The White House released a comprehensive new plan to increase public health preparedness so we’ll be ready for whatever Covid may throw at us next. They make the fundamental point: We control Covid so it doesn’t control us. 1/thread
It’s crucial we adapt our response to changing levels of risk. The Omicron flood has receded. Cases have plummeted to a small fraction of January’s peak. Test positivity rates are steadily declining. Hospitalizations and deaths are also falling. 2/
Now, while we resume many of our prior activities, we can stay vigilant and plan so we’re not caught off guard by the next variant—or the next major health threat. 3/
The White House plan focuses on reducing the impact of Covid, preparing for possible new variants, limiting disruption to schools and businesses, and increasing vaccination and preparedness globally. whitehouse.gov/covidplan 4/
We’re in a much safer place now, but that doesn’t mean Covid will disappear. Unfortunately, we'll still be dealing with new cases, clusters, hospitalizations, and, tragically, deaths. We'll still be dealing with long Covid. 5/
The plan includes measures to limit the impact of Covid by using the effective tools we have: vaccines, treatments, tests, and masks when appropriate. 6/
A new ‘Test & Treat’ initiative will connect people who test positive with treatment immediately on the spot, which has the potential to dramatically streamline access to lifesaving treatment, reduce severe disease, and relieve burden on our health systems. 7/
Federal support is important, but each community must continue to track Covid and make their own policy decisions based on their values and the guidance provided by CDC. The more all levels of government—local, state, and federal—work together, the better off we’ll all be. 8/
The plan acknowledges the need for clear Covid information tailored to local circumstances. Partnerships with trusted local health care providers are key, especially to increase vaccination rates. 9/
To counter the potential emergence of new variants, the Biden administration plans to step up surveillance, ensure fast approvals for tweaked vaccines or treatments, and stockpile tests, masks, PPE, and other necessary tools. 10/
We can go even further by increasing support for disease surveillance and response globally. The next variant could emerge anywhere in the world, and it’s crucial we work together to find it quickly and respond effectively. 11/
Vaccinating the world is essential to save lives and reduce the risk of new variants emerging. The White House plans to double down on vaccine donations as well as manufacturing in the US. 12/
However, production capacity of mRNA vaccines must be expanded. Pfizer and Moderna have a responsibility to share their technology. bit.ly/3pt5wOc 13/
And vaccine doses themselves aren’t enough. Countries need a predictable supply of vaccines and support to stand up the infrastructure needed to administer them. The US can play a big role here, IF... 14/
IF the US leverages strengths globally & within the USG: WHO’s immunization program, GAVI, PEPFAR, which has a strong healthcare platform, and CDC, which has hundreds of immunization experts, dozens of country offices, & has led global vaccination efforts for USG for decades. 15/
Bottom line: We’re in a much safer place now, with much stronger tools to fight Covid and a solid wall of immunity. Because of this, it’s likely that 2022 is the year we put the most disruptive aspects of this pandemic behind us. 16/
Whether or not a financial intermediary fund is the right mechanism, the US and world MUST commit to rapid, effective, and sustained funding and technical support so every community can find fast, report right away, and stop soon every potential new deadly threat. 17/
One way to track this is through the 7-1-7 framework for continuous quality improvement and accountability. Every outbreak identified within 7 days, reported within 1 day, and all essential control measures in place within 7 days. preventepidemics.org/7-1-7 18/
But it’s uncertain how the virus will evolve and whether we’ll improve systems to prevent the next pandemic. This is a now-or-never moment to make the world safer from Covid & future health threats by strengthening public health protection programs in the US and globally. 19/end
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Covid cases and hospitalizations have continued to plummet in the US. No one knows for sure what comes next, but at this stage of the pandemic, it's helpful to think about what's certain, likely and uncertain. 1/4
Certain: We're better able to handle Covid than at any other point in the pandemic, thanks to more immunity, more vaccines, more tests, more treatments, a better understanding of masking, and more surveillance, including genomic surveillance. 2/4
Likely: Covid won't dominate our lives in 2022 because of all the tools we now have to reduce its impact. By vaccinating and adapting to different risk levels if cases increase (individual and community), we can resume many activities while keeping people safe. 3/4
Although deadly new Covid variants could emerge, I'm more optimistic today than at any point since the pandemic began. Here’s why. 1/thread
Despite pandemic fatigue and rough weeks ahead as Omicron crests, we're better defended against Covid than ever. Vaccines and prior infection steadily strengthened our immune defenses. We now have a wall of immunity, though we have lost far, far too many people to get here. 2/
In 2020, failure to follow public health recommendations greatly increased the death toll in the US and elsewhere. In 2021, failure to reach people with vaccination—resistance and partisan opposition in the US and lack of access in many countries—had lethal consequences. 3/
About 60 million people in the US over age 5 haven't yet been vaccinated against Covid. Here's a breakdown of who they are based on the latest CDC data, and who I'm most worried about. 1/thread
One-third of unvaccinated people are kids ages 5-11 who recently became eligible. Another third are young adults (ages 18-39) who are less likely overall to seek health care. These groups could benefit from vaccine protection but aren't at high risk of dying from Covid. 2/
Nor are teens, ages 12-17. They also recently became eligible for vaccination, and two-thirds of them are vaccinated—but around 8 million are not. 3/
Omicron is causing a TSUNAMI, not a wave, of infections in the US. No one knows what will come next with Covid, but we can make a big difference now by taking simple actions to shield the vulnerable & protect health care. Here's where we are—and where we might be headed. 1/thread
We’ve learned a lot about Omicron in the past two months. It’s stunningly transmissible and has left Delta in the dust. Omicron is far less likely than Delta to cause severe disease, especially in people who are vaccinated and boosted. 2/
We’ll know more in a few more weeks, but it appears that the current spike in Covid cases driven by Omicron may subside nearly as quickly as it rose, as happened in South Africa. 3/
Some have criticized CDC’s guidance on isolation for people who test positive for Covid. I believe it’s basically correct, though they could roll it out better. 1/thread
Last night I explained what the new guidance means for you if you get Covid. Now I’m going to tackle why the guidance makes sense from a public health perspective. 2/
Isolation prevents people with Covid from spreading the infection, but it has negative effects, not only on the physical and mental health of the person isolated, but also on their family and their community's ability to continue important activities. 3/
No one wants to spread an infection to someone who could get seriously ill or die from it. If you test positive for Covid or have symptoms, it’s important to stay home and isolate. I’ll try to clarify CDC’s guidance on what you should do if you get Covid. 1/thread
The reality is that Omicron is out of control in the US. Because of this, critical services are at risk of disruption, including our health system, schools, and transportation. We MUST save both lives and livelihoods. 2/
Based on what we know right now, Omicron is much more infectious than other variants and shortens the time between exposure and symptomatic illness. People are most infectious just before they develop symptoms and a day or two after. 3/