Using the Prague Spring of August 1968 as a template for events in #Ukraine
Image: BBC
During the night Russian forces invaded Czechoslovakia and Red Army armoured forces entered Prague. The Russian pretext was the counter-revolution had to be stopped to prevent a massive breach in the Warsaw Pact. Echoes of NATO and #Ukraine
Image: BBC
The Soviets targeted media outlets - television and radio - and skirmishes erupted - people were killed. However, retaining control of the TV and Radio, the Czechs could send out stories and images of the invasion - in effect choreographing their victimhood.
Images: Czech TV
Masses of civilians, especially students, confronted the Red Army in the streets of Prague.
Image:tresbohemes.com The Guardian
A story emerged that young Red Army soldiers had not been told they were being sent to suppress the Czech people. Echoes of the young recruits on training exercises in Putin’s war.
Images: Czech TV
The Americans were not prepared to interfere, accepting the region was USSR sphere of influence. It was later discovered, under the umbrella of 1968, the Soviets set about another anti-Semitic pogrom. Symbolism was scrawled on tanks as in Putin’s War.
Images: Czech TV
Why this thread? I
First, it reveals how little has changed in Russian #securitywarfare but also how the Great Powers happily compromise spheres of influence over dogma.
Second, the demise of analogue data - books n’ stuff - for the digital ecology has removed the functioning knowledge of the past. Consequentially, before the first critical days of Putin’s illegal war, we should have been drawing parallels with events like 1968 and not WW2.
Third, it exposes the folly of digitalisation when people can no longer recall/remember the past. By losing history and historians, the digital environment enforces forgetting and removes the ability of wider society to respond properly to events.
We no longer know how to confront threat. Cold War age, the bomb was the common experience of everyone. Putin understands that the west thought the bomb was extinct - and has frightened billions of people.
Lets think about this. Who will Putin bully if the world is gone and he is alone in a bunker?
Conclusion. While Twitter and social media is good fun and great people, it is a black hole of memory. In future times, we should re-examine the terrain of social media and ask whether it assisted #Ukraine or unintentionally assisted Putin’s War.
#armchairgeneral - preliminary thoughts about future European security.
The old scenario: in the middle of a war, planning for the next one. However, in the face of abject failure, Europe should reconsider an integrated and independent security system.
Europeans watch daily as horror unfolds, feeling utterly defenceless as European people are thrown under the hammer of a dictator.
This, however, is not a demand for the tired old European army concept within the NATO agenda. We need to accept NATO has failed.
Europe requires a functioning security structure to better serve the Europeans, whether in or out of the EU. A security policy that serves European interests and defends the European way of life. A structured policy, force and power capability - owned by Europeans not America.
2022 - is the 80th anniversary year of Hitler’s Bandenbekämpfung Directive. This thread is the first in a series of threads uploaded through this year.
Bandenbekämpfung was the Nazi concept of a war against insurgency. There was much discussion over the definition of the partisan as an illegal combatant. Copy of the first discussion document, but conferences and planning began in March 1942.
Image: PWB
The reason for its implementation had been the increasing partisan problem in Russia, Yugoslavia and Slovenia. Throughout the latter half of 1941 the SS-Police and the army attempted to address the problem to be more effective in security warfare.
Image: @BundesarchivD
The problem with the logistics argument is the absence of facts. The heavy ordinance landing on Ukrainian cities proves: either forward depots or stacked loads. Greater issue can the Ukrainians remain supplied?
In regards to the railways argument, there are parallels to WW2. Without constant interdiction, the railways keep rolling. With declining air space and layers of Russian AA defences, the chance of interdiction is reducing daily.
Russia’s war machine - err - maybe if Russia switches off the fuel supply the western world’s economies will wobble very badly. Impoverishment of nations through energy prices and inflation will seriously undermine the western capability to resist/confront Putin.
Kovpak: was born in Kharkiv (1887) in Imperial Russia. He served with the Russian Army in the Great War and took part in the Brusilov/Kerensky offensives. He was awarded military decorations for bravery. He turned against the regime in 1917 and joined the Bolsheviks.
This thread tells the tale of how a Russian general was turned.
Image: Wiki
Andrey Vlasov was the most famous/infamous turncoat Russian general. In July 1942 he was captured by the Germans and so began a short but odd story of collaboration.
Image: PD
Vlasov was born in 1901 and in 1919 he joined the Red Army. He served in China in the 1930s alongside Chiang Kai-shek in the struggle against the Japanese Army.
Image: Sven Steenberg
The destruction of a national archive is the first stage to erasing Ukrainian identity, ethnic cleansing and the road to genocide.
We must stand up to Putin, reconstituting the archives digitally and restoring documents. This is a small contribution.
22 June 1941 - German Armies invaded the Soviet Union, striking out towards Bialystok, Minsk, Riga, Kyiv, Smolensk, Moscow etc. The soldiers were committed to the infamous Barbarossa Directives - killing commissars, POWs and Jews.
Images: @USNatArchives