Thread 1/ This is a thread on pro-Russian propaganda & #disinformation. I analysed the hashtags "i stand with Putin" & "i stand with Russia'. I analysed around 20,000 Twitter interactions involving 9600 unique accounts
2/ The network graph shows Twitter accounts interacting. The nodes represent individual accounts, the lines between them tweets, RTs replies etc. Different colours are different communities (accounts that tend to interact with one another more) #UkraineRussiaWar#Ukraine
3/ Below. You can see three distinct clusters.
Cluster 1 (left) accounts that seem to support the hashtag (pro Putin and Russia)
Cluster 2 (middle) = accounts criticising the hashtag
Cluster 3 (bottom) = accounts and bots spamming hashtag and thus boosting it #UkraineRussianWar
4/ The bot type cluster (cluster 3) seem to be accounts offering products, laptops etc, jumping on the hashtag to promote their wares. Most of them seem to be connected to Kenya, including this Kenyan opposition account. Of course, their tweets boost the trend #UkraineRussianWar
5/ Cluster 2, the anti Putin accounts, are very active, and very large. These are people, like @NickKnudsenUS and @PalmerReport who are condemning the hashtag. This is well meaning of course, but boosts the hashtag, which many would consider a bad thing #UkraineRussianWar
6/ Then we have cluster 1, the people seemingly supporting putin, russia and war. Some of the most retweeted accounts on this hashtag include @sachin012yadav , a pro-Modi account - only 56 followers and around 260 tweets, despite an old account from 2015 . Profile pic seems
7/ to lead to some website offering tutors. Another popular tweet is the account based out of Pakistan posting a video of Trump defending Putin through whataboutism. It's ok though, this guy's a Capricorn... 🙄
8/ One of the most popular retweets below is from an account that appears to use a stock image as a profile picture. It also is a 7year old account with less than 200 tweets, but somehow the tweet has thousands of tweets + likes. #UkraineRussiaWar
9/ Most of the account that report their own location data (obviously can't be construed as accurate - but is interesting), say they are based in Kenya, South Africa, Nigeria, India and the US. This locational information is interesting as most of the tweets use same tropes
10/ Many of the tropes focus on whataboutism and have been inspired by Western media racism. There is emphasis on Western hypocrisy and double standards, and racism. Not sure why that makes it ok for Russia to invade Ukraine and to stand with Putin... #UkraineRussianWar
11/ There are a few common engagement techniques, presumably designed to drive traffic on the hashtag. A lot of these tweets asking you to RT or like depending on whether you support Russia or Ukraine appear to be very popular #UkraineRussianWar #disinformation
12/ There are lots of other red flags too, such as a disproportionately large number of accounts created in the past few weeks. Some of these accounts, while barely a day old, have crazy high engagement rates too. Check out MANIKAN00673636 for example. #UkraineRussiaWar
13/ A note re whataboutism. Many of the tropes create the straw man that 'No one condemns West when they do this, so why condemn Russia'. While there is an underlying truth, it is also extreme hyperbole, designed to deflect attention from Russia's current invasion to the West's
14/ past behaviour. While future media analyses will be telling, at the moment it just serves to remove sympathy from Ukrainians by painting them as part of a racist and hypocritical Western establishment. I doubt dead civilians the world over will enjoy being used this way
15/ anyway, that's it for now. To sum up. There are bots, spam and what appears to be lots of inauthentic behaviour driving the 'i stand with putin' and 'i stand with russia' hashtag. Of course there are real people in there too, not least those condemning the hashtag. #Ukraine
16/ One of the dominant themes of the hashtag appears to be polarization/adversarial: exploiting incidences of racism and western bias to try and undermine sympathy for Ukrainians, and thus paint Putin as somehow standing up to the West #UkraineRussiaWar#disinformation
17/ For those asking - I used @nodexl to import tweets, Gephi for the network graph, and tableau for the timelines
19/ Just to be clear. The main clusters don't look like bots.The Kenyan cluster and cluster I mention in the update do look automated. Many of the rest look suspicious, like troll or astroturfing accounts, though I'm aware people use the term bots as shorthand for 'dodgy account'
20/ Another update. This thread is a detailed dive into just one of the accounts spreading the propaganda. Enjoy!
