Some #Realpolitik - very unlikely, even if Russia's campaign failed, that much changes - Putin, removed, Khruschev like, is replaced by someone with Putin's views & but also the competency to have removed Putin. Too much wishcasting. Russia like Iran is a semi-garrison state.
Agree with @SamoBurja here - Russia's various centres of power all align with the view that Russia must be strong and assertive. The replacement for Putin would simply say, I can do this more competently.
https://twitter.com/SamoBurja/status/1497733467336941570
There remains this almost religious Western liberal belief that, when they see some Russian or Iranian expat on TV, who speaks English & says nice things & seems like someone they meet in the university cafeteria, that this person represents views of historically imperial powers.
TL:DR - Russian, Iran, China etal, (yes the US too) will never be "normal" countries of the European, liberal, bicycling, gender free, unisex, carbon offset, kind. The Europeans are the ones in a liberal bubble. Everyone else lives in a difficult, disordered, and dangerous world.
One of many reasons I do not think people should be paid to go on TV etal and offer opinions is humans are avaricious & tempted to wishcast for money and for vanity. Seeing a lot of that here. If you follow my account, you get what I think, however or esp jarring it is ...
The German military has a maxim that I often repeat: "Hope Dies Last". Bear this in mind whenever reading someone's opinion, bent suspiciously one way or the other, about ambiguous matters occurring in real time, on the other side of the worth or at least not where you are.
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