Russia is in deep deep trouble. Even if they capture Kiev it’s like grabbing a tiger by it’s tail. Even if they win phase 3 (dominate) they will lose phase 4 (stabilize).
War is a TOOL for a political objective and I just don’t see Ukrainians accepting a Russian puppet govt.
Military planners often underestimate the will of the people. There was clear difference when we trained the Peshmerga vs the Iraqi Army or the Afghan one. Armies have to WANT to fight. The Ukrainian resolve is simply extraordinary.
The Russians are in a corner that would force them use a level of violence that would only unite the Ukrainians and the global community further.
Even if this week looks like a Ukrainian loss, THEY will not lose this war.
We awake in the 🇺🇸 to another day of Russia losing their war in the 🇺🇦
Lots of questions about how can Russia lose when they have a much more massive force, so let me explain from my Army War College education
1.
strategic objectives must be supported by operation and tactical ones. If they don’t align it’s hard to win.
Take Iraq for example. Somehow out strategic objective became a friendly democracy in the Middle East, but would war be the operational way to achieve this?
2.
If Russia’s strategic objectives were to defeat Ukrainian forces in Russia populated areas and destroy Ukrainian military capabilities then that limited mission would have a chance for success.
Damn. Biden is a strong leader. 4 Presidents and he was the only one with the courage to end this war and not pass it to another administration.
That’s why over 60 percent of Veterans agree. And I’m on them. #Afghanistan
First and foremost, what we achieved in terms of moving people out of the country has been nothing short of extraordinary. Out of the initial chaos, our military and the Commander in Chief moved out 120,000 people. The largest NEO of its kind in history. Incredible.
The losses we took to meet this mission were tragic, and personally hit me hard. We expect to lose people in combat operations, but the heroes we lost died helping other people reach a better life. It was a gut punch for us all.