A key thread. As we face the shock of the Ukraine war, it's vital we also face up to the rot at the heart of UK government and erosion of democracy in the UK that continues to prop up the kleptocracy in Russia - which in turn delivered Brexit & Tory wins in our last election.
Democracies are only as good as the independence of institutions in them - vitally independent media, independent judiciary and law.. all these systems are being eroded in the UK. The information we see on the media is massively skewed - in line with vested interests.
We saw it during the Brexit referendum, during the election. During COVID-19. It's an information war, and the consequences are dire. As we're seeing in Russia at the moment, as the public gets more and more isolated by govt propaganda.
We need coordinated efforts to fight it, because there are coordinated efforts to spread misinformation, and chaos. Our democracies will be the first victim. Don't think that it's not happening here. It is.
The bills that ban 'noisy' protests. The met police that refused to investigate 'partygate'. The awarding of billions in contracts to tory allies without tender. The home office violating rights of refugees and immigrants with impunity. Voter suppression. It's all there.
Threats to defund the BBC, and replace leadership with a govt puppet. BBC propaganda. Erosion of the independence of the Electoral Commission (Elections bill) and independent Judiciary (Judicial review bill). Not covered much in the media (not a coincidence) but vitally important
We need to open our eyes, and push back.
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As hospitalisations increase, it's worth again noting that testing has massively reduced as positivity has risen to 20% in England (similar to the Dec omicron wave). So cases are *massively* underestimated - and looking at dashboard numbers will underestimate risk.🧵
I worry that this is providing false re-assurance about where things are at. ONS data suggests infection rates remain high. And hospitalisations with COVID-19 are clearly rising across all age groups. BA.2, a more transmissible sub-variant of omicron has also gained dominance.
Vaccines will provide protection, but we know this protection wanes, and isn't absolute. So other additional layers are important to protect yourself
& others. While the govt no longer mandates any measures, it's important to continue to be cautious.
I think it's undeniable that massacres, wars & famines in many parts of the world have been largely ignored by the west & western media- but the fact that this (keeping in mind the role of Putin in some of these) is being used by the Kremlin to distract from Ukraine is disturbing
It's clear that there's racism & inequality in reporting & responding to crises in different parts of the world. Some lives clearly have been assigned less value than others. While this is completely true, the Kremlin weaponising this to distract from their killing is wrong.
The fact that they're sharing a picture of killing that they themselves were involved in- the slaughter of civilians with chemical weapons in Syria makes them using the suffering that they themselves created all the more sickening.
Pretty shocking data from the ONS on long COVID released just now- the 4 wk long COVID estimates will include infection until end of Dec, so including the first two wks after omicron became dominant. There are clear increases in prevalence being seen already.🧵
Overall prevalence has increased to 1.5 million when considering 28 day definition - that means *2.4%* of our population. That's 1 in 42 people having persistent symptoms for 4 wks or more currently. If you consider the 12 wk definition it's still v. high- 1.7%.
685,000 people estimated to have now had persistent symptoms for *more than one year*. ~ 1 million say this affects their day to day activity to some extent. So very functionally relevant, and longstanding symptoms in a very large population.
If you want to see how an 'any symptom' present or not comparisons between positive cases vs non-positive cases massively underestimates long COVID prevalence- just look at the recent ONS study that some paediatricians are astonishingly hailing as 'reassuring'. Short thread.
If you look at each symptom loss of smell/taste is *16%* in those who tested positive at 12 wks vs almost no one in the 'control' group which didn't have a positive test. So this would suggest that the prevalence of long COVID should be at least 16% of those infected, right?
After all if *one* symptom is present in 16% of those infected and almost none of those who didn't test positive, surely this is the *minimum* prevalence of the syndrome, right? When you consider more symptoms, this prevalence should increase not decrease.
We finally have HEPA air purifiers installed in each classroom in our school! Huge thanks to our local charity & school for making this happen. This will help protect our children & community. Community advocacy and effort is vital as our govt gives up on protecting children.
For those who want to know how we did this- we contacted a local charity that works closely with our school, who were willing to help fund air purifiers for all classrooms. We measured each classroom to figure out cubic volume, and CADR specs required.
We calculated that if there was no external ventilation, we'd need two of these in each classroom. As it happens, ventilation in our school is quite good. Our local authority assessed this, and we settled on one for each classroom + outside ventilation
New study out yesterday suggesting that vaccine efficacy with current dose for 5-11 yr olds likely wanes quickly. Especially against infection, but also against hospitalisation, although protection against severe disease is higher. Seems to be closely linked to vaccine dose🧵
Vaccine dose is the same as adult in 12-17 yr olds but much lower in 5-11 yr olds. There is a clear dose-response, with response greatest in 12 yr olds (greatest dose/wt) & graded lowering for other age gps. For 5-11 yr we see rapid decline in effectiveness against infection.
Effectiveness against hospitalisations also declined from 100% early on to ~48% 6 wks later, which is a significant decline. Suggests we need dose adjustments/vaccine updates against omicron/boosting to ensure a good response in this age group.