Hibernation Day #153 | Watching Canada's Establishment fall all over itself to support Ukraine is interesting. Our Finance Minister, Twitch, is out marching, maskless, in Toronto. Every mainstream party is onboard. #honkhonkhonk #bankruncanada 1/
Legacy media is full of stories of "plucky" Ukraine standing up to Putin's Bear. Again, I have no special expertise on Ukraine and no idea of the rights and wrongs of the current conflict; but our establishment seems certain. #honkhonkhonk #bankruncanada 2/
Russia bad, Ukraine good (ignore the Nazis, just Russian misinformation.) Could it be that simple? Maybe. But the establishment's track record on things like COVID and the truckers is not encouraging. #honkhonkhonk #bankruncanada 3/
The conservative (small c) consensus seems to be that the Ukraine is not Canada's fight. And, if it is, then we should do something useful like stopping importing Russian oil. Which makes a lot more sense than pouring vodka down the drain. #honkhonkhonk #bankruncanada 4/
However, "making sense" has ceased to be something which carries much, if any, political weight. In most of Canada COVID restrictions, mandates and passports are being terminated. Because of science? Nope. #honkhonkhonk #bankruncanada 5/
The fact is that mandates and passports never had anything to do with science or health: they were designed to force people to get the jabs or lose jobs and access. They were not nudges, they were shoves. Now they have run their course. #honkhonkhonk #bankruncanada 6/
Essentially all the people who could be bullied have been bullied and, except in BC and New Brunswick, the measures are coming to their political end. Unsullied by even a hint of science. #honkhonkhonk #bankruncanada 7/
Given that the non-pharmaceutical interventions were all fundamentally political rather than scientific, it is no great surprise that they are being lifted (or not) for political reasons. People want some semblance of "normal" to return. #honkhonkhonk #bankruncanada 8/
However, "normal" is likely impossible to achieve simply because the coercion worked and a significant majority of the population has had at least two jabs. That the jabs do nothing to protect from Omicron is incidental. #honkhonkhonk #bankruncanada 9/
What is not incidental are the statistics emerging from the insurance industry: all cause death is up. A lot. 20-40% year on year in people under 80. These extra deaths are not COVID. They are something else. #honkhonkhonk #bankruncanada 10/
Life insurance is a well understood industry. It depends on actuaries who can, with some precision, estimate the likelihood of death for particular groups of people. Those estimates ensure that the insurers make a profit if people die as expected. #honkhonkhonk #bankruncanada 11/
A couple of points one way or another in a cohort's death rate is baked into the premium structure, 10%, much less 40% is not. So what changed? Arguably, lockdowns could increase the death rate somewhat; but, realistically, the jabs. #honkhonkhonk #bankruncanada 12/
It will take a while for the numbers to go from suggestive to conclusive and even longer for causation to be firmly established; but right now it looks like the long term effect of jabbing a population is excess death. #honkhonkhonk #bankruncanada 13/
The working hypothesis is that the jabs bugger up people's immune systems in unforeseen ways and that this makes them more vulnerable to things like cancer or other viruses. Plus, there is a lot of evidence that jabs lead to cardiac events. #honkhonkhonk #bankruncanada 14/
Again, a lot of this is speculative. It will take a couple of years worth of hard data to confirm a trend towards higher excess death. However, the fact is that Western populations were coerced into taking lightly trialled jabs.#honkhonkhonk #bankruncanada 15/
If it turns out that the jabs are, in fact, deadly in more than a few instances, "normal" is never coming back. After all, you cannot get "unjabbed". And, if you are jabbed you have relied on PHO and government advice. #honkhonkhonk #bankruncanada 16/
I am hoping that the excess death effect is small and transitory. But, whatever it is, the responsibility for those excess deaths rests on the pharma companies which rushed the development and the gov't which rushed the approvals. #honkhonkhonk #bankruncanada 17/
This week we will see - I hope - the first 50,000 pages of the Pfizer application for jab approval. It should be very interesting. Very. Meanwhile, Spring is Coming! #honkhonkhonk #bankruncanada 18/18

