Paul Maidowski Profile picture
Feb 27 5 tweets 2 min read
Facebook post to help civilians stay safe and defend cities like Kyiv.

It's three simple threads by @Jack_Watling @SpencerGuard but not everyone is at ease navigating twitter.

Share with your favorite boomer or sane minds who don't hang out on this site. facebook.com/ppmv0/posts/48…

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More from @_ppmv

Feb 28
~"We are starting to lose habitat for the human species," co-chair Hans-Otto Pörtner just *said* in the presser. I was gonna do a summary thread of the IPCC AR6 WG2 SPM, but the words "habitat loss" and "aerosols" don't even *appear in writing* so I don't know if it's worth it. ImageImage
1/ Burning embers diagrams are turning into burning towers diagrams. Idk what such diagrams are to tell us; systems thinking clearly missing. Report introduces 127 (!?) "key risks" but doesn't prioritize. We have no baseline to adapt to. Good luck I guess. ImageImageImage
2/ There is so much we can do. Maybe look for local ecologists, systems designers, and communicators. We can do so much better than this. Start with the oceans. If we don't get this shit under control, Ukraine is but a minor warm-up. SROCC @xr_cambridge: Image
Read 7 tweets
Feb 27
Good paper. But Putin brings us to the brink of nuclear war and threatens Ukraine with flamethrowers that melt people from inside. IPCC AR6, tomorrow, will receive paltry coverage. And scientists are out there having the same old petty arguments, long since divorced from reality?
Mainstream scientists are in denial of existential climate risk. They retreated into a fantasy world of mathematical models in which they feel safe. A pathetic failure to warn society in the last few years in which we could still act.

Meanwhile society:

Climate activists are literally risking their lives, and tenured professors can’t even bring themselves to tell policymakers the truth. W t f

Be safe @MakichyanA 🙏💚 🇷🇺
Read 4 tweets
Feb 26
Ukraine may turn out to be the first climate-driven war in Europe. This IS climate statecraft. thread. 1/n
2/n The notion that it is only climate policy when 100+ nations sit in a circle and decide *by consensus* is profoundly strange. Always has been.

A serious failure of imagination in climate analysts and scientists.
3/ Rather, climate is at the heart of world affairs. Great thread on the climatization of security and the UNSC.
Read 25 tweets
Feb 25
Poetic climate action: today 1pm, activists disrupt airport operations in Berlin/Frankfurt/Munich with 99 red balloons. Russia's war already shakes up European security & UK airline operations—what's coming is far worse. Support @Jana_Mest @AufstandLastGen letztegeneration.de/blog/2022/02/f…
Why 99 red balloons:
Russia banning UK airlines from using its airspace
Read 6 tweets
Feb 23
What's ahead? Not everyone will want to know, but reality-based analysis helps if we want to change reality.

1/n Image
2/ Thought experiment, case 1: stabilize at 500 ppm CO2. Very optimistic, but not completely impossible (IMHO). Image
3/ Case 2: don't stabilize. Go to 800 ppm CO2, and feedbacks will carry you further. Less optimistic. Vital to know IF that's where we're heading so far.

There's a world of difference, wide enough for billions of lives, between cases #1&2.

Can we steer a path to #1? Image
Read 5 tweets
Feb 8
The Arctic is our ticking time bomb.

Peter Wadhams: "It may be too late to save the Arctic, but if it's too late to save the Arctic, it's too late to save anything. What the world needs now is engineers to do what is needed."

Funding needed now. Thread.

2/ We should be blunt because these questions decide our future. As Peter Wadhams says in his book and on @iconickevin's blog: we know that, institutionalized via the IPCC, it has become social convention to make certain indefensible assumptions in models. kevinhester.live/2017/11/10/ful…
3/ Hand waving online and asking scientists and analysts to take the time to read up on the relevant dynamics may help but won't address what is essentially a question of power and institutional architecture, so just to leave this here.
Read 19 tweets

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