🧵1/ I analysed the headline and lead paragraph of 536 English news articles including the terms "Maccabi" + "Amsterdam" and classified them using Claude 3.5 Sonnet to determine how many framed Israelis as victims or non-Israelis as primary victims (as well as both).
2/ The results are fairly striking. 65% of articles frame Israelis as the victim, while only 5% frame Non-Israelis as victims. 24% are neutral while 9% framed both groups as victims. Quite clear the media emphasised violence as anti-Israeli and antisemitic, especially early on
3/ There isn't much evidence too of corrective framing at this point, although a small increase in neutral framing a week after the incident. Israeli victimhood was categorised as emphasis of violence initiated by non-Israelis, and focus on anti-Israeli or antisemitic violence
🧵 1/ Part of understanding what is going on in Amsterdam is also to understand the coordinated anti-Arab, anti-Muslim and anti-immigrant campaigns run with huge amounts of money targeting Europe. Here's a short private Eye article about an investigation I did with @SohanDsouza
2/ Here's a write-up by @karamballes on the campaign in @BylineTimes "Disinformation Campaign on Social Media Reached More Than 40 Million People – but Meta ‘Alarmingly’ Hasn't Revealed the Culprits' bylinetimes.com/2024/08/30/qat…
@karamballes @BylineTimes 3/ ...How a covert influence campaign helped Europe’s far right
Our findings about the shadowy multi-platform operation attacking Qatar and stoking Islamophobia to further its far-right agenda in Europe and beyond call for immediate action. aljazeera.com/opinions/2024/…
🧵🚨1/ This is nuts. After mysteriously deleting a package covering the Amsterdam protests, Sky News have put up a new version. The new version completely changes the thrust to emphasise that the violence was antisemitic. See the opening screenshot change below
2/Even the tweet accompanying the video has changed. It has explicitly shifted from mentioning anti-Arab slogans to removing the phrase "anti-Arab" and using antisemitism. It also removes mention of vandalism by Israeli fans. An extremely clear editorial shift!
3/ They have also inserted into the video, right after the opening footage of Dutch Prime Minister condemning antisemitsm. This was not in the original video.
1/ If you break down the BBC's live reporting of what happened in Amsterdam, you can see the disproportionate attention it pays to Maccabi fans and Israelis as victims, with far less attention paid to the actions of Maccabi fans. Here are the sources interviewed.
2/ In terms of mentions of Arab, Dutch or other Ajax fans, there is very little emphasis on Arab safety, with the majority of coverage focused on Maccabi fans as victims. There are vox pops with fans, but very little interaction with non-Maccabi people.
3/ The language used to describe the attacks on the Maccabi fans is also much stronger, ranging from pogroms to brutal and shocking. Similar terms aren't use for the anti-Arab racism.
🚨1/ This New York Times piece is wild. Let's go through it.
Firstly, the lede is an emphasis that attacks in Amsterdam were based on antisemitism, yet it cites no evidence of this, but DOES cite evidence of anti-Arab chants.
2/ The claims of antisemitism are based primarily on the Prime Minister of the Netherlands, who tweeted that the attacks were antisemitic. Note - the Dutch Prime Minister didn't call out anti-Arab or anti-Palestinian racism from Maccabi fans.
3/ The piece links to an Amsterdam police statement to talk about the violence - although the police statement doesn't mention anything about antisemitism.
🧵 'At least 1,800 bots on the social media site X are promoting the controversial choice of Azerbaijan, a major oil and gas producer, to host next month’s ...#COP29, according to a new analysis shared exclusively with The Washington Post".
2/ The analysis by Marc Owen Jones, an expert on disinformation at @NUQatar, focused on roughly 2,800 X accounts that collectively sent around 10,800 tweets, retweets and replies about the conference between Oct. 17 and Oct. 24.
3/ Detection
73% of all accounts active in sample created in the space of 3 quarters in 2024.
Conservative estimates suggest 66% (1876) accounts in the sample are fake (bots) based on activity over the past week