1.ONGC : People are piling onto it @ Rs. 168. hoping that higher crude prices will benefit it. Remember that in the past Govt has burdened it whenever there is a bonanza in crude. Also its has 3 projects in Russia which can be a millstone on its neck with the sanctions
2 Sakhalin-1 is a large oil and gas field in far-east ONGC Videsh had acquired 20% Participating Interest (PI) in Sakhalin-I on 31.07.2001. Exxon Neftegas Limited (ENL) holds 30% PI and is the operator; SODECO holds 30% & remaining 20% PI is held by Rosneft Subsidiaries.
3. ONGC Videsh acquired Imperial Energy Corporation Plc., an independent upstream oil Exploration and Production Company having its main activities in the Tomsk region of Western Siberia, Russia in January, 2009.
4. Vankor is Rosneft’s and also Russia’s one of the largest field by Production. ONGC Videsh acquired 26% equity. Other partners are Indian consortium of OIL-IOC-BPRL with 23.9% PI and Rosneft with 50.1% PI is the Operator. Source : ONGC website
4.
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1. Select excerpts from the CH discussion yesterday attended by 600 + participants.
2. Factors to consider whether we are in a Bear Market or still in a Bull Market (i) Economic Indicators (ii) Corporate performance (iii) Stock/ Index Movement. (iv) Liquidity (v) Institutional/Retail positioning (vi)Geo Politics Activity (vii) Technical Analysis.
3.(i)Economic Indicators are mixed. While GDP, IIP, Inflation do not give confidence, only Tax collection esp GST is a Bright spot.(ii) Corp. performance has been "middling" with 1st signs of Inflation reflecting in the Margins of FMCG, Chemicals, Autos etc. Prices have reacted
1. Excerpts of the CH Discussion on 20th February 2022
2. FED's Balance sheet has ballooned to $9 Trillion & Global CBs to $25 Trillion in the last 14 years with 60-80 % (across various CBs)happening in the last 2 years yet the markets have stopped going up. Limited utility of extra money being pumped into the system
3. All the Major US indices; DAX; Nikkei; Hang Seng, Shanghai; KOSPI & TAIEX are trading below their 200 DMAs. Only FTSE & SGX are in clear Bull Markets, while Nifty/BN are down just by 7-10 % from their ATHs & are staying above 200 DMA.
1.STATE OF GLOBAL MARKETS: Have been mentioning in various CH/Spaces Discussions that Global Equity Markets are structurally weak. The boost to Equities by the CBs in Mar 2020 seems to be fizzling out. Let's see how the picture looks one by one
2. NIFTY : Same levels were seen in early Sep '21
3. BANK NIFTY : Even in February 2021 we saw these levels.
Early morning rants :1.Screenshots: Why do veteran & well respected Traders regularly put up Screen Shots of their successful trades ?. Never understood what is the purpose. What is the learning for any student of the market by looking at the screen shots ?.
2.One-upmanship : Why do veteran & well respected traders try to demean other veteran & well respected traders by using unparliamentary words?. Don't they realise that their own status is demeaned by such actions ?
3.Closed Minds : Why do veteran & well respected traders get "Invested" so heavily in their Points of View that they are unwilling to accept a well thought out opposing view which may actually help everyone including them.?
1.Comment is free but facts are sacred. In the spirit of PTLP of @Iamsamirarora"Defending against criticism that RBI's inflation projection in the policy might be a tad optimistic,Mistry said that RBI's projections about inflation have been fairly accurate cnbctv18.com/economy/keki-m…
2. Forecast of RBI : Professional forecasters surveyed4 by the Reserve Bank in March 2021 expected CPI inflation to ease from 4.9-5.0 per cent in H1:2021-22 to 4.3 per cent in Q3 and revert to 5.0 per cent in Q4 (Chart I.5).rbi.org.in/Scripts/Public…