Take your best guess. 
OK, it's spot updates of my estimates for the likely net difference between Trump & Biden voters who've died of COVID in each state since the 2020 election: acasignups.net/22/02/03/chall…
Here's my high-end estimate for the net difference a month ago & today:
AZ: 3,400 > 3,600
CO: 900 > 1,000
FL: 10,700 > 11,200
GA: 4,500 > 4,800
IA: 2,000 > 2,100
MI: 3,000 > 3,200
NH: 190 > 200
NC: 4,500 > 4,900
OH: 7,800 > 8,500
PA: 6,500 > 7,000
WI: 2,200 > 2,400
AZ: 3,400 > 3,600
CO: 900 > 1,000
FL: 10,700 > 11,200
GA: 4,500 > 4,800
IA: 2,000 > 2,100
MI: 3,000 > 3,200
NH: 190 > 200
NC: 4,500 > 4,900
OH: 7,800 > 8,500
PA: 6,500 > 7,000
WI: 2,200 > 2,400
Unfortunately, as rough as these estimates may be, it'd be infinitely more work for me to run similar estimates at the Congressional district level because most maps split counties into multiple districts.
Iowa's districts run along county lines, so I've been able to run an estimate for IA-03 (Cindy Axne's district): Somewhere between 120 - 400 more Trump voters than Biden voters have likely died of COVID-19 since the 2020 election there.
If anyone knows whether any of these districts (besides IA-03) run include *full counties only*, let me know. If they split counties that's not useful to me for this purpose.
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