400% APR of the $OXD pool.
Conclusion

I took time away from furious compounding yields this morning to see if the numbers would shift my strategy.

๐Ÿ™…โ€โ™‚๏ธ they have not

๐Ÿ‘‰ $SEX is a 7x better value than $OXD
๐Ÿ‘‰ $SEX can farm 3.5x the yield of $OXD
๐Ÿ‘‰ $WeVE is increasing control of $SOLID + $SEX

So...
I'm going to...
๐Ÿ‘‰ Continue to Stack + Farm $SEX
๐Ÿ‘‰ Stack and Farm SOLIDsex / $SOLID
๐Ÿ‘‰ Accumulate more $WeVE
๐Ÿ‘‰ Eventually buy some $OXD v2 with my gains

Thanks for reading! Retweet the alpha and give me a follow for more.

wagmiโœŒ๏ธ

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More from @wagmiAlexander

Feb 24
Yesterday, users flooded to #Fantom for the launch of @AndreCronjeTech's @solidlyexchange.

After months of skirmishes, the #veSolidWars were officially kicking off and the excitement was palpable.

Then... ALL HELL BROKE LOOSE.

My attempt at a recap. ๐Ÿ‘‡๐Ÿงต
Quick Background

When @AndreCronjeTech announced his new AMM Solidly, he distributed ownership to the top #Fantom protocols as ranked by TVL.

This ignited a battle for control that eventually coalesced into a struggle for control between two teams: @SolidexFantom + @0xDAO_fi
As the day began, we heard from the holdouts...
๐Ÿ‘‰ @SpookySwap would remain neutral
๐Ÿ‘‰ @SynapseProtocol would delay / go solo for now
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the final minutes, @fraxfinance joined #0xDAO

That increased @0xDAO_fi's lead at 40% to @SolidexFantom's 33.7%.

Victory? Not quite. Image
Read 12 tweets
Feb 23
๐Ÿ—ณ Votium Round 12 Wrap Up

Yesterday marked the end of #Votium R12 and $CVX holders are busy counting their sweet bribe ๐Ÿ’ฐ.

A quick recap ๐Ÿงต of what we saw...

#Convex #CurveWars @ConvexFinance @CurveFinance
High Level

๐Ÿ‘‰ Second highest amount of bribes / ETH ever
๐Ÿ‘‰ Decrease in total bribes / $ due to market volatility
๐Ÿ‘‰ Bribes largely flat, but $TRIBE + $LUNA increased
๐Ÿ‘‰ One returning briber in $DAI, one drop out in $MTA

Payouts were about $.38 / vlCVX (40% APR).
What does this tell us?

That none of the drama in #crypto is hurting the $CVX #Votium flywheel.

Average bribes (ETH) and briber qtys have continued to increase + that trend seems likely to continue.

And when the market recovers / catalysts arrives, people will take notice.
Read 4 tweets
Feb 22
Sick of reading about real wars? You're in luck!

The war for control of @solidlyexchange (#veSolidWars) has continued to rage and I've got some big updates.

TL;DR: The next 48 hours will be huge and there are rumors of a second front soon opening. ๐Ÿ”

๐Ÿงต๐Ÿ‘‡
Why the next 48 hours?
๐Ÿ‘‰ @solidlyexchange emissions start tomorrow
๐Ÿ‘‰ Same deadline for veNFT deposits on #Solidex
๐Ÿ‘‰ @SolidexFantom is expected to launch
๐Ÿ‘‰ Clarity on @0xDAO_fi's launch plans coming soon

Then the battle for control of #Solidly truly begins!
So what's new?
๐Ÿ‘‰ @RadialFinance confirmed solo
๐Ÿ‘‰ @SushiSwap looks to be solo
๐Ÿ‘‰ @SynapseProtocol has a proposal to join #0xDAO
๐Ÿ‘‰ @Spirit_Swap + @fraxfinance still TBD

And all 8 veNFTs of #Solidly's early partners have just been deposited / locked, cementing the alliance.
Read 16 tweets

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