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More from @jaycurrie

Mar 1
A lot of people in BC are more than a little annoyed that we are in the running to be the last province to lift COVID mandates and vax passports. I'm annoyed too but there is one upside, this reveals the whole thing as purely political. #honkhonk 1/
Back when the mask mandate came in it was an order from the Attorney General rather than the PHO. And it was in response to a request from the BC Retailers' Association, not the public health community. So, political. #honkhonk 2/
The vax passes were not about health either. They were about "incentivizing" people to get the jabs. Jabs which did nothing to prevent infection or transmission and, were essentially useless against Omicron. So, political. #honkhonk 3/
Read 7 tweets
Feb 28
Hibernation Day #154 | Much of Canada will be dropping the COVID restrictions and mask mandates in the next few days. A good thing as very few of them were effective. Take up of the 3rd jab has dropped dramatically. #honkhonk 1/
Does this mean COVID is over? I doubt it. The NPIs and the jabs were a response - and not a very good one - to an actual virus which is, as we speak, out there mutating away. Yes, there was a lot of BS surrounding COVID but it actually revealed a bunch of issues. #honkhonk 2/
First, Canada and British Columbia have a really rickety Health Care system and no one seems willing to even begin to fix it. We lack the ability to rapidly surge ICU capacity. We lack that ability not because we don't have the room, rather because we don't have the people. 3/
Read 20 tweets
Feb 27
Hibernation Day #152 | Went to the cold and windy demo at the Legislature. About a third the people as last week which makes sense. The EA is dead. However, the vax pass and the vax mandate layoffs are still with us. This is a long fight. #honkhonkhonk #bankruncanada 1/
But "Ukraine" yell the great and the good. Hate to say it, but given the lineup of spivs rooting for Ukraine and pouring their Russian vodka down the drain, I can't get all that excited. Yes, Putin is a bastard. Knew that already. #honkhonkhonk #bankruncanada 2/
When Warren Kinsella, David Fisman, Andrew Coyne and every politician in Canada line up on one side of an issue I have to admit I take a long, serious, look at the other. The Ukrainians seem to be giving the Russians more of a fight than they expected. Good. #bankruncanada 3/
Read 8 tweets
Jan 29
Hibernation Day #119 | Went to the BC Legislature for the rally. My lovely wife came too. Great crowd, lots of trucks, lots of Canadian flags, huge support for the truckers and freedom. #TruckersForFreedom2022 1/
The truckers and this sort of rally are about creating a counter-narrative. It is very easy, especially if you get your information from legacy media, to think everyone agrees with the government's policies. #TruckersForFreedom2022 2/
Simply by showing up the truckers and the people at the Leg demonstrate that this is not true. There are lots of people, jabbed and unjabbed, who oppose mandates and passports. By showing up they give politicians the prod needed to change policy. #TruckersForFreedom2022 3/
Read 10 tweets
Jan 28
Hibernation Day #118 | A bit grey and still cool here in Victoria. The truckers and their supporters are pulling into Ottawa. The CBC notes they don't have a permit...peak karening. #NoVaccinePassportsAnywhere 1/
There is more than enough commentary on the truckers and their meaning for Canada and Canadian politics. For legacy media the storyline today seems to be "white nationalists with unacceptable views and big poopy heads." Whatever. #NoVaccinePassportsAnywhere 2/
Meanwhile, Ontario's CMO said that COVID was something we are just going to have to learn to live with. There is a lot of that sort of talk. Omicron has downgraded the virus from airborne ebola status. #NoVaccinePassportsAnywhere 3/
Read 14 tweets
Jan 27
Hibernation Day #117 | Lovely, clear, sunny day. A bit cold here on the Island. But watching our truckers and their overpass and parking lot supporters in -40 I count my blessings. #FreedomConvoy2022 1/
I have never been more proud to be Canadian. This has the same feeling as the first Russia Canada all the way back in 1972. A nation standing together. But the truckers are about more important things. #FreedomConvoy2022 2/
So are the thousands of people standing in the freezing cold on the overpasses. Or the people handing out home made lunches at the truck stops. Or the people pushing the GoFundMe over 6 million. #FreedomConvoy2022 3/
Read 11 tweets

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